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  1. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the third and final game of Miami's road series against the Milwaukee Brewers. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) C Agustín Ramírez LF Kyle Stowers (L) SS Otto Lopez 1B Liam Hicks (L) DH Heriberto Hernandez 3B Graham Pauley (L) CF Dane Myers P Eury Pérez Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  2. Sandy Alcantara made a strong impression on trade deadline buyers while beating the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. Trade interest in him has "soared since his last start with teams now convinced he will be moved by the July 31 deadline." Alcantara went a season-high seven innings in that outing, allowing one unearned run. It was only the second time in 2025 that he's held an opponent without any walks or hit-by-pitches. He also induced a pair of his signature ground ball double plays. Through 20 starts this year, Alcantara has a 6.66 ERA, 4.47 FIP and .270 BAA in 104 innings pitched. In seven major league seasons prior to undergoing Tommy John surgery, he posted a 3.32 ERA, 3.77 FIP and .231 BAA in 900 ⅔ frames, peaking as the 2022 National League Cy Young Award winner. He turns 30 in September. Alcantara's spot in the Marlins rotation is due up next on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals. If suitors are as satisfied with his progress as Nightengale suggests and Miami is actually motivated to move him, taking the mound again before the deadline would be an unnecessary risk. The Marlins' deadline approach has become a bit muddled by a lengthy hot streak during which they have resembled a contender themselves. They enter Sunday as winners of four straight series. At 50-53, this is the closest they've been to the .500 mark since April. They are five games back of the final NL wild-card spot. View full rumor
  3. Sandy Alcantara made a strong impression on trade deadline buyers while beating the San Diego Padres on Wednesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. Trade interest in him has "soared since his last start with teams now convinced he will be moved by the July 31 deadline." Alcantara went a season-high seven innings in that outing, allowing one unearned run. It was only the second time in 2025 that he's held an opponent without any walks or hit-by-pitches. He also induced a pair of his signature ground ball double plays. Through 20 starts this year, Alcantara has a 6.66 ERA, 4.47 FIP and .270 BAA in 104 innings pitched. In seven major league seasons prior to undergoing Tommy John surgery, he posted a 3.32 ERA, 3.77 FIP and .231 BAA in 900 ⅔ frames, peaking as the 2022 National League Cy Young Award winner. He turns 30 in September. Alcantara's spot in the Marlins rotation is due up next on Tuesday against the St. Louis Cardinals. If suitors are as satisfied with his progress as Nightengale suggests and Miami is actually motivated to move him, taking the mound again before the deadline would be an unnecessary risk. The Marlins' deadline approach has become a bit muddled by a lengthy hot streak during which they have resembled a contender themselves. They enter Sunday as winners of four straight series. At 50-53, this is the closest they've been to the .500 mark since April. They are five games back of the final NL wild-card spot.
  4. The top two pitchers in the Marlins farm system were both on top of their game Saturday night. Thomas White and Robby Snelling set new career-highs by striking out 14 and 11 batters, respectively. Watch them all here!
  5. The top two pitchers in the Marlins farm system were both on top of their game Saturday night. Thomas White and Robby Snelling set new career-highs by striking out 14 and 11 batters, respectively. Watch them all here! View full video
  6. The Miami Marlins have a long history of trading away their most accomplished players. Some of those decisions were more logical than others, but the pattern is undeniable. It could soon be Sandy Alcantara's turn in advance of Thursday's 6:00 p.m. ET MLB trade deadline. The Marlins do not need to force a trade that they're uncomfortable with. Alcantara remains under contract for 2026 ($17.3M salary) and 2027 ($21M club option). There is a good chance that his performance and consistency will improve as he gets further removed from Tommy John surgery, though there's also some risk that injuries or natural decline could continue to erode his value. The following deadline deals involving starting pitchers may have influenced Alcantara's market: Shane Bieber to the Toronto Blue Jays JP Sears to the San Diego Padres Michael Soroka to the Chicago Cubs July 31, 11:40 a.m. ET July 31, 10:46 a.m. ET This would be a bizarre landing spot for Alcantara considering that the Astros have one of baseball's weakest farm systems. They don't have any Top 100 MLB prospects, according to Baseball America, and the guys who come closest to clearing that bar (INF Brice Matthews and OF Jacob Melton) are already on the Astros active roster. Thinking outside the box, what about Spencer Arrighetti as the centerpiece of a package? Sidelined for most of 2025 by a broken thumb, he held down a rotation spot in Houston for most of last season and had some electric outings (4.53 ERA and 4.18 FIP in 145.0 IP overall). Arrighetti is still pre-arbitration eligible and under club control through 2029. July 31, 8:10 a.m. ET The Cubs are "still in the market for another starter" despite acquiring Michael Soroka from the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. July 30, 3:15 p.m. ET July 30, 1:31 p.m. ET Take Jim Bowden's word with a grain of salt. At least since Peter Bendix arrived, he has reported with a pro-Marlins slant, often inflating the value of Miami's players and characterizing trade negotiations in ways that our own sources and other MLB insiders have disputed. That being said, I want to be thorough with this rumor roundup. July 30, 12:12 p.m. ET This current version of Alcantara is more like a solid No. 4 than a "strong No. 2," as I wrote on Tuesday. If the Red Sox genuinely hold the latter opinion, perhaps they'll be the team to make an outlandish offer that's too good for the Fish to refuse. July 29, 7:00 p.m. ET July 29, 2:15 p.m. ET Chris Paddack is the only starting