Jump to content
Fish On First
  • Create Account
  • Which Marlins players are in danger as post-2025 roster crunch approaches?

    Before the Marlins can make any offseason upgrades, they will need to subtract a handful of players from their 40-man roster.

    Ely Sussman
    Image courtesy of Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images

    Marlins Video

    When it comes to roster construction, if you give the Miami Marlins a mile, they will take 5,279 feet.

    Within five days after the World Series ends, all MLB teams must make roster moves to accommodate players who finished the season on their 60-day injured list. For teams that missed the playoffs, there is ample time to do this early! You have the entire month of October to decide. In all likelihood, the Marlins have already made their decisions internally, but being consistent with how the front office has operated since Peter Bendix's arrival, do not expect any announcements until we're on the doorstep of that deadline.

    A year ago, the Marlins were carrying a lot of dead weight. Their 40-man roster casualties entering the 2024-25 offseason were Shaun Anderson, David Hensley, Anthony Maldonado, Darren McCaughan, John McMillon, Roddery Muñoz, Adam Oller, Michael Petersen, Sixto Sánchez and Josh Simpson. None of them substantially boosted their stock during the subsequent season.

    Getting the marginal moves right was crucial to the Marlins' 17-win improvement in 2025. Those decisions will be tougher this time around because not as many of their players are clearly expendable.

    As of Wednesday morning, Miami's roster is full, six players are waiting to be activated from the 60-day IL, and top catching prospect Joe Mack needs protection from the upcoming Rule 5 draft. It's 47 guys for 40 spots (without even diving into several other Rule 5 eligibles who merit strong consideration for their own roster spots).

    Screenshot 2025-10-14 at 4.07.19 PM.png

     

    Most likely to be cut

    jack winkler helmet close up_Megan Briggs_Getty Images.jpg

    Jack Winkler: The Marlins used Winkler as a benchwarmer—he totaled only 16 plate appearances during his 55 days on the active roster. In the middle of the season, they designated him for assignment, making it crystal clear that they don't believe he is 40-man roster material.

    Tyler Zuber: Lifetime 6.26 ERA and 6.50 xERA in 66 appearances and he's out of minor league options.

    George Soriano: Lifetime 5.95 ERA and 5.87 xERA in 72 appearances and he's out of minor league options.

    Jesús Tinoco: Tinoco is expected to miss the entire 2026 season while rehabbing from right elbow surgery. He showed intriguing upside with his performance in August/September 2024, but his overall career track record has been too inconsistent to justify a spot on the 40-man right now.

     

    Fringy but complementary pieces

    Joey Wiemer: The Marlins project to use an all-left-handed starting outfield on most days. Righty Heriberto Hernández will help balance things out. That still likely leaves room for an additional righty with center field ability. Dane Myers is a superior candidate than Wiemer for that role. The midsummer waiver claim is prone to expanding the strike zone (35.9 chase%) and whiffing on hittable pitches as well (75.9 zone contact%).

    Andrew Nardi and Josh Simpson: The Marlins will keep at least one of these bullpen lefties given the dearth of internal alternatives. The decision hinges on Nardi's health outlook. If there is conviction internally that the 27-year-old has resolved his nagging back injury, they'll part with Simpson, who was outrighted to the minors last November after going unclaimed. But as of Tuesday, Barry Jackson of the Miami Herald reports that it is "uncertain" whether Nardi will be tendered a contract.

    Brian Navarreto: Squeezing Navarreto off of the roster would be a no-brainer if the Marlins genuinely believed that Agustín Ramírez could become a viable defensive catcher. Despite a lukewarm vote of confidence from Peter Bendix, it's painfully clear that Ramírez's future will be at a less strenuous position. Navarreto had an impressive defensive campaign in 2025, though only 36 innings of that came in the majors. He turns 31 in December.

