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Ely Sussman

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  1. Outfield prospect Jakob Marsee had an awesome 2025 season with Triple-A Jacksonville. At the time of his call-up on August 1, Marsee was leading all Marlins minor leaguers in home runs and stolen bases. View full video
  2. When it's against the New York Yankees, it just means more. The Miami Marlins have been a powerhouse for nearly two months, but there are certain corners of the baseball world that are only finding out about them now. Sweeping a Yankees team that won the last American League pennant, aggressively bolstered their roster via trade and filled most of loanDepot park with their fans was the ultimate statement series. Completing the long climb back to the .500 mark is also a key part of the narrative. If you're in South Florida and this is what it took to finally get on board the bandwagon, Fish On First welcomes you. Down on the farm, Triple-A Jacksonville won, 3-2. Derek Hill went 0-for-5 with a stolen base in his second (and possibly final) minor league rehab game. Jumbo Shrimp left-hander John Rooney was traded to the Houston Astros for cash considerations. Double-A Pensacola won, 8-4. Kemp Alderman's bat made the difference (4-4, 2B, 2 HR, 5 RBI). William Kempner lowered his Double-A ERA to 1.27 with his 10th straight scoreless relief appearance. High-A Beloit lost, 4-3. Colby Shade reached base safely four times and picked up two steals (48 SB this season). Low-A Jupiter won, 10-3. Encouraging weekend for trade acquisition Esmil Valencia. On Sunday, he stole third base, almost made a fantastic diving catch in center field and recorded the Hammerheads' hardest-hit ball (104 mph exit velocity). The Marlins are six games back of the San Diego Padres for a postseason spot. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 Listen back to our weekly State of the Fish Twitter space, which touched on Kyle Stowers' NL MVP candidacy, Agustín Ramírez's defense, a potential Edward Cabrera contract extension and Eric Wagaman's brutal slump. 🔷 Jakob Marsee became the latest 2025 Marlins rookie to make an instantaneous positive impact upon being called up. He's the first player in franchise history to compile four extra-base hits and four walks through three career games. 🔷 Former Marlins manager Jack McKeon was inducted into the Marlins Legends Hall of Fame. McKeon spoke to the media about his iconic decision to start Josh Beckett on short rest to clinch the 2003 World Series and what he remembers about first laying eyes on Miguel Cabrera. Take a look at Trader Jack's HOF plaque. 🔷 The total attendance of 101,545 for the three Yankees games established a new loanDepot park single-series record, edging out the total from the Yankees' previous visit to Miami in 2023. 🔷 The Prediction Time leaderboard has been updated through the first 36 series. Become a SuperSub and we'll keep track of your predictions all season long! 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, Julio Rodríguez became the first player in MLB history to begin his career with four consecutive 20 HR/20 SB seasons. Justin Turner (Chicago Cubs) and Taylor Ward (Los Angeles Angels) hit walk-off home runs. The Milwaukee Brewers placed two of their rising stars, center fielder Jackson Chourio and right-hander Jacob Misiorowski, on the injured list. 🔷 Today's MLB game: it's the series opener between the Marlins and Astros (probable starters RHP Sandy Alcantara and RHP Jason Alexander). Jesús Sánchez already gets to face his former team. In three games since the trade, he's gone 3-for-11 at the plate with a .697 OPS. The Marlins have a 52.0% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. 🔷 Prior to the game, Fish On First LIVE will preview the Astros series beginning at 5:30 p.m. ET. FOF LIVE is presented by About The Fans. Check out our new merchandise collection (coupon code fof10 for 10% off). Marlins podcast episodes View full article
  3. Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera were available for the right price, but nobody was willing to meet it. When the dust settled at 6:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, they both remained in Miami Marlins uniforms, as did every other member of the major league pitching staff. It was a surprising outcome—to say the least—for a club that hasn't tasted the .500 mark since mid-April and is still in the process of reinforcing a good farm system into an elite one. Alcantara is one of the most impactful pitchers in Marlins history. Across parts of seven MLB seasons in Miami, he has totaled more than one thousand innings pitched, compiling the third-most complete games and second-most strikeouts of any Marlin ever. He signed a $56 million contract extension in November 2021 right before a lockout and validated that long-term commitment by becoming the franchise's only National League Cy Young Award winner the following season. The Marlins were an atrocious team in 2024, largely because their starting rotation crumbled while Alcantara rehabbed from Tommy John surgery. Based on everything we saw and heard this spring, there was optimism that the 29-year-old was ready to reprise his workhorse role. Instead, he got lit up throughout the months of April and May. Even with solid performances lately, he entered Thursday with a 6.36 ERA, 4.48 FIP and .267 BAA, averaging barely five innings per start. After striking out seven batters on Opening Day, he has eclipsed that total only once since then. At least velocity is not a concern—Sandy topped out at 99.9 mph in his most recent start against the St. Louis