pitcher to be moved in a deadline deal so far, leaving plenty of potential landing spots for Alcantara. July 28, 10:30 a.m. ET Alcantara continues to be listed as the Marlins' probable starting pitcher for Tuesday's game against the St. Louis Cardinals. If Bob Nightengale's reporting below is to be believed, they would have very little to gain from letting him take the mound again before the deadline. The Marlins could simply scratch him at any point before first pitch and pivot to a bullpen game if trade negotiations intensify. July 27, 10:30 a.m. ET Trade interest in Alcantara has "soared since his last start with teams now convinced he will be moved by the July 31 deadline," according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today. Alcantara went a season-high seven innings in that July 23 outing against the San Diego Padres, allowing one unearned run. It was only the second time in 2025 that he's held an opponent without any walks or hit-by-pitches. He also induced a pair of his signature ground ball double plays. 6486d5c7-dd55b2b3-46966f3b-csvm-diamondgcp-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4 View full article
  7. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the second game of Miami's road series against the Milwaukee Brewers. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) DH Agustín Ramírez SS Otto Lopez RF Heriberto Hernandez 1B Eric Wagaman LF Kyle Stowers (L) CF Dane Myers C Nick Fortes 3B Javier Sanoja P Janson Junk Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  8. There won't be room for everybody, and that's the way Major League Baseball likes it. The purpose of the annual MLB Rule 5 Draft is to prevent organizations from hoarding talent in the minors. Players who are at least four seasons removed from being drafted out of college and five seasons removed from being drafted out of high school or signed internationally are eligible to be whisked away by other teams unless they are protected on the 40-man roster. At first glance, you may think that there are plenty of expendable pieces on the Miami Marlins' 40-man, removing the drama from this year's roster crunch. Keep in mind, however, that six injured players will have to be reinstated from the 60-day IL following the season. The "easy" decisions will get made then. The deadline to protect eligible prospects is in mid-November. Catcher Joe Mack (a 2021 amateur draft pick) is in a tier of his own—he is certain to receive a 40-man spot, with the only question being whether or not he'll make his Marlins debut before season's end. Let's update the progress of seven lesser-hyped prospects who could be considered for Rule 5 protection depending on how the rest of their 2025 campaign goes. Their current MiLB level is in parentheses. OF Andrew Pintar (AAA) Andrew Pintar slipped off of our Fish On First Top 30 list over the weekend. He's still an intriguing prospect who leads all Triple-A Jacksonville players this season in Sprint Speed and has been successful on 15 consecutive stolen base attempts. The former Arizona Diamondbacks farmhand—he was acquired in the 2024 A.J. Puk trade—plays a smooth center field. Since coming off the injured list at the start of August, Pintar has slashed .265/.375/.471. The main concern with Pintar is that he might not be able to hit right-handed pitching. He has posted a 32% strikeout rate against Triple-A righties this season. Significant improvement in that area moving forward may persuade the Marlins to select him. RHP Josh White (AAA) I could definitely see Josh White being a Marlins September call-up. All of the relievers covered below have practically the same earned run average, but White has been the most impressive of the bunch, with a 1.61 FIP that's even better than his ERA. In fact, it's the lowest FIP across all of Minor League Baseball among pitchers who have thrown at least 50 innings. It doesn't get much redder than this (courtesy of Prospect Savant): White's fastball velocity (93.6 mph) is actually a tick below the average for MLB righty relievers, but his over-the-top delivery is tough to adjust to and his slider dominates batters on either side of the plate. If White is somehow left unprotected by the Marlins, he is the likeliest player here to depart in the Rule 5. RHP William Kempner (AA) Oh look, another under-the-radar Peter Bendix transaction that's paying dividends. Earlier this year, the Marlins traded $250,000 in international bonus pool money to acquire William Kempner from the San Francisco Giants. He had been injured for practically the entire 2024 season with the exception of a couple weeks in the Arizona Fall League. Kempner has stayed healthy throughout his age-24 campaign, throwing the ball better than ever as we enter the home stretch. As of this writing, he's in the midst of 12 straight scoreless appearances with only three earned runs allowed over his last 35 ⅔ innings pitched. Nobody has homered off of him since joining the Marlins org. Unlike White, Kempner releases the ball from a very low arm slot, generating a ton of horizontal break on his sweeper running away from right-handers. He uses his mid-90s sinker to get ahead in counts against lefties by stealing inside strikes. There are some similarities to the Marlins' own Anthony Bender, though Kempner's control is well below average for the time being. LHP Dale Stanavich (AAA) After overpowering lefties a season ago, Dale Stanavich actually has reverse platoon splits in 2025. He's throwing only 52% of his pitches for strikes with Jacksonville, otherwise he might have reached the majors already given the Marlins' lack of reliable southpaws. Although a 15% walk rate is obviously a red flag, Stanavich mitigates the damage by controlling the running game. No base-stealers have been successful against him all year (and only two of them were last year). TzBaeTBfV0ZRVkV3dEdEUT09X0JnY0VBQUZYQUFZQUN3Y0VBd0FIQUFjSEFBQUNWbFVBQkZNSFVsWlFCQVZXVkFCVg==.mp4 RHP Jesse Bergin (AA) Jesse Bergin was Rule 5-eligible in 2024, but there were no takers. That was understandable for a relief-only prospect with a mere three innings of experience at the High-A level. Spending the vast majority of this season in Pensacola, Bergin is reliably inducing soft contact while striking out a quarter of opposing batters. Here's a good