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Everything posted by Alex Carver
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In October of 2018, the Miami Marlins struck a deal with two international free agents that sent a jolt of energy throughout the organization. Victor Victor Mesa and Victor Mesa Jr. both agreed to contracts to kick off the Marlins 2018-2019 off-season. These moves were not only a big boost for the farm system, they also showed that new ownership was willing to spend internationally, an area that previous ownership had somewhat neglected. Victor Victor Mesa, age 22 at the time, was the top ranked international free agent in the 2018 class according to MLB Pipeline. He agreed to a deal with Miami worth $5.25 million. His younger brother, Victor Jr., was only 17 at the time of the signing, and agreed to a smaller deal worth $1 million. The Marlins beat out other teams like the Baltimore Orioles for the Mesa brothers, and Victor Victor immediately slotted in as the #1 prospect in their system (although he was bumped to #2 shortly after when Sixto Sanchez was acquired as a part of the JT Realmuto trade). Despite all of the hype surrounding Mesa, his younger brother, Mesa Jr., is now viewed as a better prospect. Victor Victor has failed to live up to expectations, and his struggles began immediately during the 2019 minor league season. He was never expected to be a massive power threat, even when performing at his highest level. MLB Pipeline only gave him a measly 40 power grade on their 20-80 scale in 2018 when he originally signed. Mesa's hit tool in general was always a very average tool, as it only graded out as a 50 by MLB Pipeline in 2018. What Mesa graded out good, or even great in was his speed tool (65), arm tool (65), and fielding tool (60). These three categories combined with a lack of power, caused him to draw comparisons to former Chicago Cub and current New York Met's outfielder, Albert Almora. Because of this, when Mesa finished his first Minor League season between High-A and AA with very minimal power numbers, it was a not a complete shock to the organization or fans. In 464 at-bats, he only slugged .263, with an OPS of .537, and he hit zero home runs with just 10 extra base hits (seven doubles and three triples). While the low power numbers were not a surprise, the area that raised concern was that his batting average was only .235 coupled with the fact that he only stole 18 bags in 116 games. Mesa's best tool offensively is his speed, and he was not able to hit enough to utilize that speed on the base paths. While 18 stolen bases in 116 games is not necessarily a bad number (Jazz Chisolm has 18 in 99 games with the Marlins as of Tuesday's game against the Mets), it is not good enough for a player that has no power and has to rely on his speed and defense in order to make a serious impact. By the end of the 2019 season, Victor Victor Mesa had dropped from being Miami's #2 prospect all the way to number #13. Mesa was one of many Minor League players that lost a full season of games during the COVID shortened 2020 season. Along with the lost games, by the start of the 2021 season he had also lost his status as a top 30 prospect in the Marlins system. While this was partially due to the influx of new talent in the system, it was also because of his lack of performance in 2019. Mesa started out the 2021 season in AA where his struggles continued. In 21 games and 75 at-bats he slashed .093/.231/.109 with zero home runs, one double, and zero stolen bases. This quickly earned him a demotion back down to High-A. After being sent down, Mesa started to show some signs of life. While Victor Victor's days of being a top Marlins prospect are probably gone, he has slowly turned his game around since the demotion. Through Monday, September 6th, Mesa has played in 39 games with 159 at-bats for Miami's High-A affiliation, the Beloit Snappers. He is slashing .327/.379/.472 with four home runs and eight stolen bases. His OPS is up to .851, and he has also produced nine doubles and one triple. The increase in production has come without a massive increase in his strikeout rate as he has just 27 in the 159 at bats (he had 64 in 464 at bats in 2019). One can make a valid argument that because Victor Victor is 25 years old and playing in High-A that he is just tearing up younger competition. While this would be fair, there is one very interesting stat to pay attention to during this recent hot stretch. All but 10 of Mesa's at-bats in AA this year came in the leadoff spot where he only slashed .108/.244/.123. In High-A, he has only had 13 at-bats in the leadoff spot, albeit with some success. Out of those 13 at-bats, he has four hits and his batting average is .308. While he has had a small sample size of success with his average from the leadoff spot in High-A, all four hits were singles, which lead to just a .615 OPS (MLB League Average in 2021 is .725 according to Baseball Reference). The numbers from the top spot in the order during Mesa's career have been, at best, below average. Despite