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One Regend

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Everything posted by One Regend

  1. One Regend
    Nah. For every Thomas White the Marlins drafted, there's about a dozen or so Jacob Berrys. DJ Svihlik's tenure is a failure in every conceivable way and there's no sugarcoating it. He single-handedly costed us our contention window from 2020-2024. We were supposed to be a rising playoff contender. Instead, Bendix, the new GM, had no choice but to press the reset button. We couldn't develop any bats. We had to constantly trade from our prospect pool to get bats, and by the time 2024 came around, we had no talent left.
  2. One Regend
    Unless he works on his secondaries, or he fixes his fastball shape, he's not going to be a closer. He is literally Slider: The Pitcher. His slider is a +2 on Run Value. His non-slider secondaries is -1 on Run Value, and his fastball is by far and away his worst offering at a staggering -6. Having the league's flattest fastball does that. Sure he throws 98+, but that 98+ is nothing but empty velocity. No movement, no extension. Until that changes, he's essentially useless against lefties, and highly predictable against righties.
  3. One Regend
    I was saying this all year long about Max Meyer. Mentally, he's not fit for a starting role. You, I, and everyone else saw this when the Marlins piled 6 runs in the first inning and he did nothing with the lead, choked the lead away to a Marlins L. That was the game that permanently cemented him as a relief pitcher in my mind. Never let Meyer start a game again. He's lost that privilege. The SP experiment is over. Let him pitch the rest of his days in Miami in the bullpen, where he belongs.
  4. One Regend
    Lmao. The Twins are an unserious franchise. I get that it's going to be a long 2 or 3 years for the Twins and no manager is ever going to make the Twins perform well during that span, but did they even TRY to look for promising candidates? Derek Shelton accomplished nothing with the Pirates (and even contributed to their clubhouse mess) and that's not going to change with the Twins. I would've just picked a rookie first-year manager with a strong work ethic. That would've been a far better answer than Shelton. Also, I literally do not care what Starlyn Caba is doing in the AFL. He can have a 1.000 OBP during AFL and that still wouldn't convince me to believe he can do anything more than play glove at short. If he actually makes a real impact at AA for the full MiLB season, then we can talk about him as a real prospect. Until then, leave him off of Top 15, or hell, Top 20, on the Top 30 Prospect Lists. Is it too early to call PJ Morlando a draft bust? Because I think I've seen enough out of him to not care about what he does from this point forward. He's shown us that his body is made of glass, and when he ISN'T spending time on MiLB IL, his production isn't exactly inspiring much confidence that he'll contribute at the major league level.
  5. One Regend
    Braxton has the better track record and is a better overall pitcher than Meyer, who has serious reliever risk. But Garrett missed the entire year to elbow surgery and it's unknown if he'll be the same pitcher as he was pre-surgery. Right now, both of them would bring negligible returns. It won't make sense to trade them in the offseason. Maybe if they prove themselves during the season, you could dangle them at the trade deadline. But that's a major if.
  6. One Regend
    The only way I can see Johnston get a fair shot to prove himself at the major league level is if he gets traded to a rebuilding team that is starved of hitting talent, like the Pirates, or especially the Twins.
  7. One Regend
    We need 3B more than we need Luis Arraez. Ideally, we'd move Agustin to 1B and sign/trade for a 3B. But there isn't a whole lot of 3B choices outside of a washed up Nolan Arenado... and maybe Royce Lewis if the Twins are open to trading him. It does seem like the more likely scenario is signing/trading for 1B and just play out the wheel with Pauley/Norby at 3B again. That said, for 1B, Luis Arraez wouldn't even be my first choice. Nor would he be my 2nd choice. Nor third. He's on a downward trajectory and it may only get worse from here as he ages. This lineup needs power and we already have Xavier Edwards as our go-to light-hitting contact sprayer. Bringing Arraez would be counter-intuitive.
  8. One Regend
    Look, the season is over and we're forced to watch the playoffs from home. What else can we talk about? We could rail the Marlins about all the poor decisions they've made, but at this point we'd be beating a dead horse. Some new discussions are way more healthy for us. It's now the season for trade/FA speculation and this is what we're starting with. Right now, there's no point in ripping into the Marlins. But if they trade Edward Cabrera for, say, another slap-hitting infielder prospect with a good glove/speed and not much else, then everything is fair game. Go nuts.
