What are your Marlins vs. Cardinals series predictions?

[Ely Sussman]

SuperSubs, comment below with your Prediction Time picks:

1. How many games will the Marlins win in this series? (three-game series)
2. Who will be the Series MVP? (determined by win probability added)

Once again in 2026, I will be monitoring Miami Marlins predictions from our valued SuperSubs, Fish On First staffers and livestream guests. Individual article pages like this one will be created prior to every Marlins series and featured prominently on the FOF site. Consistent participation is key if you want to win this annual contest. Submissions only take a few seconds.

 

Scoring system

A "perfect" series is worth three points:

• Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series
• Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team
• Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team)

Here is a reminder of what the 2025 season leaderboard looked like. FOF staffer Jeremiah Geiger currently sit atop the 2026 leaderboard, which will be updated between every Marlins series. 

If you are a SuperSub, leave a comment with your Prediction Time picks on this page, or join the Marlins Discord Server and submit there. We'll feature them on the upcoming Fish On First LIVE episode and track your points throughout the season! Any picks submitted prior to the first pitch of the series opener will be counted.

If you are not a SuperSub, please consider signing up here to support the FOF staff.  

 

Series preview notes

Probable starting pitchers:

• RHP Max Meyer (MIA) vs. RHP Michael McGreevy (STL) on Monday
• RHP Chris Paddack (MIA) vs. RHP Dustin May (STL) on Tuesday
• RHP Janson Junk (MIA) vs. RHP Kyle Leahy (STL) on Wednesday

The Marlins rank 15th in MLB with a 101 wRC+ and 17th in MLB with a 4.15 FIP. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have a 8-5 record at home this season.

The following Marlins players are on the injured list: Maximo Acosta (10-day IL), Griffin Conine (10-day IL), Ronny Henriquez (60-day IL), Adam Mazur (60-day IL), Christopher Morel (10-day IL) and Esteury Ruiz (10-day IL).

The Cardinals rank 13th in MLB with a 103 wRC+ and 27th in MLB with a 4.84 FIP. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games and have a 6-3 record on the road this season.

The following Cardinals players are on the injured list: Hunter Dobbins (15-day IL), Lars Nootbaar (60-day IL) and Matt Pushard (15-day IL).

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[Robert Hanson]

Unfortunately, the Cardinals win the series 2-1. Alec Burleson will be the series MVP. 

[Shawn]

Marlins 2-1 give me stowers MVP