Top trade targets

[Chad Turner]

I did a quick analysis and found my top 2, considering I want some big bats who can play defense at the corner infield spots, and are MLB ready.  They are:

https://www.milb.com/player/jonathon-long-675085

https://www.milb.com/player/sal-stewart-701398

[Ely Sussman]

Sal Stewart in particular makes a lot of sense to me. More natural at 3B than Norby.

Depending on how the rest of the season goes for both of them, could enter next spring with Stewart and Norby in an straightforward competition for the starting job, or trade Norby and bring in a one-year free agent stopgap at the position while Stewart finishes off his development.

[Casey Marika]

Great numbers for these guys in the minors. I think any trade with Eddy needs to bring back a 55 rated prospect (top 100 MLB) plus two 45 grade prospects to spread out the risk of a bust, or a 60 grade prospect (top 50 MLB) with a 45 and 40 grade prospects if the marlins also throw in a filler prospect to balance the trade. I'm using Baseball America grades because I don't trust MLB.com ratings and neither of these guys are rated that highly or in the BA top 100. The table with player names shows the BA position players rated 55 and higher with their present day prospect valuation. You can calculated a current player valuation based on salary vs projected WAR during future years of control and compare that to the present day prospect valuation. The small table shows the approximate value of prospects based on grades.

Typically at the deadline the buying team overpays by about $10M-15M. The Marlins trade candidates value are as follows:

Sandy - $17.6M, Deadline Overpay: $27M-$32M

Eddy - $44.2M, Deadline Overpay: $54M-$59M

Sanchy - $28.9M, Deadline Overpay: $39-$44M

These numbers can be uses as a one to one comparison for current MLB players vs Prospects to help build out trades. Let me know if you're interested on how these values are built. Obviously, the Marlins have their own in house valuations for players and risk tolerances. I'd give my left nut to get to see the in house player valuations and projections.

Prospect Type	AVG WAR (FGP)	$ Value (PV)
70 POS	12.5	$112,500,000
70 P	9.5	$85,500,000
65 POS	6.9	$62,100,000
65 P	7.1	$63,900,000
60 POS	6.1	$54,900,000
60 P	6.7	$60,300,000
55 POS	5.1	$45,900,000
55 P	3.7	$33,300,000
50 POS	3.1	$27,900,000
50 P	2.3	$20,700,000
45 POS	0.9	$7,750,501
45 P	0.6	$5,344,375
40 POS	0.6	$5,167,001
40 P	0.4	$3,562,917