this, Mesa's numbers from the second spot in the batting order have been exceptional this season. In 142 at-bats hitting second for High-A Beloit, Mesa is slashing .331/.389./.493 with an OPS of .882. All four of his home runs in High-A have come from the second spot in the order, as well as all 10 of his extra base hits. He also has 17 RBI's in those 142 at-bats which is a massive improvement from 2019 when he only had 29 in 464 at-bats. Another key stat from this, is that all eight of his stolen bases in the 2021 season have come while batting second. This is important because it shows that Mesa is not losing his most dynamic tool by slotting down one spot in the batting order. Despite the success, Mesa has enjoyed a little bit of luck while in Beloit as his BABIP is .372 compared to his batting average being .327. That being said, a .045 difference in BABIP to batting average is not a reason to get overly concerned. For example, Starling Marte is batting .316 this season with a .380 BABIP (.073 difference). No one is overreacting to that. Yes, it probably means some regression is coming, but it does not indicate that he is bound to return to the awful hitter he was before being optioned to High-A. Sure, Mesa is an older player for the High-A level, but offensive success is not something we have seen him have in the MiLB before, and he has done this for an extended period of time now. Maybe moving to the second spot in the batting order is just a coincidence, but maybe Victor Victor Mesa is starting to turn a corner in his professional career. It is time for him to be promoted to a higher level, and see if this recent success is real.
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Minor League Players Living Barely Above Poverty Line
Alex Carver posted an article in FOF Prospects
Photo by Joseph Guzy/Miami MarlinsFair and competitive compensation for Minor League Baseball players has been an issue that has been brooding for quite some time. Now, in 2021, accentuated by a burgeoning housing crisis, the matter is about to boil over. Though wages slightly increased this season (through a class action lawsuit), players are facing new challenges when it comes to finding affordable lodging within many minor league markets, especially those in smaller towns. The severity of the issue has been illustrated in a series of posts by Advocates for Minor Leaguers over the course of the last few months. This week, anonymous Marlins players at three levels of the system communicated their experiences to the source. In AA Pensacola, players are spending all of their income to keep a hotel roof over their heads. “The housing situation this year… was terrible. I say that because I couldn’t find a place to stay within a half hour of the stadium so I was essentially forced to stay in a hotel which cost me thousands of dollars a month (way more than my salary).” In A Jupiter, some players have resorted to even lesser ideal circumstances. “I have had some issues this year with housing with the Marlins. Right after spring training finished, I had to start paying $55 a night to split a hotel room. That’s over $1,700 per month. We don’t make that much after taxes. So I was losing money. I said, “that is ridiculous” so about a month ago, I moved out of the hotel and am now spending 1/3 of my paycheck to sleep on a couch.” In A Beloit, being able to live somewhat comfortably literally came down to the luck of the draw. “Eight guys drew a lucky straw and are saving some money by sharing a three bedroom/one bath house, splitting up a $2,500 monthly fee. Most of the rest of the team is living in expensive apartments, literally making somewhere between $40 to $75 per paycheck after rent.” Things are even more grim for international signees, most of which didn’t garner a lucrative signing bonus. “The worst part is some of our Latin teammates are sleeping four guys to a hotel room to split expenses, rotating between sleeping in the bed and making beds on the ground. The hotel is easiest for them to live in because they don’t have cars and it at least has a shuttle to the field.” How did we get here? One main reason is the erasure of host family programs. In year’s past, most minor league clubs would enlist the assistance of nearby residents that have the capacity to house a player over the course of the minor league season. In return, the family would be formally recognized by the team and would have the chance to make a lasting relationship with the athlete assigned to them. But amidst a global pandemic, these programs have been halted by the league. Another culprit for the lack of available affordable housing has been due to the lack of residents relocating amidst the pandemic. With the bulk of the middle class feeling the financial affects of the pandemic and with a national eviction ban in place for the majority of this season and still active in seven states (and the District of Colombia), a qualifying residence matching the wage of a even several minor league renters has been very hard to come by. Thus, here we are. While these