Casey Marika

Dodgers 2-1 Tucker MVP

2-1 Fish Otto MVP

Marlins 3-0 Stowers MVP

Marlins 3-0 Marsee

Marlins 2-1 Gus

Marlins 4-0 Agustin gets it going with and MVP

Marlin 2-1 Gus MVP. Bonus call: Gus HR off of Weathers.

2-1 Fish. X MVP

Marlins 2-1 Otto

Removing his last year of arb drops his value to $19.6M. I think you're probably right and that's how trade partners will treat him.

Great numbers for these guys in the minors. I think any trade with Eddy needs to bring back a 55 rated prospect (top 100 MLB) plus two 45 grade prospects to spread out the risk of a bust, or a 60 grade prospect (top 50 MLB) with a 45 and 40 grade prospects if the marlins also throw in a filler prospect to balance the trade. I'm using Baseball America grades because I don't trust MLB.com ratings and neither of these guys are rated that highly or in the BA top 100. The table with player names shows the BA position players rated 55 and higher with their present day prospect valuation. You can calculated a current player valuation based on salary vs projected WAR during future years of control and compare that to the present day prospect valuation. The small table shows the approximate value of prospects based on grades. Typically at the deadline the buying team overpays by about $10M-15M. The Marlins trade candidates value are as follows: Sandy - $17.6M, Deadline Overpay: $27M-$32M Eddy - $44.2M, Deadline Overpay: $54M-$59M Sanchy - $28.9M, Deadline Overpay: $39-$44M These numbers can be uses as a one to one comparison for current MLB players vs Prospects to help build out trades. Let me know if you're interested on how these values are built. Obviously, the Marlins have their own in house valuations for players and risk tolerances. I'd give my left nut to get to see the in house player valuations and projections. Prospect Type AVG WAR (FGP) $ Value (PV) 70 POS 12.5 $112,500,000 70 P 9.5 $85,500,000 65 POS 6.9 $62,100,000 65 P 7.1 $63,900,000 60 POS 6.1 $54,900,000 60 P 6.7 $60,300,000 55 POS 5.1 $45,900,000 55 P 3.7 $33,300,000 50 POS 3.1 $27,900,000 50 P 2.3 $20,700,000 45 POS 0.9 $7,750,501 45 P 0.6 $5,344,375 40 POS 0.6 $5,167,001 40 P 0.4 $3,562,917 Rank Name Position Position Abv. Team Age Grade Risk $ Value (PV) 1 Roman Anthony OF POS Boston Red Sox 20 65 Medium $62,100,000 4 Jesus Made SS POS Milwaukee Brewers 17 65 High $55,890,000 5 Leodalis De Vries SS POS San Diego Padres 18 65 High $55,890,000 6 Sebastian Walcott SS POS Texas Rangers 18 65 High $55,890,000 9 Kevin McGonigle SS POS Detroit Tigers 20 65 High $55,890,000 13 Walker Jenkins OF POS Minnesota Twins 19 65 High $55,890,000 7 Marcelo Mayer SS POS Boston Red Sox 22 60 Medium $54,900,000 11 Jordan Lawlar SS POS Arizona Diamondbacks 22 60 Medium $54,900,000 15 Colt Emerson SS POS Seattle Mariners 19 60 High $49,410,000 16 Nick Kurtz 1B POS Athletics 21 60 High $49,410,000 17 Samuel Basallo C POS Baltimore Orioles 20 60 High $49,410,000 18 Max Clark OF POS Detroit Tigers 20 60 High $49,410,000 19 Jac Caglianone 1B POS Kansas City Royals 21 60 High $49,410,000 20 Bryce Eldridge 1B POS San Francisco Giants 20 60 High $49,410,000 22 George Lombard SS POS New York Yankees 19 60 High $49,410,000 23 Emmanuel Rodriguez OF POS Minnesota Twins 21 60 High $49,410,000 24 JJ Wetherholt SS POS St. Louis Cardinals 22 60 High $49,410,000 26 Travis Bazzana 2B POS Cleveland Guardians 22 60 High $49,410,000 27 Konnor Griffin SS POS Pittsburgh Pirates 18 60 High $49,410,000 28 Dalton Rushing C POS Los Angeles Dodgers 23 60 High $49,410,000 29 Bryce Rainer SS POS Detroit Tigers 19 60 High $49,410,000 31 Luis Pena 2B POS Milwaukee Brewers 18 60 High $49,410,000 32 Carson Williams SS POS Tampa Bay Rays 21 60 High $49,410,000 45 Ethan Salas C POS San Diego Padres 18 60 Extreme $46,665,000 81 Alfredo Duno C POS Cincinnati Reds 19 60 Extreme $46,665,000 30 Luke Keaschall 2B POS Minnesota Twins 22 55 Medium $45,900,000 33 Cooper Pratt SS POS Milwaukee Brewers 20 55 High $41,310,000 34 Angel Genao SS POS Cleveland Guardians 20 55 High $41,310,000 35 Alex Freeland SS POS Los Angeles Dodgers 23 55 High $41,310,000 37 Josue De Paula OF POS Los Angeles Dodgers 19 55 High $41,310,000 40 Zyhir Hope OF POS Los Angeles Dodgers 20 55 High $41,310,000 41 Arjun Nimmala SS POS Toronto Blue Jays 19 55 High $41,310,000 42 Kyle Teel C POS Chicago White Sox 22 55 High $41,310,000 44 Jaison Chourio OF POS Cleveland Guardians 19 55 High $41,310,000 46 Aidan Miller SS POS Philadelphia Phillies 20 55 High $41,310,000 48 Joe Mack C POS Miami Marlins 22 55 High $41,310,000 51 Coby Mayo 3B POS Baltimore Orioles 23 55 High $41,310,000 52 Charlie Condon OF POS Colorado Rockies 21 55 High $41,310,000 55 Jonny Farmelo OF POS Seattle Mariners 20 55 High $41,310,000 56 Lazaro Montes OF POS Seattle Mariners 20 55 High $41,310,000 57 Braden Montgomery OF POS Chicago White Sox 21 55 High $41,310,000 59 Jett Williams SS POS New York Mets 21 55 High $41,310,000 63 Jeferson Quero C POS Milwaukee Brewers 22 55 High $41,310,000 64 Eduardo Tait C POS Philadelphia Phillies 18 55 High $41,310,000 65 Franklin Arias SS POS Boston Red Sox 19 55 High $41,310,000 66 Owen Caissie OF POS Chicago Cubs 22 55 High $41,310,000 67 Blake Mitchell C POS Kansas City Royals 20 55 High $41,310,000 68 Michael Arroyo 2B POS Seattle Mariners 20 55 High $41,310,000 70 Thayron Liranzo C POS Detroit Tigers 21 55 High $41,310,000 72 Chase DeLauter OF POS Cleveland Guardians 23 55 High $41,310,000 73 Christian Moore 2B POS Los Angeles Angels 22 55 High $41,310,000 76 Xavier Isaac 1B POS Tampa Bay Rays 21 55 High $41,310,000 78 Felnin Celesten SS POS Seattle Mariners 19 55 High $41,310,000 79 Theo Gillen OF POS Tampa Bay Rays 19 55 High $41,310,000 82 Justin Crawford OF POS Philadelphia Phillies 21 55 High $41,310,000 87 Caleb Bonemer SS POS Chicago White Sox 19 55 High $41,310,000 91 Ryan Waldschmidt OF POS Arizona Diamondbacks 2 55 High $41,310,000 93 Cole Carrigg OF POS Colorado Rockies 22 55 High $41,310,000 94 Aroon Escobar OF POS Philadelphia Phillies 20 55 High $41,310,000 96 Eduardo Quintero OF POS Los Angeles Dodgers 19 55 High $41,310,000 97 Mike Sirota OF POS Los Angeles Dodgers 21 55 High $41,310,000 100 Brady House 3B POS Washington Nationals 21 55 High $41,310,000

I guess the concern that I had with a return package with Sandy was even if the return includes high ceiling prospects, the chances of them panning out are not guaranteed. The two examples I gave, Luis Castillo and Blake Snell, were both considered to be good returns at the time. While I trust Bendix based on the trades he's made so far, I still think keeping Sandy out weighs the risk of gambling on prospects. Rogers and Luzardo did not mean as much to the team/fans as Sandy. He has a key to the city for god's sake.