Cardinals and his four-seam fastball has sat at 97.5 this year, which is comparable to his pre-TJ norm. Overall, you don't really know what version of Alcantara you're getting in August, September and October, yet according to The Athletic's Will Sammon, suitors were expected to mortgage much of their future to pry him from the Marlins: Cabrera was an international free agent signing out of the Dominican Republic in 2015. The Marlins are the only MLB organization that he has ever known. He emerged as a big-time prospect in 2019, combining for a 2.02 ERA in 19 starts at the High-A/Double-A levels. No surgeries have been required along the way, but Cabrera has been constantly nagged by injuries. He's been sidelined for portions of every single season dating back to 2017. He reached the majors on August 25, 2021. All but two of his 81 Marlins appearances since then have come in a starting role. This season is shaping up to be Cabrera's best as a big leaguer. In 18 starts, he has posted a 3.35 ERA, 3.68 FIP and .235 BAA. He's six innings away from establishing a new career-high in innings pitched. Although Cabrera's changeup was his original claim the fame, he is now throwing his curveball just as often and generating incredible results with it (+6 RV, .122 BAA and 42.2 Whiff%). His control of all his pitches has improved in terms of getting ahead in counts and challenging hitters in the strike zone. Earning a $1.95 million salary in his first year of arbitration eligibility, Cabrera will continue to be arb-eligible through 2028 (his age-30 season). That boosted his surplus value above Alcantara's. However, his erratic availability and production prior to 2025 may have given interested teams pause. "If Cabrera runs off another two or three months [like this], he could be a very, very coveted asset, even more than what he was now," Craig Mish of FanDuel Sports Network Florida said on our trade deadline Twitter space. "I think that's what the Marlins are taking a chance on here." Contenders who were linked to Alcantara and Cabrera leading up to the deadline include the Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Houston Astros and New York Yankees. It's premature to look ahead to the 2025-26 offseason trade window, because in the meantime, the Marlins are hanging out on the periphery of the NL wild-card race, seven games back of the final spot. Their deadline activity did nothing to augment the roster with outside talent, but they also did not subtract from what has recently been an extraordinary effective stable of arms. Cabrera is scheduled to take the mound next on Sunday against the Yankees, with Alcantara projected to go on Tuesday against the Astros.
  4. With mere hours to go until the MLB trade deadline, the Miami Marlins and New York Yankees continue to discuss Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera trade scenarios, according to MLB Network's Jon Morosi. The Marlins have asked for outfield prospect Spencer Jones in return. Jones might be the most polarizing prospect in baseball. He's a lifetime .279/.359/.505 hitter in the minor leagues who has been especially hot this summer, but with a 31.5% strikeout rate. As J.J. Cooper of Baseball America recently detailed, players with such severe swing-and-miss issues in the minors rarely amount to everyday big leaguers. Previous reporting from Jon Heyman of the New York Post characterized the 6'7" Triple-A masher as borderline untouchable. Shortly after Morosi's tweet, Heyman reiterated that. Earlier this month, Fish On First's own Alex Carver devised an Alcantara mock trade to the Yankees with Jones as the centerpiece.
  5. With mere hours to go until the MLB trade deadline, the Miami Marlins and New York Yankees continue to discuss Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera trade scenarios, according to MLB Network's Jon Morosi. The Marlins have asked for outfield prospect Spencer Jones in return. Jones might be the most polarizing prospect in baseball. He's a lifetime .279/.359/.505 hitter in the minor leagues who has been especially hot this summer, but with a 31.5% strikeout rate. As J.J. Cooper of Baseball America recently detailed, players with such severe swing-and-miss issues in the minors rarely amount to everyday big leaguers. Previous reporting from Jon Heyman of the New York Post characterized the 6'7" Triple-A masher as borderline untouchable. Shortly after Morosi's tweet, Heyman reiterated that. Earlier this month, Fish On First's own Alex Carver devised an Alcantara mock trade to the Yankees with Jones as the centerpiece. View full rumor
  6. The Miami Marlins have a long history of trading away their most accomplished players. Some of those decisions were more logical than others, but the pattern is undeniable. It could soon be Sandy Alcantara's turn in advance of Thursday's 6:00 p.m. ET MLB trade deadline. The Marlins do not need to force a trade that they're uncomfortable with. Alcantara remains under contract for 2026 ($17.3M salary) and 2027 ($21M club option). There is a good chance that his performance and consistency will improve as he gets further removed from Tommy John surgery, though there's also some risk that injuries or natural decline could continue to erode his value. The following deadline deals involving starting pitchers may have influenced Alcantara's market: Shane Bieber to the Toronto Blue Jays JP Sears to the San Diego Padres Michael Soroka to the Chicago Cubs July 31, 11:40 a.m. ET July 31, 10:46 a.m. ET This would be a bizarre landing spot for Alcantara considering that the Astros have one of baseball's weakest farm systems. They don't have any