conditions would be unacceptable for full time employees in many lines of work, these young athletes are being subjected to the physical detriments of sleeping on floors and couches and being unable to afford good diets as well as the mental hardship surrounding the uncertainty and frailty of their living situations all while being expected to remain in top physical condition in order to improve in their line of work. The simple situation is, as a great majority of minor league players don’t belong to the Major League Baseball Players’ Association, that the league step in and mandate that owners cover 50-75% of livable expenses during the MiLB season. However, as political economy expert and JustBaseball.com contributor Ron Cox tells us, the owners, not the league are the string pullers that will not allow this to happen in order to continue to line their own pockets. “The owners operate the league as a cartel, and with their anti-trust protection, have unilateral power over the minor league system, which has been extended after the recent MLB consolidation over minor league restructuring, which minor league teams could do nothing to stop. MLB owners are interested in streamlining costs and maximizing control over the minor league structure, not any kind of power sharing, even over wages and working conditions. The only way that happens is for minor league players to come together to make it happen, ideally with the support of MLBPA.” This winter, the “league” and the MLBPA will work to finalize a new collective bargaining agreement. In this instance or any involving owners spending money without an immediate return on investment, MLB, cannot be counted on to stand up for minor league players. So that leaves the Players’ Association which MiLB players do not officially belong to. Can developing players count on Tony Clark and company to stand up for MiLB players this winter? According to Cox, it doesn’t look good. “This is highly unlikely in the short term, because the minor league players are focused on gaining their own individual promotions and are divided by prospect status and bonuses, and the MLBPA already faces divisions in its ranks between veterans and young players, and are not willing to take on additional representation that is perceived as complicating their existing member representation.” The commissioner could stand up for Minor League players and mandate their lodging and cost of living be paid for. It won’t. The MLBPA could stand up for Minor League players and demand the mandate. It probably won’t. And as the two parties squabble over issues such as a salary floor by way of an increased luxury tax threshold and new salary arbitration rules, this very human issue will again very likely be tossed by the wayside. It comes down to a simple fact: Minor League Baseball players need and deserve their own representation group to protect not only their interests but their well being. The old “rite of passage” rhetoric that they need to suffer to earn their way to the big leagues is so tired and has always been wrong, now especially as these young men struggle through poverty. That adage that has already led to the far too early termination of many minor league careers and, in a changed political climate amidst a pandemic, is threatening to do so twofold. So what can be done? In the short term, independent groups have done yeoman’s work in bringing awareness to the hardships minor league players face and have worked to privately fundraise and garner monetary support from independent sources. These include the aforementioned Advocates for Minor Leaguers, a 501©(3) nonprofit organization as well as Adopt A Minor Leaguer, another NPO which seeks out seasonal sponsors that contribute to individual players on a weekly basis. Donating to organizations such as these are the best way fans can get involved in alleviating the effects of a very broken system. If you wish to donate, links can be found at the bottom of this post. Since the initiation of the Derek Jeter and Bruce Sherman era, the Marlins’ organization has vowed to stay committed to developing prospects internally and becoming a feeder system. It has stayed true to that promise by making them very hard to come by in the offseason and the trade deadline. Imagine the condition of that system if the players could afford to house and feed themselves. Other owners are in the same position but they refuse to do the right thing. The MLBPA won’t intervene. Imagine a car on a road with no turns. MLB owners are driving. The league is in the backseat. And this issue remains in the trunk. — Donate to Advocates for Minor Leaguers here and follow them on Twitter at @MiLBadvocates Donate to Adopt a Minor Leaguer here and follow them on Twitter for sponsorship opportunities @adoptaminorleaguer -
