What are your Marlins vs. Astros series predictions?

[Ely Sussman]

SuperSubs, comment below with your Prediction Time picks:

1. How many games will the Marlins win in this series? (three-game series)
2. Who will be the Series MVP? (determined by win probability added)

Once again in 2026, I will be monitoring Miami Marlins predictions from our valued SuperSubs, Fish On First staffers and livestream guests. Individual article pages like this one will be created prior to every Marlins series and featured prominently on the FOF site. Consistent participation is key if you want to win this annual contest. Submissions only take a few seconds.

 

Scoring system

A "perfect" series is worth three points:

• Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series
• Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team
• Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team)

FOF staffer Jeremiah Geiger is currently atop the 2026 season leaderboard, which will be updated between every Marlins series. 

If you are a SuperSub, leave a comment with your Prediction Time picks on this page, or join the Marlins Discord Server and submit there. We'll feature them on the upcoming Fish On First LIVE episode and track your points throughout the season! Any picks submitted prior to the first pitch of the series opener will be counted.

If you are not a SuperSub, please consider signing up here to support the FOF staff.  

 

Series preview notes

Probable starting pitchers:

• RHP Janson Junk (MIA) vs. RHP Ronel Blanco (HOU) on Monday
• RHP Tyler Phillips (MIA) vs. RHP Tatsuya Imai (HOU) on Tuesday
• RHP Sandy Alcantara (MIA) vs. RHP Peter Lambert (HOU) on Wednesday

The Marlins rank 13th in MLB with a 102 wRC+ and ninth in MLB with a 3.97 FIP. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have a 21-28 record on the road this season.

The following Marlins players are on the injured list: Anthony Bender (15-day IL), Owen Caissie (10-day IL), Josh Ekness (60-day IL), Ronny Henriquez (60-day IL), William Kempner (15-day IL), John King (15-day IL), Adam Mazur (60-day IL), Andrew Nardi (60-day IL) and Robby Snelling (60-day IL).

The Astros rank 12th in MLB with a 102 wRC+ and 28th in MLB with a 4.84 FIP. They are 3-7 in their last 10 games and have a 23-27 record at home this season.

The following Astros players are on the injured list: Mike Burrows (15-day IL), Carlos Correa (60-day IL), Brice Matthews (10-day IL), Bennett Sousa (60-day IL), Brandon Walter (60-day IL) and Hayden Wesneski (60-day IL).

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[Shawn]

They wake up in Houston. Marlins sweep Connie mvp

[David Fernandez]

Astros 2-1, Yordan MVP

[Stevo]

Marlins bounce back to win 2, MVP: Sandy Alcantara

 

0% chance that Fairbanks will be the mvp

[Hans Herrera]

HOU takes it 2-1. Isaac Paredes MVP

[2qbn]

Astros 2-1. Yordan MVP

[Bassmaster4]

Marlins sweep 

Conine MVP 

[Jose Herrera]

Marlins win two games with Otto as our M.V.P.

[1993 fan from start]

2-1  Marlins and MVp is Conine 

 

poor offense ,batting order and too many holes in lineup. know that was a lost from the start sorry.

marlins  are 1-6 in july with Javier Sanoja hitting 4th 5th or 8 in lineup.  and 3-8 in july   him with jimenez  .  L. Jimenez in the lineup at the same time never works also .   .  8-2 in june with C.NORBY in lineup .  and know Marlins also miss Owen Caissies .   

not saying it a fix .  .but numbers show team play better with one over the other.

[Burr]

Marlins 2-1 Stowers MVP

[One Regend]

The Astros are mortal right now. It won't be long before they're dragged kicking and screaming into a rebuild. The Marlins would have to pounce on the opportunity and kick them while they're down. The Marlins have a vastly better starting rotation, and while the Astro's have an ok offense, it's primarily carried by Yordan Alvarez. Getting a lead early in the game is paramount. They don't want to see Josh Hader warming up in the bullpen. They just need to stop turning to Pete Fairbanks in high-leverage situations.

The Marlins win 2 of 3, with MVP going to Kyle Stowers.

[Gabriel Revilla]

Marlins win 2 

Astros win 1 

MVP: H. Hernandez 

[Saul Goodman]

Marlins win 2-1. Stowers MVP

[Robert Hanson]

Unfortunately, the Astros win the series 2-1.  
   Yordan Alvarez will be the series MVP. 

[HAMPTIME]

Astros win 2-1 Yordan MVP

[Chad Turner]

Marlins win 1, Alvarez MVP

[Sportsman38]

Marlins 2-1

Stowers