example of how his fastball/curveball/slider arsenal works: merge-alp3qr.mp4 1B Nathan Martorella (AAA) Nathan Martorella possesses a promising combination of pull-side power and contact. It just has not been translating to much overall production since he was acquired in early 2024. In the San Diego Padres system, he had a 129 wRC+; in a near-identical sample size with the Marlins, he's down to a 95 wRC+. Additionally, it's rare for any player who is limited to first base defensively to get plucked in the major league phase of the Rule 5. For what it's worth, Martorella caught fire around this time last year with 11 homers over his final 30 games. DH Jacob Berry (AAA) Former Marlins first-rounder Jacob Berry has never come close to justifying his 2022 draft position. To his credit, this is shaping up to be his best professional season yet. If you were to generously give Berry a mulligan for the months of April and May (he is a notoriously slow starter), his slash line would be .292/.395/.458 with a 135 wRC+ and nearly as many walks as strikeouts. If he keeps that up, maybe another team rolls the dice? Berry has a willingness to play various positions. However, his glove isn't major league-caliber at any of them. View full article
  9. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the first game of Miami's road series against the Milwaukee Brewers. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) DH Agustín Ramírez LF Kyle Stowers (L) SS Otto Lopez C Liam Hicks (L) 1B Eric Wagaman 3B Graham Pauley (L) CF Dane Myers P Cal Quantrill Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  10. This reporter has a mixed track record of sometimes getting big scoops/sometimes making s*** up, so not reliable enough to feature in the article, but for what it's worth...
  11. The Arizona Diamondbacks, who are a game ahead of the Miami Marlins, have officially declared themselves trade deadline sellers. On Thursday, they dealt first baseman Josh Naylor to the Seattle Mariners for prospects Tristin English and Brandyn García. The concern from Miami's perspective is that the D-backs will continue to shop their pending free agents, including starting pitchers Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly. That saturates the market. Needless to say, those right-handers will be more attractive to contenders than Marlins trade chip Cal Quantrill because of their superior MLB track records. Also, the asking prices for them should be significantly lower than what the Marlins have assigned to Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera, both of whom have multiple years of club control left beyond 2025. It will be harder to convince contenders to give up their elite young talent for Alcantara or Cabrera when there are solid rental alternatives. The deadline is six days away. Down on the farm, Triple-A Jacksonville won, 4-2. Jacob Berry drilled the game-winning home run, which was also his longest one at the Triple-A level (estimated at 436 feet). Double-A Pensacola won, 10-7. They bailed out Dax Fulton, who retired only four of the 13 batters he faced (1.1 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 60 pitches/34 strikes). Eight different Blue Wahoos players drove in runs. High-A Beloit lost, 9-2. Garret Forrester sneakily has a .408 on-base percentage this season. Low-A Jupiter lost, 3-2. Andrew Salas hit his first career minor league homer. DSL Marlins won, 4-2. DSL Miami lost, 7-6. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 I wrote about every angle that the Marlins need to consider before pulling the trigger on an Alcantara trade. 🔷 The FCL Marlins season ended with a rainout. The team lost 15 of their final 16 games. It was frankly an uninteresting summer for stateside rookie ball prospects. No hitter with significant playing time slugged above .382 (Breyias Dean). Rotation anchors and 2024 draft picks Nate Payne and Grant Shepardson were bright spots—they should get moved up to Jupiter soon. The career of Jun-Seok Shim (10.80 ERA and 29.5 BB% in 13.1 IP) has been fully derailed. 🔷 On this day in 1995, the Marlins set a franchise record by tripling over times in a win over the San Francisco Giants. 🔷 Griffin Conine and Just Baseball's Aram Leighton will be opening packs of 2025 Topps Chrome baseball cards at Lids in Boca Raton on Saturday. 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, the Detroit Tigers have lost 10 of their last 11, though still enjoy the largest cushion of any MLB division leader (eight games). Nick Kurtz had two more extra-base hits on Thursday, upping his July slash line to .373/.455/.896. He has seized the lead in the American League Rookie of the Year race. 🔷 Today's MLB game: the Marlins begin a three-game series against the team with the best record in the majors, the Milwaukee Brewers (probable starters RHP Cal Quantrill and RHP Freddy Peralta). The Brewers are celebrating their 25th season at American Family Field by bringing in a bunch of alumni. The Marlins have a 34.9% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 4:10 p.m. ET. 🔷 Prior to the game, Fish On First LIVE will preview the Brewers series beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET. FOF LIVE is presented by About The Fans. Check out our new merchandise collection (coupon code fof10 for 10% off). Marlins podcast episodes
  12. The Arizona Diamondbacks, who are a game ahead of the Miami Marlins, have officially declared themselves trade deadline sellers. On Thursday, they dealt first baseman Josh Naylor to the Seattle Mariners for prospects Tristin English and Brandyn García. The concern from Miami's perspective is that the D-backs will continue to shop their pending free agents, including starting pitchers Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly. That saturates the market. Needless to say, those right-handers will be more attractive to contenders than Marlins trade chip Cal Quantrill because of their superior MLB track records. Also, the asking prices for them should be significantly lower than what the Marlins have assigned to Sandy Alcantara and Edward Cabrera, both of whom have multiple years of club control left beyond 2025. It will be harder to convince contenders to give up their elite young talent for Alcantara or Cabrera when there are solid rental alternatives. The deadline is six days away. Down on the farm, Triple-A Jacksonville won, 4-2. Jacob Berry drilled the game-winning home run, which was also his longest one at the Triple-A level (estimated at 436 feet). Double-A Pensacola won, 10-7. They bailed out Dax Fulton, who retired only four of the 13 batters he faced (1.1 IP, 6 H, 7 ER, 3 BB, 2 K, 60 pitches/34 strikes). Eight different Blue Wahoos players drove in runs. High-A Beloit lost, 9-2. Garret Forrester sneakily has a .408 on-base percentage this season. Low-A Jupiter lost, 3-2. Andrew Salas hit his first career minor league homer. DSL Marlins won, 4-2. DSL Miami lost, 7-6. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 I wrote about every angle that the Marlins need to consider before pulling the trigger on an Alcantara trade. 🔷 The FCL Marlins season ended with a rainout. The team lost 15 of their final 16 games. It was frankly an uninteresting summer for stateside rookie ball prospects. No hitter with significant playing time slugged above .382 (Breyias Dean). Rotation anchors and 2024 draft picks Nate Payne and Grant Shepardson were bright spots—they should get moved up to Jupiter soon. The career of Jun-Seok Shim (10.80 ERA and 29.5 BB% in 13.1 IP) has been fully derailed. 🔷 On this day in 1995, the Marlins set a franchise record by tripling over times in a win over the San Francisco Giants. 🔷 Griffin Conine and Just Baseball's Aram Leighton will be opening packs of 2025 Topps Chrome baseball cards at Lids in Boca Raton on Saturday. 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, the Detroit Tigers have lost 10 of their last 11, though still enjoy the largest cushion of any MLB division leader (eight games). Nick Kurtz had two more extra-base hits on Thursday, upping his July slash line to .373/.455/.896. He has seized the lead in the American League Rookie of the Year race. 🔷 Today's MLB game: the Marlins begin a three-game series against the team with the best record in the majors, the Milwaukee Brewers (probable starters RHP Cal Quantrill and RHP Freddy Peralta). The Brewers are celebrating their 25th season at American Family Field by bringing in a bunch of alumni. The Marlins have a 34.9% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 4:10 p.m. ET. 🔷 Prior to the game, Fish On First LIVE will preview the Brewers series beginning at 3:00 p.m. ET. FOF LIVE is presented by About The Fans. Check out our new merchandise collection (coupon code fof10 for 10% off). Marlins podcast episodes View full article
  13. The Miami Marlins need to get this right. They did on December 14, 2017, shipping Marcell Ozuna to the St. Louis Cardinals for a package headlined by Sandy Alcantara. Things have come full circle—leading up to next Thursday's MLB trade deadline, the Fish will be listening intently as suitors inquire about Alcantara. What should the Marlins do with the revered right-hander? It depends on the following factors. Who could you get in return? Alcantara is under club control through the 2027 season, content with living in South Florida and proud to serve as a veteran presence on a very young team. There is zero pressure on the Marlins to trade him now unless they deem it to be an efficient baseball move. There really isn't any precedent for a pitcher with such poor recent results getting traded for a rich prospect haul. On the other hand, front office thinking has rapidly evolved. Alcantara's appalling 6.66 ERA this year is not a deal-breaker. Opposing teams are unbothered by how much the Marlins have struggled to prevent runs with him on the mound—it's solely about what they forecast him to do moving forward with their own infrastructure. Therefore, his 4.48 FIP and 5.00 xERA are more relevant to his valuation, and the Marlins can point to how much his control has improved since the beginning of June, which has dropped his FIP to 3.60 over his last nine starts. The dream scenario would be emulating the 2017 José Quintana trade in which the Chicago White Sox acquired both Eloy Jiménez and Dylan Cease from the Cubs (along with two lesser prospects) despite the durable Quintana being in the midst of an uneven season. The Marlins simply wouldn't be able to refuse upside like that—Jiménez and Cease were considered 60-grade and 55-grade prospects, respectively. But what if Alcantara only entices offers akin to last winter's Jesús Luzardo deal? The Marlins made a bold bet on Starlyn Caba, a far-from-the-majors, defense-first, 55-grade talent. That should be the bare minimum they consider taking back for a former Cy Young Award winner who has established he's healthy again. The risk of standing pat There is more to Alcantara's ineffectiveness than bad luck and a small sample size. He has allowed more hard contact and induced fewer swinging strikes than ever before. Also, pitcher health is notoriously unpredictable. There are countless examples of guys who had "workhorse" reputations in their 20s, only to fade fast in their 30s (Sandy turns 30 in September). I laid out the "dream scenario" above. What about the worst-case scenario: Are the Marlins prepared to potentially get nothing in return for Alcantara? Externally, their farm system quality is regarded as above-average, but not elite. There is sufficient interest in Alcantara to make a deal prior to the deadline that significantly closes that gap. It would be irresponsible to assume that will still be the case next offseason. We simply don't know what the rest of the 2025 holds for him. What is the Marlins' window of contention? The Marlins have been a genuinely competitive team since Eury Pérez rejoined their starting rotation—they have the fourth-best record in MLB during that span (.632 winning percentage). But can they sustain that elite play for the remainder of the season? That's literally what it would take to maybe sneak into October with 87 wins. There is an important distinction between being competitive and being contenders. The Marlins would need to leapfrog five National League teams to qualify for October baseball, and most of those teams will be upgrading their personnel prior to the deadline. Aside from Alcantara, you can count on one hand the number of players on this roster who have even experienced a full-length season at the major league level. Accounting for their brief and spotty