     

    Others on the hot seat

    valente bellozo licks fingers.gifChristian Roa and Freddy Tarnok: These right-handers posted very solid and comparable numbers for Triple-A Jacksonville, but only combined for 10 ⅓ MLB innings. The Marlins also burned Tarnok's final option year. With rumors swirling that they may actually spend money on an experienced, high-leverage reliever in free agency, retaining both Roa and Tarnok may be redundant.

    Valente Bellozo: Bellozo limped to the finish line, allowing eight earned runs on six homers in 2 ⅔ innings pitched after experiencing right triceps tightness. That put a major dent in his otherwise-decent season stat line. Already working against Bellozo, Marlins pitching development covets velocity and swing-and-miss, particularly out of the 'pen.

    Eric Wagaman: If the Marlins were patient enough to give Wagaman 514 plate appearances in 2025, it would be surprising to see him dumped so early in the offseason. On the other hand, he was arguably the worst qualified first baseman in the league.

    Will Xavier Edwards lead the Marlins in hits again in 2026?

    Follow Fish On First For Miami Marlins News & Analysis

    Think you could write a story like this? Fish On First wants you to develop your voice and find an audience. We recruit our paid front page writers from our users blogs section. Start a blog today!

    More From Fish On First
    — Latest Marlins coverage from our writers
    — Recent Marlins discussion in our forums
    — Become a Fish On First SuperSub

    Recent Marlins Articles

    Recent Marlins Videos

    Marlins Top Prospects

    Karson Milbrandt

    Pensacola Blue Wahoos - AA, RHP
    Karson Milbrandt matched his professional career high by going six strong innings on Saturday. Dating back to last year, he has posted a 1.86 ERA through his first six starts at Double-A.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    Featured Comments

    I think another "most likely cut" is Serna. With both Sanoja and Acosta on the roster, it is quite redundant to have him. While he's still young, I think it will come down to choosing between him and DLS, and the latter should be in a safer spot as of today.

    The upcoming Rule 5 draft looks quite interesting for the Marlins. Apart from Mack, there are at least two arms with enough merit to be considered (White, Pushard), and another two borderline candidates (Kempner, McSweeney)... fun times!

    Really intriguing. Great article Ely. I was wondering about rule 5 eligible players and noticed you had written an article about this in August. I've attached it.

    After reading it I think the Marlins should consider removing Michael Petersen and Tyler Zuber from our 40-man roster. I would then use the two available spots to add relief pitchers Josh White and William Kempner to protect them from the rule 5 draft.

    I would like to see if George Soriano and Josh Simpson can improve over the offseason but if Jesse Bergin and/or Dale Stanavich are close to MLB ready it may be time to move on as well.

    Position players Andrew Pintar and Jacob Berry also make interesting cases. Currently I'm not sure if adding Andrew Pintar would be a roster upgrade. He played well last season, but I would like to see him replicate it first before being added.

    As for Jacob Berry, I would add him and remove Jack Winkler. Jacob Berry has proved he still deserves a shot after the championship season he helped lead Jacksonville to. Plus, he is a former first round pick, switch hitter and versatile. 

    Dax Fulton and Jared Serna are both players that could be removed if we add someone via free agency, trade or the rule 5 draft.

    I would like to know what you all think.

     

    This is simple.
    Cut Wagaman, Bellozo, Nardi, Navarreto, Winkler, Serna, Zuber, Soriano, and Tinoco.
    Protect Mack, White, and Pushard.

    -Wagaman is the worst 1B in the league and it isn't even close. Platooning him helped, but if you're platooning at a position where production is expected, then you've messed up somewhere.
    -Bellozo has been dancing through the raindrops his entire 2-year tenure and I'm honestly surprised he hasn't gotten blown up yet. He's a low velo low whiff guy with no spot in the rotation, and his production isn't sustainable. This isn't someone you build a team around.
    -The Marlins have been strangely quiet about Nardi's rehab progress and it's honestly starting to scare me. There's a chance he may have thrown his last pitch in MLB.
    -Tinoco is going to miss the entirety of next season and it's questionable if he's going to return to form when he does return from injury, especially not with his inconsistent track record.
    -Zuber is an unfortunate cut. He's incredibly good at getting hitters to chase pitches out of the zone. That is something to build off of. It's honestly between him and Freddy Tarnok, and I view Tarnok to be more valuable than he is.
    -I had this to say about Jared Serna earlier in the month:

