Could last CBA deadline yield clues to Miami Marlins approach this time around?

[Sean Millerick]

We're nearing five years since the last time the Miami Marlins faced the prospect of an upcoming MLB lockout. 

Bruce Sherman remains the owner. The Marlins' aspirations are essentially the same—have a winning record and make the playoffs. It's also anyone's guess when Miami will next play a baseball game. 

Other than that? Everything has changed. No more Derek Jeter. No more Kim Ng. Miami's roster is in a far better place. Perhaps more importantly, this CBA deadline brings a higher likelihood of real change to the game's financial landscape. Then again, Miami's entire approach to team building has changed dramatically since then.

In short, it may well be a fool's errand to try to draw any concrete lessons for this Marlins offseason from that of 2021-22.

However, Sherman is still the man cutting the checks, and his memory of how things went last time around will undoubtedly play a part. Same goes for that of other senior officials, with new president of baseball operations Peter Bendix foremost among them (he was general manager of the Tampa Bay Rays last time around). 

So let's start with Sherman and the headliners of that offseason, namely the best and worst decisions of his ownership era. Right before the start of the last MLB lockout, the Marlins announced two eleventh-hour moves. One of those was an extension for Sandy Alcantara, which he is about to enter the last year of now that Miami has exercised their club option. Unfortunately, the other was the signing of free agent Avisaíl García to four-year, $53 million deal that the team just finished paying off.

Obviously, the outcomes of those two decisions couldn't have been more different. Before breaking down the potential lessons, I'd be remiss not to note that both of them did equally check one box the Marlins could try to check again this November: Spending.

Even heading into the last CBA, the pressure was on Miami to spend more. That will arguably be even more true heading into 2027. Therefore, a big expenditure of some kind on the Marlins part shouldn't come as a surprise. But what will that look like? 

On the Sandy side, could Sherman be well disposed to greenlighting another club friendly extension? Either that, or doubling down on his prior investment with another Alcantara extension? Sandy has proven a sound investment, and for the first time in years, the Marlins have multiple young players with proven resumes worth a long-term commitment.  

The Sandman closes out the 2026 Marlins season with a strikeout 🔥 Epic. https://t.co/bRqNCiaz95

— Fish On First (@FishOnFirst) September 27, 2026

Yet on the García side, it also feels safe to assume that the Marlins won't be rushing into any big free-agent deals. Other than Jorge Soler later that same offseason, no FA has received a multi-year commitment from Miami since then. The Miami Herald's Barry Jackson reported last week that the team would not sign any "marquee 30-plus free-agents to enormous deals."

In short, I'd bet heavily on an extension or two, but wouldn't count on a true free-agent splurge. 

Trades could be a different story, though. The Marlins acquired Jacob Stallings and Joey Wendle in the month leading up to the last CBA deadline. The Wendle move could be particularly worth dwelling on, as it was one of six trades that Bendix's Tampa Bay Rays made during that span. One of those, by the way, brought in a young prospect named Junior Caminero. 

In my opinion, it all points to a busy month for the Marlins. 

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[MarlinzDude86]

We're better off extending our core guys we have. Better chemistry with each other with the talent to develop more.

[One Regend]

I'm looking at the free agent market, and I'm not seeing a whole lot of guys worth putting investment in.

Maybe betting on Kris Bubic to stay healthy?
Maybe betting on David Peterson to maintain his Cubs form?
Maybe hope that Robbie Ray's decline in strikeouts were an abberation?

Because I looked at the Corner Infielder market (the thing Miami needs just as much as rotation depth), and no one there is worth gambling on.

[1993 fan from start]

IF MARLINS are trading  Xavier  I hope it more  De Los Santos replacement.

Someone like Will Simpson Rays will be worth a shot, With rest in deal Pichers.

 extending I  see it going somewhere like last season 60 percent.

 Avisaíl mistake would be with a reliver and a starting pitcher . this time around. if Happen . which I'M 70 percent sure it won't.

[Hippyboi]

Suarez could have a bounce back year and give us that righty power bat