  9. One Regend
    I don't see the Cardinals pulling the trigger on this trade. What they're getting is, as Hans suggested, 2 prospects that might do something, and 2 AAAA players who have something that keeps them from contributing at the MLB level (hitting velo for Mesa Jr, reliable putaway pitch for Mazur). Not even taking Arenado's contract off their shoulders is going to be enough to get one of the better hitters in Burleson. As for what we're getting back. It's mostly Burleson. Jojo Romero is a 1-year rental, and as for Arenado himself, I think he has maybe one more 110+ wRC+ year left in his aging body. But it's clear he doesn't have much left in the tank and the Cardinals are trying to offload his albatross contract. I don't know if it's worth sending away Andrew Salas. It's true he doesn't have a defensive home, If his arm strength is good enough for SS/CF, they should consider keeping him and groom him as a 3B, as the Marlins don't really have any inspiring in-house options at the hot corner in the farm system, and there's a major dearth of 3B options both on FA and in the trade market. No, DLS doesn't count.
  10. One Regend
    My guess is that James Wood or Kyle Tucker will finish 3rd for the hardware. Kyle Stowers injury will be his undoing.
  11. One Regend
    Absolutely my thoughts. It makes no sense to wait to assess him in Spring Training. Assess him now. And my assessment is he isn't worth protecting. Even if someone takes him via Rule 5, they're not going to hide him on a roster like the Nationals did with Nasim Nunez. And, as I said before, even if a team takes him and did hide him on the roster (I don't know why they would. He doesn't have the defensive versatility, nor the baserunning, that Nunez had.), what are we really losing out on? He's a 5'7 player who doesn't project particularly well, and his power numbers he posted pre-trade aren't sustainable to expect out of him. Again, he's not Jose Altuve. Nobody will be Jose Altuve. That's a unicorn we're talking about and expecting that kind of production is a fool's errand.
  12. One Regend
    I bet Otto Lopez would have made the cut had the Marlins moved him to short sooner instead of sitting through months making us fans suffer the ugly Edwards-at-shortstop experiment. It's rare to see a player be moved to short and thrive. Shortstop is a notoriously difficult position and to see a player move there fulltime and look good while doing so is something the league is missing out on. I don't care that they have a "finalist" that's also done that (Mookie), this deserves to be recognized.
  13. One Regend
    They need to re-evaluate him now. Rule 5 is just around the corner.
  14. One Regend
    It's a crapshoot yes, but you're not helping yourself if you ship out a franchise rotation arm and get nothing more than crickets. The Phillies at least tried. I question if Bendix even tried to look elsewhere to seek a better package. Also, it's not the first time the Phillies pulled a fast one on the Marlins. (The JT Realmuto trade is the other time) I'm convinced someone on the Phillies staff has some blackmail on the Marlins.
  15. One Regend
    This is simple. Cut Wagaman, Bellozo, Nardi, Navarreto, Winkler, Serna, Zuber, Soriano, and Tinoco. Protect Mack, White, and Pushard. -Wagaman is the worst 1B in the league and it isn't even close. Platooning him helped, but if you're platooning at a position where production is expected, then you've messed up somewhere. -Bellozo has been dancing through the raindrops his entire 2-year tenure and I'm honestly surprised he hasn't gotten blown up yet. He's a low velo low whiff guy with no spot in the rotation, and his production isn't sustainable. This isn't someone you build a team around. -The Marlins have been strangely quiet about Nardi's rehab progress and it's honestly starting to scare me. There's a chance he may have thrown his last pitch in MLB. -Tinoco is going to miss the entirety of next season and it's questionable if he's going to return to form when he does return from injury, especially not with his inconsistent track record. -Zuber is an unfortunate cut. He's incredibly good at getting hitters to chase pitches out of the zone. That is something to build off of. It's honestly between him and Freddy Tarnok, and I view Tarnok to be more valuable than he is. -I had this to say about Jared Serna earlier in the month: -Navarreto is a Minor League Journeyman. -Who the heck is Jack Winkler? Furthermore, someone mentioned protecting Jacob Berry, and I literally rolled my eyes. Like, come on. I know I wouldn't make the best General Manager. I'm basically a couch GM at best. But be real with yourself. Do you really see a guy, who, by far and away, posted his best season since signing with us, as the face of the franchise after posting a slugging percentage under .400 AS A FIRST BASEMAN? Keeping him on the 40-man roster is a franchise-killing move. Give up on him already. He's a lost cause.
  16. One Regend
    I might see Andrew Nardi as a non-tender candidate if his injury is serious enough. The Marlins have been strangely silent on his recovery updates, and that is honestly not a good sign. There's a good chance he may have thrown his last pitch in the majors.
  17. One Regend
    For trades, I don't think anyone can deny we got absolutely floored by the Phillies. I really want to know what was going through Bendix's brain when he saw the players offered to him for Luzardo. Putting myself in Bendix's shoes for a moment, but if I personally was proposing a trade to the Phillies for Luzardo, and I saw that package, I'd tell Dave Dombrowski to go find another organization to fleece and hang up on him before he even gets a chance to respond, because that's an insult to the Marlins and my profession. These were players that were absolutely terrible even with all the advanced metrics we have access to and goes against the very idea of our front office being analytically driven. This was a trade that, we all can agree on, was a terrible trade before it even happened. And it's only going to get worse if the Phillies extend Jesus Luzardo.