As August comes to a close, one prospect who had the opportunity to double dip in baseball this month is Jake Fishman. While Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp teammate Eddy Alvarez generated much conversation for his historic double-medaling for Team USA (Baseball, 2020 Tokyo Summer Olympics; Speed Skating, 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics), Fishman represented Team Israel in baseball. (Alongside, another familiar name, catcher Ryan Lavarnway who had a brief stint with the Marlins in 2020). Despite Team Israel ending up with a win-loss record of 1-4, they made a respectable efforts as one of the six baseball teams competing for gold. Jake Fishman's Olympic career may not be as splashy, but the 26-year old pitcher has not exactly settled back to quieter waters either. Since his August return, he has a recorded 3.27 ERA with two win decisions for the month. The southpaw has been primarily pitching relief in a bullpen platoon setup. His most recent performance last Thursday (August 26) against the Norfolk Tides showcased his easy and deceptive approach— a style that allows batters to make contact (Norfolk garnered four hits), but not necessarily a contact that is productive. In the three middle-innings pitched by Fishman, outfielders Corey Bird and Dustin Fowler along with first baseman Lewin Diaz provided plenty of defensive support. The Jumbo Shrimp beat the Tides 4-3; Fishman earned the win. The way Fishman creates a sleight of hand with the baseball does not exactly trick a batter. There is no secret. It is possible to hit off him. But again, the contact is not always auspicious. The beauty of his pitching lies in the deception he creates with the motion of his body and with the speed placed on the ball. His movement suggests the 6'3'' pitcher may be hurling off the mound with the ball; the ball's speed (low 80s breaking balls and low 90s fastball) bares witness of the illusion— Fishman's body will not indeed be flying into the batter's box for the strike. If Fishman can master his own magic, the Marlins could add an effective arm to the bullpen in 2022. Currently, Fishman holds an overall 3.72 ERA with a 4-1 record for the 2021 MiLB season.
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Edward Cabrera (Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images) Despite his status as the 30th best prospect in baseball, like every player who grows up with the game, Edward Cabrera was just another kid with a dream. That dream has became reality. “I woke up this morning with a lot of confidence. I had it in my mind, "You're here."", Cabrera said through a translator. "But last night, I was thinking a lot about the dream, of making my MLB debut," On Wednesday night in Miami, just over 700 miles from where it all began in Santiago, Dominican Republic, the 23-year-old fireballing righty made his major league debut. He didn’t disappoint. Cabrera worked 6.1 quality innings on four hits, and three earned runs while striking out two and walking three. Though the big K numbers Cabrera has come to be known for were not there, he pitched much better than his stat line on his way to becoming the first Marlins pitcher to throw a quality start in his debut since Jordan Yamamoto in 2019. According to Cabrera, he hoped his family was as pleased with his outing as he was. "All of this, I do it mostly for my family," Cabrera said. "All of the sacrifices and everything I do is for them." Any jitters Cabrera may have been suffering from in his career defining moment were partially quelled very early when Brian Anderson made a great play and cross-body throw to get leadoff hitter Lane Thomas to ground out. Anderson is making it a trend to back young starters making their debuts with incredible plays. Last season, he provided Braxton Garrett with a play that left Garrett in disbelief. Cabrera was also the beneficiary of the latest jaw-dropping defense from Bryan De La Cruz, this time in center field. A ball that would have been a home run in 11/30 MLB parks was somehow snagged by the Marlins’ trade deadline return piece for Yimi Garcia. Cabrera went on to have an eight pitch inning and did not throw a ball. In the second inning, he recorded his first career strikeout on an 83 mph slider that was left up but still froze the eight hole hitter, Riley Adams. Cabrera followed that up by striking out the opposing pitcher Josiah Gray on a bunt foul out. Those were the only two Ks recorded in the start by Cabrera which is unconventional for him. But in place of the strikeouts, he was extremely economical with his pitches and through six innings, extremely stingy when it came to allowing base runners. Headed into the 7th inning, he was just one batter over the minimum and had thrown just 56 pitches. Twelve of his 18 outs recorded were quick outs. "I was attacking the zone. That's one of the things that was working -- they were swinging at it. I said, if they were swinging, maybe put the ball in the zone," Cabrera said. "That's what you have to do: if they want to get themselves out, you have to let the batters get those outs." Cabrera made few mistakes on the night as a whole but two came in a very short time frame in the 7th inning. He bounced back from a leadoff walk by retiring Juan Soto on a flyout (he retired Soto all three times he faced him) but then had his changeup