track records and the club's minus-54 run differential, both FanGraphs and PECOTA currently estimate Miami's playoff odds at less than 1%. A potential Detroit Tigers-esque run this year is so improbable, it isn't part of the Alcantara trade calculus. This is about how the organization views 2026. Integrating top prospects Joe Mack and Jakob Marsee should elevate their defense, and you could be looking at the deepest rotation in the league with the additions of Thomas White and Robby Snelling. With Alcantara still in the fold and the investment in a veteran corner infielder, maybe that would be enough to win consistently from the get-go. How would you reallocate Alcantara's money? It's fair to wonder if the Marlins would be fine relying on a combination of Eury Pérez, Edward Cabrera, Ryan Weathers, Braxton Garrett, Janson Junk, Max Meyer, Adam Mazur, Robby Snelling, Thomas White and Valente Bellozo to start games for them next season. All of their 2026 salaries combined would be less than the $17.3 million that Alcantara is guaranteed. "A little spending could go a long way" to supplement those young arms, as Aram Leighton of Just Baseball wrote last week. An Alcantara trade is unacceptable unless every cent he was owed (and then some) goes toward reinforcing other areas of the Marlins roster. Given the franchise's low hit rate on free agents, perhaps that money facilitates contract extensions or veteran trade acquisitions instead. President of baseball operations Peter Bendix must have a plan for this and the cooperation of principal owner Bruce Sherman beforehand. How would you explain it to the fanbase? Bendix's biggest issue since taking over the Marlins front office has been public messaging. He has asked for fans to trust him without divulging the specifics of his long-term strategy. He has inflated expectations for newly acquired players while showing little affection toward those who have already produced at the highest level. Bendix has traded popular Marlins before, but this is different. Alcantara peaked as the best pitcher in the world and his name is near the top of numerous all-time franchise leaderboards. While it was clear in 2024 that a shake-up was needed, the Fish are firing on all cylinders as this year's deadline approaches. Trading Alcantara multiple years in advance of free agency to a team with championship ambitions and only getting back players with little-to-no MLB experience—that would be challenging to navigate. Sherman's cheapness is inexcusable, but the reality is that the Marlins are struggling to keep up with most other organizations in terms of local revenue. The baseball ops department is partially responsible—through their actions and explanations—for motivating people to spend on their fandom (season ticket plans, merchandise, etc.). If Bendix pulls the trigger on this, some uncharacteristic transparency could go a long way.
  14. The Miami Marlins need to get this right. They did on December 14, 2017, shipping Marcell Ozuna to the St. Louis Cardinals for a package headlined by Sandy Alcantara. Things have come full circle—leading up to next Thursday's MLB trade deadline, the Fish will be listening intently as suitors inquire about Alcantara. What should the Marlins do with the revered right-hander? It depends on the following factors. Who could you get in return? Alcantara is under club control through the 2027 season, content with living in South Florida and proud to serve as a veteran presence on a very young team. There is zero pressure on the Marlins to trade him now unless they deem it to be an efficient baseball move. There really isn't any precedent for a pitcher with such poor recent results getting traded for a rich prospect haul. On the other hand, front office thinking has rapidly evolved. Alcantara's appalling 6.66 ERA this year is not a deal-breaker. Opposing teams are unbothered by how much the Marlins have struggled to prevent runs with him on the mound—it's solely about what they forecast him to do moving forward with their own infrastructure. Therefore, his 4.48 FIP and 5.00 xERA are more relevant to his valuation, and the Marlins can point to how much his control has improved since the beginning of June, which has dropped his FIP to 3.60 over his last nine starts. The dream scenario would be emulating the 2017 José Quintana trade in which the Chicago White Sox acquired both Eloy Jiménez and Dylan Cease from the Cubs (along with two lesser prospects) despite the durable Quintana being in the midst of an uneven season. The Marlins simply wouldn't be able to refuse upside like that—Jiménez and Cease were considered 60-grade and 55-grade prospects, respectively. But what if Alcantara only entices offers akin to last winter's Jesús Luzardo deal? The Marlins made a bold bet on Starlyn Caba, a far-from-the-majors, defense-first, 55-grade talent. That should be the bare minimum they consider taking back for a former Cy Young Award winner who has established he's healthy again. The risk of standing pat There is more to Alcantara's ineffectiveness than bad luck and a small sample size. He has allowed more hard contact and induced fewer swinging strikes than ever before. Also, pitcher health is notoriously unpredictable. There are countless examples of guys who had "workhorse" reputations in their 20s, only to fade fast in their 30s (Sandy turns 30 in September). I laid out the "dream scenario" above. What about the worst-case scenario: Are the Marlins prepared to potentially get nothing in return for Alcantara? Externally, their farm system quality is regarded as above-average, but not elite. There is sufficient interest in Alcantara to make a deal prior to the deadline that significantly closes that gap. It would be irresponsible to assume that will still be the case next offseason. We simply don't know what the rest of the 2025 holds for him. What is the Marlins' window of contention? The Marlins have been a genuinely competitive team since Eury Pérez rejoined their starting rotation—they have the fourth-best record in MLB during that span (.632 winning percentage). But can they sustain that elite play for the remainder of the season? That's literally what it would take to maybe sneak into October with 87 wins. There is an important distinction between being competitive and being