  18. One Regend
    Everyone is pining for the Marlins to go get a 1B from Free Agency, but fails to realize we already have one on the roster; He's just been miscast as a Catcher this whole time. The moment Joe Mack gets called up (which should be around mid-April to get another year of control), is the moment we no longer need a free agent 1B, because Gus will be playing there instead. What we really need is 3B. 3B has been a revolving door since Brian Anderson's decline and vacancy. Unless y'all want to keep trotting out the skeletal remains of Connor Norby and Graham Pauley, something has to be done about that.
  19. One Regend
    I think for the Marlins to be competitive in 2026, they're going to need a closer, and they're going to need a 3B. Ryan Helsley got BTFO'd when he wore a Mets uniform, but how much of that was Ryan Helsley, and how much of that is the Mets organization? A lot of the tipping he did was obvious and yet the Mets organization did nothing about it. I'd say he's worth taking a flyer on. The Twins have a couple of potential 3Bs, and as a rebuilding team, they have the runway and the long leash to get Troy Johnston some ABs. Do you think the Marliins would buy low on a Brooks Lee? Or do they go big and throw in another prospect to get Royce Lewis? Either way, the Marlins aren't going after high-end free agent 3Bs, so their best chance is through trades.
  20. One Regend
    I for one welcome Ryan Helsley. He's not as bad as his season-end ERA suggests. He'll benefit simply from not being in a Mets uniform, and would be an improvement by proxy.
  21. One Regend
    Starlyn Caba is being grossly overrated, and has been grossly overrated over the course of the entire year. I have no idea what y'all see in him. All I see is a slap-hitting middle infielder who rarely hits the ball out of the infield, and while he is ok at getting on base, that's not a sustainable tool. Eventually, his A-Ball peers are going to start pitching to him once they realize he can't do any meaningful damage. His only real tools are his speed and defense, and I suspect that his speed tool regressed from last year. I can understand if you like a player and that you hope he can provide value, but when he's been in the top 10 ranking for an entire year straight without the player giving us much of a reason to believe he can provide meaningful value, then at some point, this needs to be called out. There are players ranked below him who I have more confidence in being able to contribute at the major league level. As it stands, Starlyn Caba has the major league ceiling of Nasim Nunez. No, that is NOT a compliment.
  22. One Regend
    Honestly, it was only a matter of time. I wonder if Mel Stottlemyre Jr was also hired by some team.
  23. One Regend
    I'm not buying into Bendix's statement on keeping Gus behind the plate. If he's been watching ball, he knows just how absolutely dreadful Gus and his defense was as a catcher. I want to believe that, as an analytics nerd, Bendix is not stupid enough to ignore analytics that are staring him right in the face with blaring red flags. But if he really does hold true to his word and continue to stubbornly start Gus behind the plate, then it'd be a crime not to have Gus at least take groundballs at 1B during practices and pre-game workouts. The fact he wasn't doing that at all this year was already damning all on its own.
  24. One Regend
    I can see Troy Johnston being traded before the Marlins add 60-Day IL players to their 40 man roster. He's done well enough to build up trade value, and I can see him going to a rebuilding team that is willing to give him a bigger leash than the Marlins will and give him runway to earn their 1B job. My guess is the Twins, because they don't have any good options at 1B, and they have been trade partners with the Marlins before. Plus, as a rebuilding team, the Twins are not going to scour the free agent market to pick up the Pete Alonsos or the Josh Naylors. This might be the Marlins opportunity to buy low on Brooks Lee while he's still struggling, which, if he finds his stroke in Miami, he might solve the 3B problem the Marlins have. Might still cost them a valuable prospect though... Another Rule 5 player to also keep note of is Matt Pushard. 73 K/49.1 IP is a great base to build off of, and he also had a great 2024, which leads me to believe 2025 wasn't a fluke. I'd try to protect him if possible, though this means the Marlins might have to say goodbye to Freddy Tarnok or Michael Petersen. By the way, I'm not exactly a fan of signing Ryan O'Hearn. He's exclusively going to play 1B/DH, and my expectation is the Marlins may move Gus over to 1B to accomodate for Joe Mack, and Gus will be DHing when he's not on the field. There will be a major logjam. I think their bigger need is 3B. It's been a revolving door from 2021 onward with little-to-no production, and neither Connor Norby nor Graham Pauley is inspiring any confidence.
  25. One Regend
    I want the Seattle Mariners to win the World Series, with the Brewers as my second favorite to don the trophy. I think this is the Mariners best chance to finally break through, and honestly, Mariners fans have suffered long enough. Although, I think the Marlins finishing with a better record than the Braves is the real World Series for me. I have lived through countless years being dominated by the Braves, so it feels nice to finally be on top of them for once.
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