sail out over the plate. Josh Bell didn’t miss. A batter later, Cabrera showed confidence in the pitch by immediately going back to it but it also stayed flat and was crushed by Yadiel Hernandez. Up until the 7th, Cabrera was twirling a gem, locating all four pitches for strikes with his usual fiery velo. His fastball topped at 99 and his changeup at 93. There were a few bad locations mixed in and he gave up some hard contact but overall, this was a very encouraging start and great building block for Edward. Though the strikeouts weren’t there, it was moving and very encouraging to see Cabrera have the maturity to notice aggressive hitters attacking early, challenging them with supreme confidence in his stuff, saying "here it is, come get it" and get the job done in that capacity, however unorthodox it might have been for him. After he got back to the dugout following his removal, Cabrera could be seen on the bench breaking down the outing with Marlins’ leader (and a very similar pitcher, should Edward reach his ceiling), Sandy Alcantara. The pair carried a conversation for an inning and a half. "He told me congratulations and how good I did. He explained to me that it was great that I attacked the zone, some of the pitches some of the locations," Cabrera said. "Having him there is just a blessing: having him there and chatting the game with him. As we know, Sandy is truly the GOAT." Edward Cabrera is here, he’s mixing well, throwing all of his pitches for strikes, he’s already effective on the mound and he’s beginning to building relationships with Alcantara, Mel Stottlemyre and the rest of his teammates as the Marlins look towards being competitive again in 2022. The floor is very high and the sky is the limit for this young star whom we compare to Zack Wheeler.
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Edward Cabrera (Photo by Pensacola Blue Wahoos)The Edward Cabrera era is about to begin in Miami. On Monday afternoon, the Marlins made a blockbuster announcement: the man considered by many outlets (including ours) to be the top prospect in the organization is being called up from AAA to make his Major League debut this coming Wednesday at loanDepot park. The Marlins announced the move by posting Cabrera’s reaction to hearing the news from Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp head coach Al Pedrique. Edward’s reaction was one of pure elation. For some, Cabrera’s promotion came as a bit of a surprise, a week before MLB rosters expand to 28. But with two empty spots in their rotation and Cabrera absolutely dealing in AAA, Kim Ng and the Marlins saw no reason not to give Cabrera the extra start on Wednesday night. After missing spring training and starting the year on the IL, Cabrera, who has battled arm multiple arm injuries in his professional tenure, was assigned to A Jupiter on a rehab assignment before being sent to AA Pensacola. There, he threw to a 2.77 ERA via a 33/6 K/BB and 0.96 WHIP, he was promoted to AAA. In a similar amount of innings with the Shrimp, Cabrera had a 3.68 ERA by way of a 1.40 WHIP and 48/19 K/BB. From July 30th through August 19th, he struck out 41, including 11+ in three straight outings and walked just 13. Growing up next to Sixto Sanchez in the Marlins’ organization, there was much debate about whose ceiling is higher. Since Sixto's latest injury, Cabrera has made moves to push himself ahead of Sanchez. If health permits and he translates well to big league action, Edward will solidify himself as the top pitching prosect in the Marlins' organization. Cabrera’s stuff is absolutely electric. He couples a heater up as high as the triple digits and two seam sinker in the low-mid 90s with a mid-high 80s power slider that can steal opposing hitters’ souls. His low 80s curve has 11-5 action and tunnels off the slider well. He also mixes in an improving changeup that can reach the low 90s. Because of the level of effort he throws with, Cabrera can get a bit wild at times leading to walks and pitches staying up for hard contact. That accounted for most of the damage he allowed in AAA this season. But when Cabrera is on, he’s nearly unhittable. Now under the tutelage of Mel Stottlemyre, Cabrera’s should be able to polish off his changeup and his repeatability. If so, he has ace potential. For a ceiling comparison, look to Phillies’ ace Zack Wheeler who has similar size, stuff and velo and all from a similar arm slot. With the team limping to the end of the year, Marlins fans need something to get excited about. They will have it tonight when the top prospect in the organization according to many outlets (ours included) takes the hill for the first time. Had the Marlins waited until September 1st, that outing likely would have come on the road in New York where Miami is scheduled to play four games against the Mets. After housing a crowd of just over 5,000 on Tuesday, the thinnest of the year since loanDepot park returned to capacity, that number should be well improved tonight. If you haven’t already, get your ticket to the Eddy show. It’s going to be a good one.