contenders. The Marlins would need to leapfrog five National League teams to qualify for October baseball, and most of those teams will be upgrading their personnel prior to the deadline. Aside from Alcantara, you can count on one hand the number of players on this roster who have even experienced a full-length season at the major league level. Accounting for their brief and spotty track records and the club's minus-54 run differential, both FanGraphs and PECOTA currently estimate Miami's playoff odds at less than 1%. A potential Detroit Tigers-esque run this year is so improbable, it isn't part of the Alcantara trade calculus. This is about how the organization views 2026. Integrating top prospects Joe Mack and Jakob Marsee should elevate their defense, and you could be looking at the deepest rotation in the league with the additions of Thomas White and Robby Snelling. With Alcantara still in the fold and the investment in a veteran corner infielder, maybe that would be enough to win consistently from the get-go. How would you reallocate Alcantara's money? It's fair to wonder if the Marlins would be fine relying on a combination of Eury Pérez, Edward Cabrera, Ryan Weathers, Braxton Garrett, Janson Junk, Max Meyer, Adam Mazur, Robby Snelling, Thomas White and Valente Bellozo to start games for them next season. All of their 2026 salaries combined would be less than the $17.3 million that Alcantara is guaranteed. "A little spending could go a long way" to supplement those young arms, as Aram Leighton of Just Baseball wrote last week. An Alcantara trade is unacceptable unless every cent he was owed (and then some) goes toward reinforcing other areas of the Marlins roster. Given the franchise's low hit rate on free agents, perhaps that money facilitates contract extensions or veteran trade acquisitions instead. President of baseball operations Peter Bendix must have a plan for this and the cooperation of principal owner Bruce Sherman beforehand. How would you explain it to the fanbase? Bendix's biggest issue since taking over the Marlins front office has been public messaging. He has asked for fans to trust him without divulging the specifics of his long-term strategy. He has inflated expectations for newly acquired players while showing little affection toward those who have already produced at the highest level. Bendix has traded popular Marlins before, but this is different. Alcantara peaked as the best pitcher in the world and his name is near the top of numerous all-time franchise leaderboards. While it was clear in 2024 that a shake-up was needed, the Fish are firing on all cylinders as this year's deadline approaches. Trading Alcantara multiple years in advance of free agency to a team with championship ambitions and only getting back players with little-to-no MLB experience—that would be challenging to navigate. Sherman's cheapness is inexcusable, but the reality is that the Marlins are struggling to keep up with most other organizations in terms of local revenue. The baseball ops department is partially responsible—through their actions and explanations—for motivating people to spend on their fandom (season ticket plans, merchandise, etc.). If Bendix pulls the trigger on this, some uncharacteristic transparency could go a long way. View full article
  15. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the third and final game of Miami's home series against the San Diego Padres. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) SS Otto Lopez LF Kyle Stowers (L) DH Agustín Ramírez 1B Liam Hicks (L) C Nick Fortes 3B Graham Pauley (L) CF Javier Sanoja P Sandy Alcantara Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  16. The Miami Marlins aren't going to part with him easily, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports, but starting center fielder Dane Myers is a potential trade candidate leading up to next Thursday's deadline. Contending teams have shown interest in the toolsy 29-year-old. From Opening Day through mid-June, Myers was the best all-around player on the Marlins. Even in the midst of a deep slump at the plate, his .264/.309/.355 slash line this season is comparable to what he posted as a part-time player from 2023-24. In line with his career norms, he continues to have large platoon splits (146 wRC+ vs. LHP, 55 wRC+ vs. RHP). Myers has been excellent defensively, accruing seven defensive runs saved, four outs above average and seven outfield assists (tied for fifth among MLB outfielders). He's been Miami's starting center fielder in 53 of their first 100 games. Gifted with plus speed, he was also responsible for arguably the consequential baserunning play of this Marlins season. Rosenthal describes Triple-A Jacksonville standout Jakob Marsee as a "potential replacement" for Myers. I wrote recently about Marsee sliding into Jesús Sánchez's role in the event of a trade, and still think that is the more likely outcome with Sánchez being two years closer to free agency than Myers is. View full rumor
  17. The Miami Marlins aren't going to part with him easily, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports, but starting center fielder Dane Myers is a potential trade candidate leading up to next Thursday's deadline. Contending teams have shown interest in the toolsy 29-year-old. From Opening Day through mid-June, Myers was the best all-around player on the Marlins. Even in the midst of a deep slump at the plate, his .264/.309/.355 slash line this season is comparable to what he posted as a part-time player from 2023-24. In line with his career norms, he continues to have large platoon splits (146 wRC+ vs. LHP, 55 wRC+ vs. RHP). Myers has been excellent defensively, accruing seven defensive runs saved, four outs above average and seven outfield assists (tied for fifth among MLB outfielders). He's been Miami's starting center fielder in 53 of their first 100 games. Gifted with plus speed, he was also responsible for arguably the consequential baserunning play of this Marlins season. Rosenthal describes Triple-A Jacksonville standout Jakob Marsee as a "potential replacement" for Myers. I wrote recently about Marsee sliding into Jesús Sánchez's role in the event of a trade, and still think that is the more likely outcome with Sánchez being two years closer to free agency than Myers is.