Top 100 MLB prospects, according to Baseball America, and the guys who come closest to clearing that bar (INF Brice Matthews and OF Jacob Melton) are already on the Astros active roster. Thinking outside the box, what about Spencer Arrighetti as the centerpiece of a package? Sidelined for most of 2025 by a broken thumb, he held down a rotation spot in Houston for most of last season and had some electric outings (4.53 ERA and 4.18 FIP in 145.0 IP overall). Arrighetti is still pre-arbitration eligible and under club control through 2029. July 31, 8:10 a.m. ET The Cubs are "still in the market for another starter" despite acquiring Michael Soroka from the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. July 30, 3:15 p.m. ET July 30, 1:31 p.m. ET Take Jim Bowden's word with a grain of salt. At least since Peter Bendix arrived, he has reported with a pro-Marlins slant, often inflating the value of Miami's players and characterizing trade negotiations in ways that our own sources and other MLB insiders have disputed. That being said, I want to be thorough with this rumor roundup. July 30, 12:12 p.m. ET This current version of Alcantara is more like a solid No. 4 than a "strong No. 2," as I wrote on Tuesday. If the Red Sox genuinely hold the latter opinion, perhaps they'll be the team to make an outlandish offer that's too good for the Fish to refuse. July 29, 7:00 p.m. ET July 29, 2:15 p.m. ET Chris Paddack is the only starting pitcher to be moved in a deadline deal so far, leaving plenty of potential landing spots for Alcantara. July 28, 10:30 a.m. ET Alcantara continues to be listed as the Marlins' probable starting pitcher for Tuesday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals. If Bob Nightengale's reporting below is to be believed, they would have very little to gain from letting him take the mound again before the deadline. The Marlins could simply scratch him at any point before first pitch and pivot to a bullpen game if trade negotiations intensify. July 27, 10:30 a.m. ET Trade interest in Alcantara has "soared since his last start with teams now convinced he will be moved by the July 31 deadline," according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today. Alcantara went a season-high seven innings in that July 23 outing against the San Diego Padres, allowing one unearned run. It was only the second time in 2025 that he's held an opponent without any walks or hit-by-pitches. He also induced a pair of his signature ground ball double plays. 6486d5c7-dd55b2b3-46966f3b-csvm-diamondgcp-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4
  7. It would be unusual time to trade for Cunningham when he's been on the IL for the past 2 months. Then again, Matthew Etzel (Fortes trade) was in the exact same situation, so maybe.
  8. Considering the talented prospect packages that have moved around Major League Baseball in recent days for relievers with limited club control beyond the 2025 season, the Marlins understandably want a piece of the action. From Will Sammon of The Athletic regarding controllable right-handers Ronny Henriquez and Calvin Faucher: "Miami is fielding interest in both players, people briefed on the situation said. In particular, multiple teams are looking to acquire Faucher, league sources said. Of the two pitchers, he is more likely to get traded." Henriquez and Faucher each threw scoreless innings in Wednesday's Marlins win over the St. Louis Cardinals. Henriquez—a former waiver claim— has emerged as the team's best bullpen weapon. In 49 appearances (all in relief), he's posted a 2.96 ERA and 3.81 FIP while picking up six saves. He will be under club control all the way through 2030. Faucher is only a year closer to free agency and in the midst of his final pre-arbitration-eligible campaign. This season, he has a 3.73 ERA and 3.97 FIP with 10 saves in 41 innings pitched. The Marlins just wrapped up a terrific month of July and bullpen depth was a major reason why. Their 'pen arms collectively ranked second in MLB with a ERA (2.22) and FIP (3.21), so they have quality candidates who could be elevated into higher-leverage roles in the event that some combination of Henriquez, Faucher and Anthony Bender depart.
  9. Considering the talented prospect packages that have moved around Major League Baseball in recent days for relievers with limited club control beyond the 2025 season, the Marlins understandably want a piece of the action. From Will Sammon of The Athletic regarding controllable right-handers Ronny Henriquez and Calvin Faucher: "Miami is fielding interest in both players, people briefed on the situation said. In particular, multiple teams are looking to acquire Faucher, league sources said. Of the two pitchers, he is more likely to get traded." Henriquez and Faucher each threw scoreless innings in Wednesday's Marlins win over the St. Louis Cardinals. Henriquez—a former waiver claim— has emerged as the team's best bullpen weapon. In 49 appearances (all in relief), he's posted a 2.96 ERA and 3.81 FIP while picking up six saves. He will be under club control all the way through 2030. Faucher is only a year closer to free agency and in the midst of his final pre-arbitration-eligible campaign. This season, he has a 3.73 ERA and 3.97 FIP with 10 saves in 41 innings pitched. The Marlins just wrapped up a terrific month of July and bullpen depth was a major reason why. Their 'pen arms collectively ranked second in MLB with a ERA (2.22) and FIP (3.21), so they have quality candidates who could be elevated into higher-leverage roles in the event that some combination of Henriquez, Faucher and Anthony Bender depart. View full rumor