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After the COVID-19 pandemic wiped out the entirety of the 2020 Minor League Baseball season, young players were forced to fend for themselves. During that time, Marlins’ AA outfielder Griffin Conine relied on the expertise and guidance of one person. “Just me and the pop.” The father Griffin speaks of is none other than Mr. Marlin himself, two time World Series champion Jeff Conine. According to Griffin, he and Jeff threw it back to the days of when he was growing up tripping no further than the batting cage in his own backyard. Months later, Griffin, his dad and his mother Cindy were reunited in Pensacola this weekend where Griffin was competing as the reigning MiLB home run leader. With mom and dad looking on, Griffin added to his home run total by going yard three times in three total at bats. “They’ve had a lot of fun being part of such a cool environment,” Griffin said of his parents’ visit upstate. “And obviously it was cool to put a few out while they’re here, too.” For Dad, not only was he treated to watching his son succeed, he was treated to a secondary special moment just before Conine’s first Sunday night homer. During Griffin’s first AB, the Blue Angels, flying out of NAS Pensacola, treated the crowd at Blue Wahoos Stadium to a full formation flyover. "My dad, he's a plane junkie. Fighter jets, he got to fly in," Griffin said. "He was asking me, because he knows the the Naval base close by, "Do they ever fly over the field?" and I was like, "No, its never happened." And then sure enough today, I heard people murmuring, they started to fly over and I was like, no way, they're flying over!" A pitch after the spectacle, Conine provided one of his own, depositing his 33rd homer of the year into Pensacola Bay. Three innings later, Griffin did it again, going to almost the same exact spot of the field for number 34. Opposite field power has been a regular thing for Griffin this season. In fact, it’s been the most regular thing. In his 29 games in Pensacola, Conine has gone in that direction over 45% of the time. Before this season, at any level, he had never gone that direction more than 30% of the time. “In college I can’t remember many ever going that way. That’s just the way my swing has developed,” Conine said. “Left center is kind of my money zone. “That’s where it feels the cleanest.” According to Conine, aiming for where his power is easiest will allow him to begin to cut down on his strikeout rate. “A lot of pitchers like to go away. They’ll show you in and that’s when I think I’ve gotten into a bit of trouble just because I’m so locked in going the other way that it’s kind of hard to cover both sides,” Conine added. “But that’s the way my swing works and when it’s going good, it’s effortless that way.” Along with adjusting his approach, Conine is also adjusting to pitching at the AA level. His second multi-homer game of August came one month and one day into his tenure with the Wahoos and capped a three homer weekend. All month, Conine has face some of the top pitching development systems in baseball in Tampa Bay and Milwaukee. “Montgomery especially, they have a very very specific plan on how to pitch guys. Biloxi, the same. Everyone has the ways they pitch guys and I think they gets more clear as you rise levels,” Conine said. “In Beloit they might have the same mentality but the guys aren’t as good at executing. Once you rise levels, they get really consistent with how they execute those plans.” As an offensive player, Conine believes the trick is to avoid showing any weaknesses and being as complete a hitter as possible as he faces the same staffs so often. “If you show them a hole, they’re going to hammer they hole in your swing and your approach and they’re not going to miss,” Conine said. “The best thing we can do as hitters is just to avoid showing them any holes and if we do early on in the series, know that that’s what they’re going to be coming after.” A guy who spent time studying the inner intricacies of the swings of Barry Bonds and other top performers of the recent era during the shutdown, Conine has become the first Marlins prospect to hit 30+ home runs since Giancarlo Stanton in 2008. If he can hit six more in his last 24 games, he will become the first prospect league wide since 2016 to hit 40+. More importantly, he is learning to close avoid exposing weaknesses in his swing and to close them completely by swinging to his strengths. Overall, the Marlins’ second-time draft target that avoided by one selection in 2018 only took join them for the rental of Jonathan Villar in 2020 is making himself right at home and then some with his hometown organization. The recently turned 24-year-old is working to become a more complete hitter. If he is able to drop his K rate and improve his batting average as he polishes off, he becomes a dangerous everyday threat at either a corner outfield spot where he has a great arm or as a designated hitter. Through recent work done and the support system he has around him, that ceiling is well within sight.