    Quote

    To be honest, I don't know what y'all were expecting from Jared Serna. He's a 5'7 player who lucked into barrels the past couple of seasons. You should've known that his power numbers were going to be unsustainable from the start. Not every 5'7 player can be a Jose Altuve, because Jose Altuve is a unicorn himself, and he is likely Cooperstown-bound, so we shouldn't have unrealistic expectations like this.

    -Navarreto is a Minor League Journeyman.
    -Who the heck is Jack Winkler?

    Furthermore, someone mentioned protecting Jacob Berry, and I literally rolled my eyes. Like, come on. I know I wouldn't make the best General Manager. I'm basically a couch GM at best. But be real with yourself. Do you really see a guy, who, by far and away, posted his best season since signing with us, as the face of the franchise after posting a slugging percentage under .400 AS A FIRST BASEMANKeeping him on the 40-man roster is a franchise-killing move. Give up on him already. He's a lost cause.

    22 hours ago, Hans Herrera said:

    I think another "most likely cut" is Serna. With both Sanoja and Acosta on the roster, it is quite redundant to have him. While he's still young, I think it will come down to choosing between him and DLS, and the latter should be in a safer spot as of today.

    Serna crossed my mind. I was a big believer in him and this season was brutal.

    That being said, I'm pretty confident the Marlins will want to re-evaluate him in spring training before making that decision. He'll definitely be under pressure to perform in early 2026 to keep his spot.

    6 hours ago, Ely Sussman said:

    Serna crossed my mind. I was a big believer in him and this season was brutal.

    That being said, I'm pretty confident the Marlins will want to re-evaluate him in spring training before making that decision. He'll definitely be under pressure to perform in early 2026 to keep his spot.

    They need to re-evaluate him now. Rule 5 is just around the corner.

    16 hours ago, One Regend said:

    They need to re-evaluate him now. Rule 5 is just around the corner.

    I mean, he had over 400 PAs in AA and performed under .600 OPS, then got promoted to Jacksonville (I guess because his defense and player promotions from JAX to MIA during the season), and even with that small sample of barely over 40 PAs, the only interesting stat was his OBP (.366). 

    No way he is deserving a 40-man spot in Miami. I don't think any team is willing to take him a la Nasim Núñez, which means, they probably get to keep him in with the Jumbo Shrimp, and that should be fine.

    9 hours ago, Hans Herrera said:

    I mean, he had over 400 PAs in AA and performed under .600 OPS, then got promoted to Jacksonville (I guess because his defense and player promotions from JAX to MIA during the season), and even with that small sample of barely over 40 PAs, the only interesting stat was his OBP (.366). 

    No way he is deserving a 40-man spot in Miami. I don't think any team is willing to take him a la Nasim Núñez, which means, they probably get to keep him in with the Jumbo Shrimp, and that should be fine.

    Absolutely my thoughts. It makes no sense to wait to assess him in Spring Training. Assess him now. And my assessment is he isn't worth protecting. Even if someone takes him via Rule 5, they're not going to hide him on a roster like the Nationals did with Nasim Nunez.

    And, as I said before, even if a team takes him and did hide him on the roster (I don't know why they would. He doesn't have the defensive versatility, nor the baserunning, that Nunez had.), what are we really losing out on? He's a 5'7 player who doesn't project particularly well, and his power numbers he posted pre-trade aren't sustainable to expect out of him. Again, he's not Jose Altuve. Nobody will be Jose Altuve. That's a unicorn we're talking about and expecting that kind of production is a fool's errand.

    Discussing roster spots and rule 5 protections can be fun, but I have decided to let Bendix do the thinking. I was not a fan and I still want Luzardo back but you cannot argue with the results. I am very much looking forward to how the winter goes and the start of next season. Go Fish!!!



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...