What are your Marlins vs. Phillies series predictions?

[Ely Sussman]

SuperSubs, comment below with your Prediction Time picks:

1. How many games will the Marlins win in this series? (four-game series)
2. Who will be the Series MVP? (determined by win probability added)

Once again in 2026, I will be monitoring Miami Marlins predictions from our valued SuperSubs, Fish On First staffers and livestream guests. Individual article pages like this one will be created prior to every Marlins series and featured prominently on the FOF site. Consistent participation is key if you want to win this annual contest. Submissions only take a few seconds.

 

Scoring system

A "perfect" series is worth three points:

• Earn one point for predicting which team will win the upcoming series
• Earn one point for predicting the precise number of victories for each team
• Earn one point for predicting the “Series MVP” who accumulated the highest win probability added (WPA) during the series as calculated by FanGraphs (could pick a player from either team)

Here is a reminder of what the 2025 season leaderboard looked like. FOF SuperSub Sean Millerick currently sits atop the 2026 leaderboard, which will be updated between every Marlins series. 

If you are a SuperSub, leave a comment with your Prediction Time picks on this page, or join the Marlins Discord Server and submit there. We'll feature them on the upcoming Fish On First LIVE episode and track your points throughout the season! Any picks submitted prior to the first pitch of the series opener will be counted.

If you are not a SuperSub, please consider signing up here to support the FOF staff.  

 

Series preview notes

Probable starting pitchers:

• RHP Eury Pérez (MIA) vs. RHP Zack Wheeler (PHI) on Friday
• RHP Max Meyer (MIA) vs. RHP Andrew Painter (PHI) on Saturday
• RHP Chris Paddack (MIA) vs. LHP Jesús Luzardo (PHI) on Sunday
• RHP Janson Junk (MIA) vs. RHP Aaron Nola (PHI) on Monday

The Marlins rank 14th in MLB with a 99 wRC+ and 13th in MLB with a 3.96 FIP. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have a 10-6 record at home this season.

The following Marlins players are on the injured list: Griffin Conine (10-day IL), Pete Fairbanks (15-day IL), Ronny Henriquez (60-day IL) and Adam Mazur (60-day IL).

The Phillies rank 27th in MLB with a 85 wRC+ and seventh in MLB with a 3.77 FIP. They are 4-6 in their last 10 games and have an 4-9 record on the road this season.

The following Phillies players are on the injured list: Kyle Backhus (15-day IL), Jhoan Duran (15-day IL), Max Lazar (60-day IL), Zach Pop (15-day IL) and J.T. Realmuto (10-day IL).

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[Robert Hanson]

Unfortunately, the Marlins will only be able to split the series 2-2.  
  Kyle Schwarber will be the series MVP.

[MRDHU75]

Marlins win 3-1

MVP - Kyle Stowers

[Shawn]

3-1 marlins Otto mvp 

[Hans Herrera]

Split series. Harper MVP.

[David Fernandez]

2-2, Hicks MVP

[Stevo]

2-2, MVP: Kyle Schwarber

[2qbn]

I hope they win 3-1 or a sweep after almost sweeping the Dodgers but know this team sometimes goes out there and randomly lays an egg or two, so going with a 2-2 tie and Stowers is the MVP

[Jose Herrera]

Marlins win three with Lopez as our M.V.P.

[Sean Millerick]

Marlins win two, Schwarber MVP. 

But don't sleep on the pain here folks. Phillies are better, Fish face two lefties in series. 

[JustMyFandom]

3-1 marlins and it finally clicks for stowers

[David Slaton]

Marlins win the series 3 to 1 and Xavier is the MVP.

[Bassmaster4]

Split series 

Morel MVP 

[1993 fan from start]

if marlins can get pass Zack tonight .  Should be 3-1 risky choise with three TBD .  How many Shift will Don do?   Braves would love that.   THEN it could go a long way  helping Marlins standing in the east..    but we have to see how offence is coached.

3-1 marlins Stower MVP 

[Chad Turner]

Marlins win 3, Stowers mvp

[Sportsman38]

Series 2-2

Schwarber

[JustMarlins]

Series split 2-2

MVP- Otto

[Richard]

Marlins take this series 3-1

MVP:Otto