  10. Should be a bunch of new prospects joining these affiliates in the coming days.
  11. Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera were available for the right price, but nobody was willing to meet it. When the dust settled at 6:00 p.m. ET on Thursday, they both remained in Miami Marlins uniforms, as did every other member of the major league pitching staff. It was a surprising outcome—to say the least—for a club that hasn't tasted the .500 mark since mid-April and is still in the process of reinforcing a good farm system into an elite one. Alcantara is one of the most impactful pitchers in Marlins history. Across parts of seven MLB seasons in Miami, he has totaled more than one thousand innings pitched, compiling the third-most complete games and second-most strikeouts of any Marlin ever. He signed a $56 million contract extension in November 2021 right before a lockout and validated that long-term commitment by becoming the franchise's only National League Cy Young Award winner the following season. The Marlins were an atrocious team in 2024, largely because their starting rotation crumbled while Alcantara rehabbed from Tommy John surgery. Based on everything we saw and heard this spring, there was optimism that the 29-year-old was ready to reprise his workhorse role. Instead, he got lit up throughout the months of April and May. Even with solid performances lately, he entered Thursday with a 6.36 ERA, 4.48 FIP and .267 BAA, averaging barely five innings per start. After striking out seven batters on Opening Day, he has eclipsed that total only once since then. At least velocity is not a concern—Sandy topped out at 99.9 mph in his most recent start against the St. Louis Cardinals and his four-seam fastball has sat at 97.5 this year, which is comparable to his pre-TJ norm. Overall, you don't really know what version of Alcantara you're getting in August, September and October, yet according to The Athletic's Will Sammon, suitors were expected to mortgage much of their future to pry him from the Marlins: Cabrera was an international free agent signing out of the Dominican Republic in 2015. The Marlins are the only MLB organization that he has ever known. He emerged as a big-time prospect in 2019, combining for a 2.02 ERA in 19 starts at the High-A/Double-A levels. No surgeries have been required along the way, but Cabrera has been constantly nagged by injuries. He's been sidelined for portions of every single season dating back to 2017. He reached the majors on August 25, 2021. All but two of his 81 Marlins appearances since then have come in a starting role. This season is shaping up to be Cabrera's best as a big leaguer. In 18 starts, he has posted a 3.35 ERA, 3.68 FIP and .235 BAA. He's six innings away from establishing a new career-high in innings pitched. Although Cabrera's changeup was his original claim the fame, he is now throwing his curveball just as often and generating incredible results with it (+6 RV, .122 BAA and 42.2 Whiff%). His control of all his pitches has improved in terms of getting ahead in counts and challenging hitters in the strike zone. Earning a $1.95 million salary in his first year of arbitration eligibility, Cabrera will continue to be arb-eligible through 2028 (his age-30 season). That boosted his surplus value above Alcantara's. However, his erratic availability and production prior to 2025 may have given interested teams pause. "If Cabrera runs off another two or three months [like this], he could be a very, very coveted asset, even more than what he was now," Craig Mish of FanDuel Sports Network Florida said on our trade deadline Twitter space. "I think that's what the Marlins are taking a chance on here." Contenders who were linked to Alcantara and Cabrera leading up to the deadline include the Boston Red Sox, Chicago Cubs, Houston Astros and New York Yankees. It's premature to look ahead to the 2025-26 offseason trade window, because in the meantime, the Marlins are hanging out on the periphery of the NL wild-card race, seven games back of the final spot. Their deadline activity did nothing to augment the roster with outside talent, but they also did not subtract from what has recently been an extraordinary effective stable of arms. Cabrera is scheduled to take the mound next on Sunday against the Yankees, with Alcantara projected to go on Tuesday against the Astros. View full article
  12. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the third and final game of Miami's road series against the St. Louis Cardinals. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) C Agustín Ramírez DH Kyle Stowers (L) SS Otto Lopez 1B Troy Johnston (L) LF Heriberto Hernandez 3B Graham Pauley (L) CF Dane Myers P Cal Quantrill Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  13. The Miami Marlins might hold onto Sandy Alcantara past this week's MLB trade deadline just to avoid having to compete against him. Alcantara reached the big leagues in 2017 as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals, who dealt him to Miami during the subsequent offseason. He has tormented them ever since, and that continued on Tuesday. He lowered his lifetime ERA to 1.71 in seven career head-to-head matchups as the Marlins rebounded from an uninspiring loss with a 5-0 shutout victory to even up the series. Alcantara's first pitch of the night was inauspicious, hitting Masyn Winn on the back. The right-hander's control was a recurring issue as he matched a season-high with five free passes (walks and hit-by-pitches combined). The Cardinals had baserunners against in every inning. None of them came around to score, though. It helped that Alcantara did not face a full-strength St. Louis lineup. Leadoff man Brendan Donovan got a rare rest day and defensive-minded catcher Pedro Pagés (54 wRC+) started over Yohel Pozo (120 wRC+). On the other hand, a transaction completed earlier in the day disrupted Alcantara's routine. This was Liam Hicks' first time catching Sandy since June 28 because his usual battery mate, Nick Fortes, was traded to Tampa Bay. Hicks encouraged Alcantara to lean heavily on his curveball—he threw the pitch more times (32) than he had in