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  • Would you do this trade to bring another Alcántara to Miami?


    Kevin Barral

    The Marlins and Cubs are logical trade partners this season. What could a deal between these two teams possibly look like?

    Image courtesy of Angelina Alcantar/News Sentinel / USA TODAY NETWORK

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    Following the blockbuster trade sending Miami Marlins second baseman Luis Arraez to the San Diego Padres, the Miami Marlins have begun a rebuilding process once again. Arraez was the first to go, but certainly won't be the last. Particularly for Marlins players who are nearing free agency, it is just a matter of when they will be shopped to contending teams.

    At 22-15 entering Wednesday, the Chicago Cubs should be aggressive buyers. Their main weakness to this point in the 2024 season has been the bullpen, which ranks 23rd in the majors in fWAR, 24th in ERA and 26th in walk rate. According to Dave Kaplan of ESPN 1000, the Marlins and Cubs "could be working on a deal for a reliever."

    Miami closer Tanner Scott would make the most sense to be dealt if that is the case. Since being acquired by the Marlins in 2022, Scott has posted a 3.14 ERA, 3.03 FIP, 12.2 K/9 and 4.9 BB/9 with 36 saves in 154 ⅔ innings pitched. Last year, he had one of the best seasons in franchise history for a relief pitcher. Earning a salary of $5.7M this season, the 29-year-old is a pending free agent.

     

    Scott has frequently struggled with his control during his career, including at the start of this season. Fortunately for the Marlins, he's been more effective lately, striking out the side against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday while averaging 97.5 mph on his fastball. He has allowed earned runs in only two of 15 appearances in 2024.

    Although the MLB trade deadline is nearly three months away, Marlins president of baseball operations Peter Bendix can maximize the return  for Scott by moving him earlier so that the acquiring team can use him more. Waiting until the deadline would allow Bendix to negotiate with more teams, but there is also the risk of an injury occurring between now and then.

    The Cubs opened this season with Adbert Alzolay as their closer, but have since switched to Héctor Neris. Even if Scott doesn't move into that role, he can be used in high-leverage situations, especially when there are left-handed batters due up.

    In the Arraez trade, the Marlins focused on quantity over quality. Let's imagine that for Scott, they try to get the best individual prospect possible.

    Kevin Alcántara, 21, was acquired from the New York Yankees in the Anthony Rizzo trade. The Dominican outfielder has progressed to the Double-A level where he is currently slashing .220/.268/.385/.653 with four home runs, six RBIs and a 97 wRC+. He is ranked as Chicago's #6 prospect, according to Northside Baseball. (There is no relation between him and Sandy Alcantara, to be clear.)

    Year Age AgeDif Tm Lg Lev Aff G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB
    2019 16   2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk-FRk NYY 41 174 161 26 41 8 3 1 19 5 3 8 36 .255 .305 .360 .665 58 3 4 0 1 0
    2019 16 -3.5 Yankees East GULF Rk NYY 32 128 123 19 32 5 2 1 13 3 3 3 27 .260 .289 .358 .647 44 3 2 0 0 0
    2019 16 -1.8 Yankees DOSL FRk NYY 9 46 38 7 9 3 1 0 6 2 0 5 9 .237 .348 .368 .716 14 0 2 0 1 0
                                                               
    2021 18   2 Teams 2 Lgs Rk CHC 34 138 119 32 41 4 5 5 24 5 0 17 36 .345 .423 .588 1.012 70 2 0 1 1 0
    2021 18 -1.9 Cubs ACL Rk CHC 25 107 92 27 31 3 5 4 21 3 0 13 28 .337 .415 .609 1.024 56 2 0 1 1 0
    2021 18 -2.0 Yankees FCL Rk NYY 9 31 27 5 10 1 0 1 3 2 0 4 8 .370 .452 .519 .970 14 0 0 0 0 0
    2022 19 -1.8 Myrtle Beach CARL A CHC 112 495 428 76 117 19 6 15 85 14 3 55 123 .273 .360 .451 .811 193 6 6 0 6 1
    2023 20   3 Teams 3 Lgs A+-AA-Rk CHC 102 435 391 71 111 26 3 13 71 15 4 36 105 .284 .345 .466 .810 182 6 3 0 5 0
    2023 20 -3.7 Tennessee SOUL AA CHC 5 21 16 4 4 1 0 1 4 0 0 3 7 .250 .381 .500 .881 8 1 1 0 1 0
    2023 20 -2.3 South Bend MIDW A+ CHC 95 408 371 65 106 25 3 12 66 15 4 31 97 .286 .341 .466 .807 173 5 2 0 4 0
    2023 20 0.1 Cubs ACL Rk CHC 2 6 4 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 .250 .500 .250 .750 1 0 0 0 0 0
    2023 20 -2.4 Mesa AZFL Fal   21 97 86 11 22 7 1 5 23 3 1 8 30 .256 .330 .535 .865 46 1 2 0 1 0
    2024 21 -2.8 Tennessee SOUL AA CHC 22 92 87 11 19 3 0 4 6 2 1 5 27 .218 .261 .391 .652 34 2 0 0 0 0

     

    Standing at 6'6", 188 pounds, what stands out about Alcántara is the impressive speed and outfield defense he has at that size. He is capable of sticking in center, but his strong arm can profile him well in right field.

    Along with Jakob Marsee (Arraez trade) and Shane Sasaki (Jon Berti trade), the addition of Alcántara would complete the makeover of the Marlins' Double-A outfield. The righty hitter has the potential to be a middle-of-the-order run producer in Miami as soon as 2025.

    Would you be willing to trade Scott to the Cubs right now if Alcántara was being offered?

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    At this point, yeah I would.  I love Tanner but he's of no use to us in this doomed season. I'm not certain if the Cubs themselves are the best choice for trade partner in terms of leverage, however. It's likely that at least one contender with a marquee closer loses them to injury--Royals with Chapman, Orioles with Kimbrel, etc. which would make them willing to overpay for Tanner.

    I guess the question is whether or not we trust Tanner to stay good for that long lol



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