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Predicting the first 39 selections of the draft, from the first round through Competitive Balance Round A.

The 2024 MLB Draft gets underway this Sunday. As previously written here, I have the Marlins selecting Oklahoma State outfielder Carson Benge with the 16th overall pick, which would be a great selection.

Benge has flown up the draft boards moving into his redshirt sophomore year of college. Benge missed his freshman year of college after undergoing Tommy John surgery and since then has focused on hitting. He is a good outfield defender with a solid arm. He projects to be a corner outfielder moving forward, but can fill in at center field if needed.

Where Benge pops is in his bat. Benge this last season had 18 home runs and posted a .335/.444/.665 slash line, giving him a 1.109 OPS on the season. He nearly walked as much as he struck out with 51 K's and 49 walks. His under-the-hood data is even more promising than his counting stats. He posted elite max exit velocities in the top 1% of college baseball. He combines this wicked power with a great plate approach, which is something Peter Bendix and staff covets in players. With a great zone contact rate of 84% and low chase rates, this is a recipe that should continue leading him to success in the pros.

My one knock on Benge would be that there are many moving components to his swing. As competition gets tougher, he may want to ease out his swing so higher velos don't catch up on him. Even with that being said, scouts have Benge listed with a 55-hit tool, which is above average for the big leagues.

See below for my full mock draft:

 
Color   39 Picks  
GOOD   14 Good 35%
FINE   12 Fine 30%
LOVE   7 Love 18%
DISLIKE   6 Dislike 15%

 

Team Pick Player Position C/HS
         
Guardians 1 T.Bazzana 2B/SS College
Reds 2 C.Condon OF College
Rockies 3 J.Caglianone 1B/OF College
Athletics 4 J.Wetherholt 2B College
White Sox 5 K.Griffin OF HS
Royals 6 H.Smith LHP College
Cardinals 7 C.Burns RHP College
Angels 8 B.Montgomery OF College
Pirates 9 N.Kurtz 1B College
Nationals 10 B.Rainer SS HS
Tigers 11 J.Tibbs OF College
Red Sox 12 T.Yesavage RHP College
Giants 13 J.Cijntje RHP/LHP College
Cubs 14 C.Moore INF College
Mariners 15 C.Smith 3B College
Marlins 16 C.Benge OF College
Brewers 17 M.Moore C College
Rays 18 V.Honeycutt OF College
Mets 19 C.Caminiti LHP HS
Blue Jays 20 B.Brecht RHP College
Twins 21 W.Schmidt RHP HS
Orioles 22 R.Waldschmidt OF College
Dodgers 23 S.King ULT College
Braves 24 R.Sloan RHP HS
Padres 25 T.Gillen SS HS
Yankees 26 K.Mayfield LHP HS
Phillies 27 T.White 3B College
Astros 28 D.Jordan OF College
D-backs 29 G.O'Ferrall SS College
Rangers 30 B.Doughty RHP HS
         
PPIP        
D-backs 31 PJ.Morlando C HS
Orioles 32 R.Johnson RHP College
         
FAPP        
Twins 33 W.Janek C College
         
Comp A        
Brewers 34 C.Johnson SS HS
D-backs 35 B.Amick 3B College
Guardians 36 L.Holman RHP College
Pirates 37 K.Lindsey SS HS
Rockies 38 B.Hess RHP College
Royals 39 K.Culpepper SS College

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