any of his previous 158 Marlins starts. But in the highest-leverage moment, facing Alec Burleson with the bases loaded in the bottom of the fifth, Alcantara put him away with a firm changeup expertly placed just off the outside corner. WU9rTWVfVjBZQUhRPT1fVUFWVVVRVUVBd1FBV1ZFRkFnQUhDQU5SQUZsUVcxY0FBVnhXVXdBR1ZRRlVBRkVG.mp4 Alcantara's final line: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 4 K (94 pitches/55 strikes). That comes on the heels of his best performance of the season against the San Diego Padres on the last homestand (7.0 IP, 0 ER). He has unquestionably upped his trade value at the ideal time. However, I'm skeptical that his value has risen enough to justify parting ways now. Alcantara isn't particularly close to re-establishing himself as an ace. Per Baseball Savant, he ranks in the 10th percentile among MLB pitchers in whiff rate, a number that only marginally increased in St. Louis. His reliance on the defense behind him is more extreme than ever. The aforementioned Padres start was the only time in 2025 that Alcantara has recorded an out in the seventh inning. Even before winning the NL Cy Young Award, what made him "El Caballo" was the efficiency and determination to consistently give the bullpen a day off. A contending team acquiring this version of him won't be able to bank on that. Perhaps I'm out of touch with the way that front offices are evaluating pitchers, or perhaps they are willing to pay a steep price for Alcantara anyway because all of the other arms on the market have their own warts. In my opinion, he is currently a solid No. 4 starter with an impeccable track record of durability outside of Tommy John surgery. While there is value in that, he is doubtful to swing a pennant race. As we have frequently noted on Fish On First, the Marlins have leverage. Given his contract status and the encouraging trajectory of the team relative to expectations, they shouldn't trade away yet another beloved veteran unless they are overwhelmingly confident that it brightens their long-term outlook. I don't believe that "too good to refuse" offer is out there for them yet. More than any other player I've covered, I trust Sandy Alcantara to continue improving as he gets acclimated to his reconstructed UCL and evolving repertoire. The best course of action would be to retain him through season's end, then re-evaluate. Non-Sandy Notes - Selected from Triple-A Jacksonville prior to the game, Marlins minor league legend Troy Johnston was Miami's starting first baseman in his major league debut. He singled to right field off of Sonny Gray in the top of the second inning and scored on Graham Pauley's two-run home run. He also doubled Jordan Walker off of first base on a pop-up. With left-hander Steven Matz on the mound in the sixth inning, Johnston was replaced by pinch-hitter Dane Myers. slzmyp_1.mp4 WU9rTWVfVjBZQUhRPT1fQndFRlZGUU5WQVFBRDFvRUFnQUhCUUZTQUZoWFcxSUFDMTBCQ1FaUVV3ZFZCRkJl.mp4 - The Marlins offense has been especially productive with two outs and Tuesday was no exception. All five of their runs were scored under those circumstances. Aside from Pauley, Otto Lopez, Eric Wagaman and Xavier Edwards drove in one run apiece. - Agustín Ramírez picked up his third stolen base of the season. Each of those steals have been of third base. Meanwhile, no other Marlin has stolen 3B more than once. I found that interesting. - Calvin Faucher, Ronny Henriquez and Valente Bellozo threw up zeroes of their own in relief of Alcantara. - Cal Quantrill and Miles Mikolas are scheduled to start Wednesday's 7:45 p.m. ET rubber game. Even more so than Alcantara, the Marlins are motivated to trade the pending free agent Quantrill before the deadline, so it wouldn't be shocking if he got scratched before the game begins amid negotiations.
  14. The Miami Marlins might hold onto Sandy Alcantara past this week's MLB trade deadline just to avoid having to compete against him. Alcantara reached the big leagues in 2017 as a member of the St. Louis Cardinals, who dealt him to Miami during the subsequent offseason. He has tormented them ever since, and that continued on Tuesday. He lowered his lifetime ERA to 1.71 in seven career head-to-head matchups as the Marlins rebounded from an uninspiring loss with a 5-0 shutout victory to even up the series. Alcantara's first pitch of the night was inauspicious, hitting Masyn Winn on the back. The right-hander's control was a recurring issue as he matched a season-high with five free passes (walks and hit-by-pitches combined). The Cardinals had baserunners against in every inning. None of them came around to score, though. It helped that Alcantara did not face a full-strength St. Louis lineup. Leadoff man Brendan Donovan got a rare rest day and defensive-minded catcher Pedro Pagés (54 wRC+) started over Yohel Pozo (120 wRC+). On the other hand, a transaction completed earlier in the day disrupted Alcantara's routine. This was Liam Hicks' first time catching Sandy since June 28 because his usual battery mate, Nick Fortes, was traded to Tampa Bay. Hicks encouraged Alcantara to lean heavily on his curveball—he threw the pitch more times (32) than he had in any of his previous 158 Marlins starts. But in the highest-leverage moment, facing Alec Burleson with the bases loaded in the bottom of the fifth, Alcantara put him away with a firm changeup expertly placed just off the outside corner. WU9rTWVfVjBZQUhRPT1fVUFWVVVRVUVBd1FBV1ZFRkFnQUhDQU5SQUZsUVcxY0FBVnhXVXdBR1ZRRlVBRkVG.mp4 Alcantara's final line: 5.0 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 3 BB, 4 K (94 pitches/55 strikes). That comes on the heels of his best performance of the season against the San Diego Padres on the last homestand (7.0 IP, 0 ER). He has unquestionably upped his trade value at the ideal time. However, I'm skeptical that his value has risen enough to justify parting ways now. Alcantara isn't particularly close to re-establishing himself as an ace. Per Baseball Savant, he ranks in the 10th percentile among MLB pitchers in whiff rate, a number that only marginally increased in St. Louis. His reliance on the defense behind him is more extreme than ever. The aforementioned Padres