  18. The MLB trade deadline is eight days away. Here's how the Miami Marlins' main trade chips did in Tuesday's win. Edward Cabrera (5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 86 pitches/56 strikes) put his elbow injury scare behind him and picked up his fourth W of the season. Jesús Sánchez went 1-for-4 with two batted balls that had 110 mph exit velocities. Anthony Bender retired the side in order in the eighth inning. It was his 12th consecutive scoreless appearance, lowering his ERA to 1.91. Going a bit deeper on Bender, his value probably is not as high as his career-best run-prevention numbers would suggest. His FIP (3.80) is doubled his ERA as he's striking out both right-handed and left-handed batters less than 20% of the time. Bender has been allowing more hard-hit balls than he did in any previous season, yet his .186 batting average on balls in play is second-lowest among all qualified MLB relievers. I could see Bender drawing interest from the Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies and Texas Rangers, among others. Down on the farm, Triple-A Jacksonville won, 8-4. Deyvison De Los Santos, Maximo Acosta and Matt Mervis each homered. Double-A Pensacola won, 6-4. The Blue Wahoos were scoreless until Ryan Ignoffo hit a two-run triple with two outs in the top of the ninth inning. Kemp Alderman returned from a two-week absence by going 1-for-4. The only run allowed by starter Alex Williams was unearned. Williams quietly has a 1.83 ERA in 39 ⅓ innings since being promoted to Pensacola. High-A Beloit lost, 7-4. Wilfredo Lara has had back-to-back three-hit games and is slashing .353/.400/.559 in July. FCL Marlins lost, 7-3. Grant Shepardson finished the complex league season with a 3.67 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 41 ⅔ innings pitched. DSL Marlins won, 9-1. Luis Porfirio, Alejandro De La Cruz and Albert Ortiz combined to throw a no-hitter! The Marlins stole nine bases, including four for Luis Cova and three for Almen Tolentino. DSL Miami won, 10-3. Pedro Montero (3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 2 K) lowered his ERA to 1.19. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 Derek Hill (left middle finger sprain) has been placed on the injured list for the third time this season. Jack Winkler was recalled from Jacksonville to fill out the active roster, but he'll rarely play, as we saw during his previous stint in the majors. Heriberto Hernandez is the main beneficiary of Hill's absence—Hernandez has started three straight games. 🔷 Kevin Barral interviewed several of the 2025 Marlins draftees during their visit to loanDepot park on Monday. 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, the Milwaukee Brewers' 11-game winning streak was snapped by the Seattle Mariners. Cal Raleigh's solo homer accounted for the only run of the game. Old friend Tanner Scott was placed on the 15-day IL with left elbow inflammation. The Los Angeles Dodgers closer has a 4.14 ERA, 4.03 FIP and MLB-leading seven blown saves this season. 🔷 Today's MLB game: it is a getaway day matinee between the Marlins and San Diego Padres (probable starters RHP Sandy Alcantara and RHP Dylan Cease). Final game in Miami before the trade deadline. Alcantara will be looking to avenge his May 28 stinker in San Diego where he allowed six runs (all earned) and failed to record a single strikeout. The Marlins have a 45.9% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 12:10 p.m. ET. Marlins podcast episodes
  19. The MLB trade deadline is eight days away. Here's how the Miami Marlins' main trade chips did in Tuesday's win. Edward Cabrera (5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 86 pitches/56 strikes) put his elbow injury scare behind him and picked up his fourth W of the season. Jesús Sánchez went 1-for-4 with two batted balls that had 110 mph exit velocities. Anthony Bender retired the side in order in the eighth inning. It was his 12th consecutive scoreless appearance, lowering his ERA to 1.91. Going a bit deeper on Bender, his value probably is not as high as his career-best run-prevention numbers would suggest. His FIP (3.80) is doubled his ERA as he's striking out both right-handed and left-handed batters less than 20% of the time. Bender has been allowing more hard-hit balls than he did in any previous season, yet his .186 batting average on balls in play is second-lowest among all qualified MLB relievers. I could see Bender drawing interest from the Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies and Texas Rangers, among others. Down on the farm, Triple-A Jacksonville won, 8-4. Deyvison De Los Santos, Maximo Acosta and Matt Mervis each homered. Double-A Pensacola won, 6-4. The Blue Wahoos were scoreless until Ryan Ignoffo hit a two-run triple with two outs in the top of the ninth inning. Kemp Alderman returned from a two-week absence by going 1-for-4. The only run allowed by starter Alex Williams was unearned. Williams quietly has a 1.83 ERA in 39 ⅓ innings since being promoted to Pensacola. High-A Beloit lost, 7-4. Wilfredo Lara has had back-to-back three-hit games and is slashing .353/.400/.559 in July. FCL Marlins lost, 7-3. Grant Shepardson finished the complex league season with a 3.67 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 41 ⅔ innings pitched. DSL Marlins won, 9-1. Luis Porfirio, Alejandro De La Cruz and Albert Ortiz combined to throw a no-hitter! The Marlins stole nine bases, including four for Luis Cova and three for Almen Tolentino. DSL Miami won, 10-3. Pedro Montero (3.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 4 BB, 2 K) lowered his ERA to 1.19. More Marlins news and content below: 🔷 Derek Hill (left middle finger sprain) has been placed on the injured list for the third time this season. Jack Winkler was recalled from Jacksonville to fill out the active roster, but he'll rarely play, as we saw during his previous stint in the majors. Heriberto Hernandez is the main beneficiary of Hill's absence—Hernandez has started three straight games. 