Rank	Name	Position	Position Abv.	Team	Age	Grade	Risk	$ Value (PV)
1	Roman Anthony	OF	POS	Boston Red Sox	20	65	Medium	$62,100,000
4	Jesus Made	SS	POS	Milwaukee Brewers	17	65	High	$55,890,000
5	Leodalis De Vries	SS	POS	San Diego Padres	18	65	High	$55,890,000
6	Sebastian Walcott	SS	POS	Texas Rangers	18	65	High	$55,890,000
9	Kevin McGonigle	SS	POS	Detroit Tigers	20	65	High	$55,890,000
13	Walker Jenkins	OF	POS	Minnesota Twins	19	65	High	$55,890,000
7	Marcelo Mayer	SS	POS	Boston Red Sox	22	60	Medium	$54,900,000
11	Jordan Lawlar	SS	POS	Arizona Diamondbacks	22	60	Medium	$54,900,000
15	Colt Emerson	SS	POS	Seattle Mariners	19	60	High	$49,410,000
16	Nick Kurtz	1B	POS	Athletics	21	60	High	$49,410,000
17	Samuel Basallo	C	POS	Baltimore Orioles	20	60	High	$49,410,000
18	Max Clark	OF	POS	Detroit Tigers	20	60	High	$49,410,000
19	Jac Caglianone	1B	POS	Kansas City Royals	21	60	High	$49,410,000
20	Bryce Eldridge	1B	POS	San Francisco Giants	20	60	High	$49,410,000
22	George Lombard	SS	POS	New York Yankees	19	60	High	$49,410,000
23	Emmanuel Rodriguez	OF	POS	Minnesota Twins	21	60	High	$49,410,000
24	JJ Wetherholt	SS	POS	St. Louis Cardinals	22	60	High	$49,410,000
26	Travis Bazzana	2B	POS	Cleveland Guardians	22	60	High	$49,410,000
27	Konnor Griffin	SS	POS	Pittsburgh Pirates	18	60	High	$49,410,000
28	Dalton Rushing	C	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	23	60	High	$49,410,000
29	Bryce Rainer	SS	POS	Detroit Tigers	19	60	High	$49,410,000
31	Luis Pena	2B	POS	Milwaukee Brewers	18	60	High	$49,410,000
32	Carson Williams	SS	POS	Tampa Bay Rays	21	60	High	$49,410,000
45	Ethan Salas	C	POS	San Diego Padres	18	60	Extreme	$46,665,000
81	Alfredo Duno	C	POS	Cincinnati Reds	19	60	Extreme	$46,665,000
30	Luke Keaschall	2B	POS	Minnesota Twins	22	55	Medium	$45,900,000
33	Cooper Pratt	SS	POS	Milwaukee Brewers	20	55	High	$41,310,000
34	Angel Genao	SS	POS	Cleveland Guardians	20	55	High	$41,310,000
35	Alex Freeland	SS	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	23	55	High	$41,310,000
37	Josue De Paula	OF	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	19	55	High	$41,310,000
40	Zyhir Hope	OF	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	20	55	High	$41,310,000
41	Arjun Nimmala	SS	POS	Toronto Blue Jays	19	55	High	$41,310,000
42	Kyle Teel	C	POS	Chicago White Sox	22	55	High	$41,310,000
44	Jaison Chourio	OF	POS	Cleveland Guardians	19	55	High	$41,310,000
46	Aidan Miller	SS	POS	Philadelphia Phillies	20	55	High	$41,310,000
48	Joe Mack	C	POS	Miami Marlins	22	55	High	$41,310,000
51	Coby Mayo	3B	POS	Baltimore Orioles	23	55	High	$41,310,000
52	Charlie Condon	OF	POS	Colorado Rockies	21	55	High	$41,310,000
55	Jonny Farmelo	OF	POS	Seattle Mariners	20	55	High	$41,310,000
56	Lazaro Montes	OF	POS	Seattle Mariners	20	55	High	$41,310,000
57	Braden Montgomery	OF	POS	Chicago White Sox	21	55	High	$41,310,000
59	Jett Williams	SS	POS	New York Mets	21	55	High	$41,310,000
63	Jeferson Quero	C	POS	Milwaukee Brewers	22	55	High	$41,310,000
64	Eduardo Tait	C	POS	Philadelphia Phillies	18	55	High	$41,310,000
65	Franklin Arias	SS	POS	Boston Red Sox	19	55	High	$41,310,000
66	Owen Caissie	OF	POS	Chicago Cubs	22	55	High	$41,310,000
67	Blake Mitchell	C	POS	Kansas City Royals	20	55	High	$41,310,000
68	Michael Arroyo	2B	POS	Seattle Mariners	20	55	High	$41,310,000
70	Thayron Liranzo	C	POS	Detroit Tigers	21	55	High	$41,310,000
72	Chase DeLauter	OF	POS	Cleveland Guardians	23	55	High	$41,310,000
73	Christian Moore	2B	POS	Los Angeles Angels	22	55	High	$41,310,000
76	Xavier Isaac	1B	POS	Tampa Bay Rays	21	55	High	$41,310,000
78	Felnin Celesten	SS	POS	Seattle Mariners	19	55	High	$41,310,000
79	Theo Gillen	OF	POS	Tampa Bay Rays	19	55	High	$41,310,000
82	Justin Crawford	OF	POS	Philadelphia Phillies	21	55	High	$41,310,000
87	Caleb Bonemer	SS	POS	Chicago White Sox	19	55	High	$41,310,000
91	Ryan Waldschmidt	OF	POS	Arizona Diamondbacks	2	55	High	$41,310,000
93	Cole Carrigg	OF	POS	Colorado Rockies	22	55	High	$41,310,000
94	Aroon Escobar	OF	POS	Philadelphia Phillies	20	55	High	$41,310,000
96	Eduardo Quintero	OF	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	19	55	High	$41,310,000
97	Mike Sirota	OF	POS	Los Angeles Dodgers	21	55	High	$41,310,000
100	Brady House	3B	POS	Washington Nationals	21	55	High	$41,310,000

[Ely Sussman]

On 7/19/2025 at 5:21 PM, Casey Marika said:

Typically at the deadline the buying team overpays by about $10M-15M. The Marlins trade candidates value are as follows:

Sandy - $17.6M, Deadline Overpay: $27M-$32M

Eddy - $44.2M, Deadline Overpay: $54M-$59M

Sanchy - $28.9M, Deadline Overpay: $39-$44M

The historical trend of deadline overpays is undeniable, yes. I still would be shocked if Sanchy is being valued that way right now. 

He would be a modest upgrade for a handful of teams, but the overall upside isn't too compelling when he is an automatic out vs. lefties. It's also a player profile that frequently gets non-tendered before their final year of arbitration because of the large supply of platoon corner outfielders, so I'm treating him like somebody with 1.5 years of control.

[Chad Turner]

On 7/19/2025 at 1:33 PM, Ely Sussman said:

Sal Stewart in particular makes a lot of sense to me. More natural at 3B than Norby.

Depending on how the rest of the season goes for both of them, could enter next spring with Stewart and Norby in an straightforward competition for the starting job, or trade Norby and bring in a one-year free agent stopgap at the position while Stewart finishes off his development.

I just hope the Reds will be buyers.  

[Casey Marika]

On 7/22/2025 at 9:42 AM, Ely Sussman said:

The historical trend of deadline overpays is undeniable, yes. I still would be shocked if Sanchy is being valued that way right now. 

He would be a modest upgrade for a handful of teams, but the overall upside isn't too compelling when he is an automatic out vs. lefties. It's also a player profile that frequently gets non-tendered before their final year of arbitration because of the large supply of platoon corner outfielders, so I'm treating him like somebody with 1.5 years of control.

Removing his last year of arb drops his value to $19.6M. I think you're probably right and that's how trade partners will treat him.