start was the only time in 2025 that Alcantara has recorded an out in the seventh inning. Even before winning the NL Cy Young Award, what made him "El Caballo" was the efficiency and determination to consistently give the bullpen a day off. A contending team acquiring this version of him won't be able to bank on that. Perhaps I'm out of touch with the way that front offices are evaluating pitchers, or perhaps they are willing to pay a steep price for Alcantara anyway because all of the other arms on the market have their own warts. In my opinion, he is currently a solid No. 4 starter with an impeccable track record of durability outside of Tommy John surgery. While there is value in that, he is doubtful to swing a pennant race. As we have frequently noted on Fish On First, the Marlins have leverage. Given his contract status and the encouraging trajectory of the team relative to expectations, they shouldn't trade away yet another beloved veteran unless they are overwhelmingly confident that it brightens their long-term outlook. I don't believe that "too good to refuse" offer is out there for them yet. More than any other player I've covered, I trust Sandy Alcantara to continue improving as he gets acclimated to his reconstructed UCL and evolving repertoire. The best course of action would be to retain him through season's end, then re-evaluate. Non-Sandy Notes - Selected from Triple-A Jacksonville prior to the game, Marlins minor league legend Troy Johnston was Miami's starting first baseman in his major league debut. He singled to right field off of Sonny Gray in the top of the second inning and scored on Graham Pauley's two-run home run. He also doubled Jordan Walker off of first base on a pop-up. With left-hander Steven Matz on the mound in the sixth inning, Johnston was replaced by pinch-hitter Dane Myers. slzmyp_1.mp4 WU9rTWVfVjBZQUhRPT1fQndFRlZGUU5WQVFBRDFvRUFnQUhCUUZTQUZoWFcxSUFDMTBCQ1FaUVV3ZFZCRkJl.mp4 - The Marlins offense has been especially productive with two outs and Tuesday was no exception. All five of their runs were scored under those circumstances. Aside from Pauley, Otto Lopez, Eric Wagaman and Xavier Edwards drove in one run apiece. - Agustín Ramírez picked up his third stolen base of the season. Each of those steals have been of third base. Meanwhile, no other Marlin has stolen 3B more than once. I found that interesting. - Calvin Faucher, Ronny Henriquez and Valente Bellozo threw up zeroes of their own in relief of Alcantara. - Cal Quantrill and Miles Mikolas are scheduled to start Wednesday's 7:45 p.m. ET rubber game. Even more so than Alcantara, the Marlins are motivated to trade the pending free agent Quantrill before the deadline, so it wouldn't be shocking if he got scratched before the game begins amid negotiations. View full article
  15. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the second game of Miami's road series against the St. Louis Cardinals. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) DH Agustín Ramírez LF Kyle Stowers (L) SS Otto Lopez C Liam Hicks (L) 1B Troy Johnston (L) CF Javier Sanoja 3B Graham Pauley (L) P Sandy Alcantara Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  16. Dealing with more injuries than any other MLB contender and in the midst of a season-long five-game losing streak, the Houston Astros are "in the market for a hitter" as Thursday's trade deadline approaches, according to Ken Rosenthal and Chandler Rome of The Athletic. Miami Marlins outfielder Jesús Sánchez is among the "names under consideration." Sánchez is mentioned in the same breath as Minnesota Twins infielder Willi Castro and Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Jake McCarthy. Teams know what they're getting in Sánchez. He posted a 108 wRC+ in 2023, a 101 wRC+ in 2024 and a 104 wRC+ in 2025 entering Tuesday's game (he's in the Marlins lineup, starting in right field). Virtually all of his production comes against right-handed pitching, including 59 of his 68 career home runs. Worth noting, Sánchez's plate discipline has improved in his age-27 season. He is chasing pitches outside the strike zone at a career-low rate, resulting in a personal-best 20.7% strikeout rate. If sent to Houston, Sánchez would presumably be utilized in left field and at designated hitter, with his playing time dependent on the availability of Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve. The Astros have rookie Cam Smith starting regularly in right and performing solidly. Sánchez is currently making a $4.5 million salary. That figures to climb into the $6-7 million range via arbitration next season. He'll be arb-eligible one final time in 2027 if not extended or non-tendered beforehand. View full rumor
  17. Dealing with more injuries than any other MLB contender and in the midst of a season-long five-game losing streak, the Houston Astros are "in the market for a hitter" as Thursday's trade deadline approaches, according to Ken Rosenthal and Chandler Rome of The Athletic. Miami Marlins outfielder Jesús Sánchez is among the "names under consideration." Sánchez is mentioned in the same breath as Minnesota Twins infielder Willi Castro and Arizona Diamondbacks outfielder Jake McCarthy. Teams know what they're getting in Sánchez. He posted a 108 wRC+ in 2023, a 101 wRC+ in 2024 and a 104 wRC+ in 2025 entering Tuesday's game (he's in the Marlins lineup, starting in right field). Virtually all of his production comes against right-handed pitching, including 59 of his 68 career home runs. Worth noting, Sánchez's plate discipline has improved in his age-27 season. He is chasing pitches outside the strike zone at a career-low rate, resulting in a personal-best 20.7% strikeout rate. If sent to Houston, Sánchez would presumably be utilized in left field and at designated hitter, with his playing time dependent on the availability of Yordan Alvarez and Jose Altuve. The Astros have rookie Cam Smith starting regularly in right and performing solidly. Sánchez is currently making a $4.5 million salary. That figures to climb into the $6-7 million range via arbitration next season. He'll be arb-eligible one final time in 2027 if not extended or non-tendered beforehand.
