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  • Way-too-early 2026 Marlins Opening Day roster projection

    The Marlins enter this offseason with several core players already penciled into everyday roles. How will the rest of the 26-man roster take shape around them?

    Isaac Azout
    Image courtesy of James A. Pittman-Imagn Images

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    Forecasting the outcomes of roster battles was a headache at this time a year ago for a Miami Marlins team relying on so many inexperienced and unheralded players. Following a franchise-best 17-win improvement from the previous season, the exercise is slightly easier entering 2026, and expectations will be higher for the players who make the cut.

    “I think that in 2026, we’re going to have a really competitive, exciting team. The goal remains to be as good as we can for as long as possible and to build a team that’s competing for the NL East division every single year,” president of baseball operations Peter Bendix said at his annual end-of-year press conference.

    Agustín Ramírez, Jakob Marsee and several other members of Miami's historically successful rookie class have earned opportunities to stick at the big league level. In the rotation, assuming everyone remains healthy and with the team, the Marlins could feature one of the most formidable starting fives in all of baseball.

    As the season unfolds, another wave of high-upside prospects is due to arrive at loanDepot park, reinforcing both the lineup and pitching staff. However, keep in mind that this projection applies specifically to Opening Day. These are not necessarily the 26 "best" players in the Marlins organization—they are the ones with the easiest path to begin the 2026 season on the active roster.

     

    Position Players

    Default starting lineup:
    Agustín Ramírez, 1B Paul Goldschmidt, 2B Xavier Edwards, 3B Connor Norby, SS Otto Lopez, LF Kyle Stowers, CF Jakob Marsee, RF Griffin Conine, DH Heriberto Hernández 

    Bench:
    C/1B Liam Hicks, UTIL Javier Sanoja, 3B Graham Pauley, OF Joey Wiemer 

    USATSI_26869081.jpg

    After remaining in the playoff picture mathematically until the final week of the season, it’s fair to assume Miami will be more aggressive in free agency than in years past. Reports already indicate that the Marlins will look for outside help at the corner infield spots as well as in the bullpen.

    If there’s one position that desperately needs an upgrade in production, it’s first base. That’s where future Hall of Famer Paul Goldschmidt comes in.

    Goldschmidt, 38, while long removed from his MVP days, can still provide meaningful offense and defense in 2026—should he decide to continue playing. The right-handed hitter slashed .274/.328/.403 for the New York Yankees in 2025.

    As a unit, Marlins first basemen in 2025—primarily a combination of Eric Wagaman, Matt Mervis, and Liam Hicks—ranked 24th in MLB in fWAR (-0.5) and 28th in wRC+ (83). Even after one of the least productive seasons of his career, Goldschmidt would be an instant upgrade at the position and bring much-needed veteran leadership to a young clubhouse.

    2026 could be a make-or-break year for Connor Norby, who struggled to stay healthy and produce in his second year with Miami. He posted a below-average 90 wRC+ in 88 games with minus-4 outs above average at third base. The Marlins seem adamant about keeping Norby at third base for the time being.

    On the catching front, it’s only a matter of time until Fish On First’s No. 2 prospect Joe Mack fully takes over the position, mercifully sparing fans from watching Ramírez behind the plate as often. Delaying Mack's call-up until mid-April would delay his free agent eligibility until after the 2032 season.

    The outfield promises to be a strength for Miami, highlighted by Stowers and Marsee, who figure to anchor the top of the lineup for years to come. Conine, who missed a large chunk of the 2025 season due to a left shoulder dislocation, will get most of his opportunities against right-handed pitching. He’ll likely platoon with Wiemer or Dane Myers.

    Just missed:
    C Joe Mack, OF Dane Myers

     

    Pitchers

    Starting rotation: RHP Sandy Alcantara, RHP Edward Cabrera, RHP Eury Pérez, LHP Ryan Weathers, RHP Janson Junk 

    Bullpen: RHP Ronny Henriquez, RHP Calvin Faucher, RHP Lake Bachar, RHP Tyler Phillips, RHP Michael Petersen, LHP Josh Simpson, RHP Anthony Bender, LHP Cade Gibson 

    sandy alcantara strikeout reaction.gifSandy Alcantara and Eury Pérez both successfully returned from Tommy John surgery in 2025 and finished the year healthy with solid performances down the stretch. Alcantara is owed $17.3 million next season before a club option worth $21 million for 2027.

    Unlike last winter, Bendix was noncommittal about Alcantara’s future with the club. “I’m not going to speculate on any individual player,” Bendix said. “We’re always looking for ways to improve our club, and I’m going to stay as disciplined as possible in doing that.”

    Weathers, if he can stay healthy, will continue to serve as the lone left-hander in the rotation. Junk, a minor league free agent signee last winter, is out of minor league options and will likely be given every opportunity to break camp with the Marlins.

    As for the bullpen, Ronny Henriquez will remain their highest-leverage arm following a historically dominant 2025 season. Despite a rough campaign, Josh Simpson figures to stay in the mix—especially after a strong finish, allowing no earned runs in his final six appearances.

    Lefties Braxton Garrett and Andrew Nardi used to be integral pieces of Miami's pitching staff, but it's premature to project either of them to earn back their jobs coming off extended injury absences.

    Just missed:
    LHP Braxton Garrett, LHP Andrew Nardi, RHP Max Meyer

    Aside from Sandy Alcantara, which Marlins starting pitcher do you trust most?

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    One of the most expected articles this month! Thanks, Isaac. I agree with most of your roster, but there are some things I don't see happening.