🔷 Kevin Barral interviewed several of the 2025 Marlins draftees during their visit to loanDepot park on Monday. 🔷 Elsewhere around baseball, the Milwaukee Brewers' 11-game winning streak was snapped by the Seattle Mariners. Cal Raleigh's solo homer accounted for the only run of the game. Old friend Tanner Scott was placed on the 15-day IL with left elbow inflammation. The Los Angeles Dodgers closer has a 4.14 ERA, 4.03 FIP and MLB-leading seven blown saves this season. 🔷 Today's MLB game: it is a getaway day matinee between the Marlins and San Diego Padres (probable starters RHP Sandy Alcantara and RHP Dylan Cease). Final game in Miami before the trade deadline. Alcantara will be looking to avenge his May 28 stinker in San Diego where he allowed six runs (all earned) and failed to record a single strikeout. The Marlins have a 45.9% chance to win, per FanGraphs. First pitch at 12:10 p.m. ET. Marlins podcast episodes View full article
  20. The Chicago Cubs had a scouting presence at loanDepot park on Tuesday night to get a first-hand look at Miami Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera, according to Matt Cozzi of Locked On Cubs. Fish On First can confirm the report. The Cubs are certain to be buyers leading up to the July 31 MLB trade deadline. They entered the day with 95.2% playoff odds, per FanGraphs, occupying the National League's top wild-card spot and only one game behind the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL Central lead. Their rotation is anchored by Matthew Boyd and Shota Imanaga, but outside of them, they're lacking clear playoff-caliber starters. Facing a deep San Diego Padres lineup, Cabrera continued to impress, just as he has for the majority of 2025 (5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 86 pitches/56 strikes). Coming off an elbow injury scare before the All-Star break, the 27-year-old's velocity was slightly up on all of his pitches relative to his full-season averages. 1130dc9a-0fbabcf3-b6292a2d-csvm-diamondgcp-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4 Through 88 innings pitched this season, Cabrera has a 3.48 ERA and 3.56 FIP. He is in his first year of arbitration and under club control through 2028. Jeff Passan and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN estimate that there's only a 30% chance of him being moved this summer. Cabrera is projected to pitch one more time before the deadline during Miami's upcoming road series in St. Louis. View full rumor
  21. The Chicago Cubs had a scouting presence at loanDepot park on Tuesday night to get a first-hand look at Miami Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera, according to Matt Cozzi of Locked On Cubs. Fish On First can confirm the report. The Cubs are certain to be buyers leading up to the July 31 MLB trade deadline. They entered the day with 95.2% playoff odds, per FanGraphs, occupying the National League's top wild-card spot and only one game behind the Milwaukee Brewers for the NL Central lead. Their rotation is anchored by Matthew Boyd and Shota Imanaga, but outside of them, they're lacking clear playoff-caliber starters. Facing a deep San Diego Padres lineup, Cabrera continued to impress, just as he has for the majority of 2025 (5.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 0 BB, 6 K, 86 pitches/56 strikes). Coming off an elbow injury scare before the All-Star break, the 27-year-old's velocity was slightly up on all of his pitches relative to his full-season averages. 1130dc9a-0fbabcf3-b6292a2d-csvm-diamondgcp-asset_1280x720_59_4000K.mp4 Through 88 innings pitched this season, Cabrera has a 3.48 ERA and 3.56 FIP. He is in his first year of arbitration and under club control through 2028. Jeff Passan and Kiley McDaniel of ESPN estimate that there's only a 30% chance of him being moved this summer. Cabrera is projected to pitch one more time before the deadline during Miami's upcoming road series in St. Louis.
  22. Here are the latest Miami Marlins game notes, produced by the Marlins communications department and relayed to our loyal readers. These notes apply to the second game of Miami's home series against the San Diego Padres. Starting Lineup 2B Xavier Edwards (S) RF Jesús Sánchez (L) SS Otto Lopez C Agustín Ramírez DH Kyle Stowers (L) LF Heriberto Hernandez 1B Eric Wagaman 3B Graham Pauley (L) CF Dane Myers P Edward Cabrera Click HERE to download the full game notes (preview below)
  23. Signed via international free agency in 2024 ($145k bonus) July 2025 update: After struggling to impact the ball in his 2024 debut season, Tolentino has been an extraordinary offensive player while repeating the DSL. "Getting stronger as the year goes on," a team source tells Fish On First, "with minimal swing-and-miss, minimal chase and natural loft." The 18-year-old has a 31% hard-hit rate. Tolentino has been error-prone behind the plate, but his flexibility and arm strength give him a chance to stick at catcher long term. Professional awards/accolades 2025 Dominican Summer League All-Star FOF Top 30 history August 2025: honorable mention
  24. For the final time in 2025, the big league team and all of the full-season and rookie ball affiliates are scheduled to play on the same day (FCL ends later this week).
  25. The historical trend of deadline overpays is undeniable, yes. I still would be shocked if Sanchy is being valued that way right now. He would be a modest upgrade for a handful of teams, but the overall upside isn't too compelling when he is an automatic out vs. lefties. It's also a player profile that frequently gets non-tendered before their final year of arbitration because of the large supply of platoon corner outfielders, so I'm treating him like somebody with 1.5 years of control.
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