  18. Latest roster moves: Nick Fortes traded to the Tampa Bay Rays; Troy Johnston selected from Triple-A Jacksonville.
  19. Thankfully, Johnston is finally getting a chance. Who knows for how long and doubtful to stick around for 2026, regardless. This organization and pretty much all others preach the importance of defensive versatility. That makes the stubbornness about Gus at catcher hard to understand.
  20. There were a few clutch moments through the years, but the overall numbers don't support this reputation. To me, what stood out is how easily he could put balls in play. The problem was how many of those were pop-ups or other unproductive outs. Fortes is a serviceable big leaguer overall, but it was frustrating that I don't think he has reached his offensive potential.
  21. Drafted by the Marlins in 2025 (Comp Round A, $2.28M signing bonus) July 2026 update: Cannarella was the 2023 ACC freshman of the year after a season in which he hit .388 with 24 stolen bases. He had another lights-out season in 2024 when he upped his home run total from seven to 11 while playing through a shoulder injury that put the brakes on his baserunning. Cannarella had labrum surgery before the 2025 season and once again hit well over .300 as a junior and is a career .360/.453/.551 hitter. A thin-framed, six-foot center fielder, Cannarella stands out for his athleticism, defense and hitting chops. He has an open stance and a noisy setup with his hands, but generally makes high-quality swing decisions with above-average contact ability that leads to sharp line drives. He has historically been a hit-over-power offensive player, but during his 2026 campaign, he's shown legitimate pop to all fields. Cannarella is an excellent center fielder who uses his plus speed and standout instincts to track down balls in the gaps and make spectacular catches. He might wind up with a well below-average arm, though. Injury history Right labrum surgery (2024) Left wrist fracture (2026) FOF Top 30 history August 2025: #17 September 2025: #16 October 2025: #14 January 2026: #14 April 2026: #11 June 2026: #5
  22. Drafted by the Marlins in 2023 (Round 1, $7.15M signing bonus) August 2025 update: Viewed by many as the top college bat in the class, Arquette became a premium transfer portal talent after a strong 2024 season at Washington where he hit .325/.384/.574 with 12 home runs, 14 doubles, a 17.5% strikeout rate and a 7.4% walk rate. Arquette took his talents to Oregon State for his 2025 draft campaign, where he slid from second base to shortstop for one of the nation’s top programs. Arquette has a major league body at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds and finished the season as a .354/.461/.654 hitter with a career-best 19 home runs and a career-low 16.5% strikeout rate. Arquette is a free and easy right-handed swinger whose above-average bat speed from his strong frame leads to comfortably plus raw power. He has the ability to drive the baseball to all fields and has always shown impressive pull-side power that has come with its share of swing-and-miss tendencies. Arquette did a nice job improving his approach in 2025 and demonstrated improved plate discipline that led to a 12.6% walk rate—the best mark he’s had in a complete college season. Arquette moves well for his size, but he’s more of a solid runner underway and has never been much of a base-stealing threat. He’s more likely to slow down in the future as he continues to add mass to his hulking frame. Defensively, Arquette has shown an ability to handle shortstop and potentially stick there. He has a plus, accurate arm that fits nicely on the left side of the infield, where he prefers to throw from a lower slot and has reliable hands. He has experience at second, but might profile best as a slugging third baseman if he needs to move. Injury history Knee surgery (2023) Broken hand (2023) Core muscle surgery (2026) FOF Top 30 history August 2025: #3 September 2025: #3 October 2025: #4 January 2026: #7 April 2026: #7 June 2026: #4
  23. Troy Johnston is joining the Miami Marlins in St. Louis prior to Tuesday's game, Fish On First's Kevin Barral confirms. After grinding for more than 700 professional games (minor leagues and fall/winter ball combined), Johnston will get his first taste of the majors. This call-up is frankly two years overdue. A consistently great offensive performer in the minors, Johnston was the organization's 2023 Minor League Player of the Year. The Marlins snuck into the postseason that year in spite of several lineup holes. Johnston has a career MiLB slash line of .281/.367/.458 with a 123 wRC+, 81 home runs and 83 stolen bases, including a career-high 31 steals this season. Now 28 years old, he would have been eligible to elect minor league free agency this upcoming offseason if not selected to the 40-man roster beforehand. Johnston will presumably slide right into the roster spot that was vacated by the newly traded Nick Fortes. With Fortes gone, there are enough reps available for Liam Hicks to be used exclusively as a catcher. Johnston can split time with Eric Wagaman at first base. (I'd prefer to see Heriberto Hernandez over Wagaman, as discussed on Monday.) Congrats to Troy. We're hearing that the Johnston family has traveled to St. Louis to soak in this milestone with him. Down on the farm, DSL Miami defeated DSL Marlins, 5-2. José Paulino (4.2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 10 K) set career-highs in innings pitched and strikeouts. José Castro won it in walk-off fashion with his 11th home run of the season, which leads the entire Dominican Summer League. High-A Beloit's Brandon White was named the Midwest League Pitcher of the Week. For on-site coverage of the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp over the next two days, make sure you're following Kevin Barral. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 Cam Cannarella received a $2,277,425 signing bonus from the Marlins in advance of Monday's signing deadline. The team spent exactly 100% of their bonus pool, though this is the fourth straight year that they've been unwilling to pay any overage taxes (there is wiggle room to spend up to 105% of the pool without losing any future picks). Expect to see several draftees make their professional debuts this week. 🔷 I explained why Joe Mack won't be considered for a call-up until August 15 at the earliest. 🔷 Following his latest quality start, Edward Cabrera expressed his love for Miami with rumors swirling about a potential trade. Cabrera lowered his season ERA to 3.35. 🔷 The San Diego Padres are among multiple clubs considering Anthony Bender, per Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic. 🔷 The latest trade activity: the Detroit Tigers acquired Chris Paddack from the Minnesota Twins and the Milwaukee Brewers acquired Danny Jansen from the Tampa Bay Rays. Paddack bringing back a top-30 organizational prospect for the Twins bodes well for Cal Quantrill's value—both pending free agents, Quantrill and Paddack are having very comparable seasons. 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, Cleveland Guardians closer Emmanuel Clase was placed on non-disciplinary administrative leave through August 31 as part of an MLB sports betting investigation. Clase's teammate, Luis Ortiz, was placed on leave earlier this month as part of the same investigation. Hall of Famer Ryne Sandberg passed away at the age of 65. 🔷 Today's MLB game: the Marlins seek payback after getting soundly beaten by the Cardinals in their series opener (probable starters RHP Sandy Alcantara and RHP Sonny Gray). It could very well be Alcantara's final appearance with the Marlins. Sean McCormack, Isaac Azout and Kevin Barral collaborated on three mock trade proposals. Dating back to 2021, the Fish are 2-11 at Busch Stadium. They have a 40.2% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 7:45 p.m. ET. Marlins podcast episodes
  24. The Miami Marlins traded Nick Fortes to the Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday morning. This season—his fifth at the major league level—Fortes was more or less performing to the standard that the Marlins have grown accustomed to. However, the 28-year-old catcher became expendable as younger alternatives at the catcher position with higher offensive ceilings come up behind him. That's a good problem to have. Acquired via the Rule 5 Draft, Liam Hicks has made a surprisingly positive impact. He's got a Fortes-like aptitude for blocking pitches in the dirt to go along with a sophisticated plate approach. The left-handed-hitting Canadian has accrued 0.7 fWAR in 72 games. Fellow rookie Agustín Ramírez received his initial call-up when Fortes was on the injured list and immediately demonstrated that he's a legitimate power threat. It left the Marlins no choice but to simultaneously roster all three catchers. Realistically, Ramírez's future is not behind the plate. Monday's game in St. Louis happened to be one of his sloppiest defensive efforts, including errors for an errant throw and catcher interference. A handful of replies to the Fish On First Twitter account fumed about it, pleading for Joe Mack to be called up. Even more so than Hicks or Ramírez, Mack's progression is most responsible for pushing Fortes out the door. Drafted by the Marlins in 2021, he enjoyed a breakout campaign in 2024, leading all Miami minor leaguers in home runs while winning the MiLB Gold Glove at his position. He earned a promotion to Triple-A Jacksonville in April of this year and continues to thrive on defense. Mack was a slam-dunk selection to represent the Marlins at the Futures Game in Atlanta. In 2025, Mack is slashing .258/.335/.436 with a 112 wRC+ through his first 78 games played. With only a handful of exceptions, he's younger than every pitcher he has faced. Fish On First ranks him second among Marlins prospects behind only Thomas White. With the Fortes trade now official, will we see Mack selected to the roster as the corresponding move? No, and here's why. The 22-year-old could have made it a tougher decision by going on a heater following the Futures Game. Instead, it's been the opposite—Mack is scuffling with the bat lately. In seven games post-All-Star break, he has posted a .115/.179/.192 slash line with an egregious 57.1% strikeout rate. Almost all of those strikeouts have been whiffs against non-fastballs. There's no sense in exposing him to the big leagues until he gets back to tracking balls more clearly out of the pitcher's hand. b0c1TFFfV0ZRVkV3dEdEUT09X1VBUlVWMVJSVTFFQUNsWlRVZ0FIVkE5ZUFGZ0FWRlFBQkZNQUNRWU1Cd05VQmdZRg==.mp4 As a consensus Top 100 MLB prospect, Mack is a prime candidate for MLB's Prospect Promotion Incentive (PPI). The name is ironic because in this case, it actually behooves the Marlins to preserve his rookie eligibility for 2026 instead of calling him up now. If Mack spends a full year in the majors next season and wins National League Rookie of the Year, the Marlins would receive a compensatory pick after the first round of the 2027 draft (plus the millions of dollars in bonus pool money associated with that pick). Mack will still be ROY-eligible next season if he spends 45 days or fewer on the Marlins active roster this season. Waiting until August 15 for a call-up would thread that needle. It isn't a lock that Mack debuts in 2025, to be clear. He must first bust out of his mini-slump. Then, the Marlins have to decide whether to abandon the Agustín Ramírez catching experiment, or zag the other way and maximize his reps down the stretch just in case something clicks. Mack is not yet on the club's 40-man roster. He will need to be selected by mid-November to protect him from the upcoming Rule 5 Draft. Perhaps the Marlins want to kick that can down the road as far as possible to give themselves flexibility for other transactions. Without being hyperbolic, Mack has the potential to be the best catcher to play for the Marlins since J.T. Realmuto. Just have a little patience with him.
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