They say Sandy Alcantara is as good as gone. The Marlins are losing, the front office has gone quiet, and the knives are out. People act like it’s already done. Sandy will be traded. Maybe tomorrow. Maybe next week. But no one’s asking the one question that matters. Why? Why move on from one of the best pitchers in baseball? Why trade a man who can throw deep into games, who doesn’t complain, who shows up, game after game, season after season? Why cut loose a rare thing, when you have it under contract, at a bargain, through 2027? This is a mistake. Sandy is not just good. He is what pitchers used to be. He throws hard. He throws long (when allowed). He wins. The numbers speak plain: 206 innings per year, 3.14 ERA between 2021 and 2023. A now pitching to 2.74 in the month of June since returning from TJ. Sandy is a true ace. A Cy Young. A horse. And he’s not even expensive. Not really. $17 million a year and a $21 million dollar club option. In today’s market, that’s less than some teams pay for their fourth starter. For a Cy Young winner, it’s a bargain. One of the best contracts in the league. If you’re trying to rebuild something worth keeping, something lasting, you hold on to that man. They’ll tell you there’s a haul waiting out there. Prospects. Pieces. But that’s not how it works. Luis Castillo was dealt from Cincinnati to Seattle in 2022 with 1.5 years of control. The Mariners gave up Noelvi Marte (negative career WAR with a PED suspension), Edwin Arroyo (#69 MLB prospect), and a couple pitching prospects. Solid players, but not a franchise-redefining package. Blake Snell was traded from the Rays to the Padres in 2020 with three years of control left. The Rays got Luis Patiño (traded to White Sox for cash, currently back with the Padres in AA as a 25 year old on a minor league contract), Francisco Mejía (playing in Mexico), and a couple of lower-level names. Snell would go on to win a Cy Young award in San Diego. They traded those arms before their peak. You’d be doing the same with Sandy. He’s back from surgery. The arm’s live. The command’s getting sharper every start. But the world still sees him as a question mark. The Marlins could end up trading a top-tier starter for a pile of… uncertainty. That’s not strategy. That’s selling low. People say Sandy doesn’t match the timeline. That by the time the Marlins are ready to win again, his contract will be up. The Marlins’ earliest realistic window is two to three years from now by 2027. That’s the final year of Alcantara’s current deal. If the rebuild goes to plan, the Fish should be emerging from its reset as Sandy is still in his prime. What happens if the team is actually competitive in 2027? You can’t trade him midseason, that would be waving the white flag in your first contending year. And if you keep him let him walk, all you get is a first round comp pick (assuming Sandy signs for over $50 mil). But there’s another idea: keep him through the rebuild and, if the trajectory is trending up, extend him. You can’t build a team on dreams and prospects alone. You need anchors. You need men who’ve been there. Sandy is that man. The young arms stand to benefit immensely from having Alcantara around. I don't think we should be undervaluing the effect that trading Sandy will have on Eury Perez specifically. You can’t develop a winning culture in a vacuum. A winning culture starts with people like Sandy. Guys who don’t flinch. Guys who show up. You keep players like that, or you stay rebuilding forever. Use this moment as an opportunity to change the narrative in South Florida. For too long Fish fans have seen its stars sent away before their stories were fully written. Sandy wants to stay here, if there was a time and a player to break the pattern of trading beloved players that has plagued Miami, now is that time and Sandy is that player! This isn’t just for the fans either, the players feel it too. No matter how good you are, how loyal, how rare, if the spreadsheet says move, you’re gone. The Marlins have a real chance to make a change. A chance to break the cycle. To stand for something. To make it mean something to wear the teal (bring back the damn teal). There will always be a case for moving on. But there’s a stronger case for holding on. Sandy Alcantara is more than just a pitcher. He’s a reason to keep watching. A reason to believe the next Marlins contender is closer than people think. And when you have a reason like that, you don’t trade it. You hold on. You build around it.