    For example, why bring Goldschimdt when he's been roughly league average over the last two seasons? First base is definitely a target for improvement, but before bringing Goldy, I think Johnston bought himself some ABs next season. Either Troy or Wags (or both, at Wiemer's expense) should share the position with Gus until calling Mack up to the show.

    One can hope for a trade with the Orioles, getting Coby Mayo for ... Weathers or Meyer?.

    Also, the bullpen, particularly Simpson vs Meyer. Josh has a great pitch mix, but his results were so poor that he might need more time in JAX. As my understanding, Meyer should be ready by OD, not sure about Nardi or Braxton, but if they are, no way I am choosing Simpson over any of them.

    Offseason targets: 1B/3B; a bona-fide Closer; a right-handed, glove-first OF (or maybe stick with Dane Myers)

    Starting lineup:
    C Agustín Ramírez, 1B Troy Johnston, 2B Xavier Edwards, 3B Connor Norby, SS Otto Lopez, LF Kyle Stowers, CF Jakob Marsee, RF Griffin Conine, DH Heriberto Hernández 

    Bench:
    C/1B Liam Hicks, UTIL Javier Sanoja, 3B Graham Pauley, 1B/OF Eric Wagaman

    Starting rotation:
    RHP Sandy Alcantara, RHP Edward Cabrera, RHP Eury Pérez, LHP Ryan Weathers, RHP Janson Junk 

    Bullpen:
    RHP Ronny Henriquez, RHP Calvin Faucher, RHP Lake Bachar, RHP Tyler Phillips, RHP Michael Petersen, RHP Max Meyer, RHP Anthony Bender, LHP Cade Gibson

    Injury uncertainty: LHP Braxton Garrett, LHP Andrew Nardi

    Agree with Troy and anybody over Goldschmidt.

    Joe Mack has to start at catcher, unless they pull the May call up thing to save a year on his long term contract

    White should add to the bullpen and Henriquez, should close. More Philipps, Faucher (not closing) and ???.

    Snelling has to start, so one starter has to be traded and Braxton has earned a shot. May or Mazur could work their way in. Alcantara has to go. Maybe Cabrera as well

    Mayo might be a good buy low candidate, but after a down Mountcastle season, I don't see them trading him

    Pauley over Norby.

    Realistically, as constructed this is not a playoff team after one lucky season - as was our wild card season 2 years ago. They will not spend to upgrade. The minor league system has 3 bonafide - 1 catcher and 2 pitchers - with a bunch of skinny, glove first  pinch runners. Need to add some big league ready on field talent

     

    It's fun to speculate. As for me, definitely against adding any declining veterans (like Goldschmidt) that take ABs away from our developing talent. That's a regression, a return to conventional piecemeal thinking. It's the lazy plug-and-play mediocrity epitomized by teams like the Angels, Pirates, and many other perennial underachievers. In addition to retarding long-term development by removing invaluable playing time, those mediocre and declining players are also more expensive, usually more prone to injury. I wrote before that I don't buy the famous Ron Washington "it's incredibly hard" warning about first base. If it's not Ramírez, let the baseball guys put their collective minds together, pick one or two options, and get the freaking coaching to work. We have one coach for every two players, and still, everyone's panties get in a bunch over teaching professional, world-class athletes to do anything. Is the game's difficulty augmented by ineffective teaching and/or uncoachable players? If so, add those issues to the work-in-progress list, Mr. Bendix. 

    While we're on the subject of ineffective coaching and/or uncoachable players, what's the answer? Every single game, we still see players watching long fly balls that end up in play, and bases are lost. Coasting into second so that outfield misplays cannot be capitalized upon. Players continuously over-sliding headfirst and then being tagged out. Gyrations, wiggling, and gesturing over a freaking single in the seventh inning with their team down five runs. Running into outs at third with the ball in front of them. 

    Luckily, though, MLB players lead the world in earrings, jewelry, and neck tattoos that more than compensate for their increasingly glaring lack of basic skills and execution. 

     

    Hello everyone,

     

    Hope you all are doing well. Thank you for posting, Isaac. Paul Goldschmidt might demand around $10-12 million per year and playing time daily. In 2026 he will be 38 years old, and 4 seasons removed from his last All Star (NL MVP) season. With this in mind, the Marlins may try to target someone younger.

    Eric Wagaman, Heriberto Hernandez and Troy Johnston are all players that are controllable, have experience and are young. With more playing time one of them should be able to stick around until someone that is a better fit comes along.

    As for the rest of your predictions, I strongly agree. Barring a trade, a minor league free agent signing or a rule 5 pick that is how things should look.

     

    it to early to say till winter meetings i see a trade or two.

    L uis Arana needs call up maybe move to 1B in Spring 

    Ryan Ignoffo Need call up also    just needs 

    I don't see Max Meyer being bullpen 100%  may 5 inng pitcher 

    Freddy Tarnok will get more inngs bullpen

    still see Adam Mazur , Ryan Gusto  competing 

     LHP Braxton Garrett, LHP Andrew Nardi, RHP Max Meyer compet for spot be on roster.   will be trade include Weather ( hate to say him or Braxton) spring training upper hand Braxton Garrett,  RHP Max Meyer

    Brian Navarreto what will happen with him?  will be replacement catcher . if not on team.

    Robby Snelling will get call up some point

    don't see Troy Johnston being full time 1st baseman . YOUR  wanting same at 1st like 2025 

    Weather needs stay injure free

    Norby. over Pauley .



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