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Photo by Beloit Snappers At ages 18 and 19 entering their first professional seasons, many were surprised to see righty Eury Perez and lefty Dax Fulton assigned as high as the full season ranks to begin 2021. The teenage twin towers have risen to the task. Now, they are being challenged again. On Monday, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reported that the 6’8” righty Eury Perez and the 6’7” lefty Dax Fulton have been promoted from A Jupiter to A+ Beloit. The amount of growth both Perez and Fulton have shown in such a short period of time in their very young careers despite some unique individual circumstances is not often seen at this level of competition. Eury PerezRHP Eury Perez 56 IP, 1.61 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 82/21 K/BB A 2019 international signee at age 17, Perez inked with the Marlins for $200K. According to MLB Pipeline, he first began to garner attention when he participated in the instructional league last year as he was effective against older competition. That attention grew during spring training this season. In May, Perez made his pro debut against the St Lucie Mets as the youngest player in all of Minor League Baseball. Facing off against competition four years older than him on average, Perez has been very difficult for the Low A Southeast to handle. In 56 innings, he has a ridiculously minuscule 1.61 ERA 0.95 WHIP, 163 BAA and 82/21 K/BB. Among players with at least 50 IP, Perez’s ERA ranks second in all of MiLB. Additionally, within the Marlins organization his WHIP also ranks second. His 27.5% K/BB% leads all Miami pitchers. As good as Perez has been all year long, he’s really come on of late. In his last four starts, Eury hasn’t allowed a run in 18 IP. On August 7th, he struck out a career high 11, attributing to a 32/5 K/BB. Over that span, he only gave up one single hit. There has been one major mechanical adjustment to thank for Perez’s recent run of dominance that led up to his call to Beloit. Earlier this year, we noticed a considerable difference in Perez’s level of effort depending on which pitch he is throwing. While Eury has always repeated his arm slot and release points well, he had a tendency to throw with a considerably large amount of intent behind his heater, a middling amount behind his change up and a very soft amount behind his breaking pitch. While his plus plus stuff was able to keep him effective in the low A ranks, higher level competition would have been able to pick up on Eury’s tips and time him. Watching Eury in person during the aforementioned 11 strikeout performance, this hole seems to have been closed. Here is Eury's delivery of his fastball, changeup and curveball in May compared to the aforementioned no-hit performance: Masking his arm speed and repeating his delivery more consistently has been a huge cog for Perez as he has continued to improve through more prolific dominance. When you’re 6’8”, there are a ton of levers and a lot of body to get to work in unison at the same time. The fact Perez is doing so 56 innings into his pro career and making his long limbs unravel and fly at hitters with much better repetition, thereby cleaning up one of few present weaknesses and should have him as a top 10 organizational prospect immediately and a top 100 prospect in baseball in very short order. Perez, whose numbers very early on in his pro career are drawing comparisons to some of the brightest young teenage stars to ever grace the Miami Marlins organization, will join the Beloit rotation for what project to be a handful of starts before he reaches his innings limit. Dax Fulton (Photo by MiLB.com)LHP Dax Fulton 58.2 IP, 4.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 66/30 K/BB Fulton, 19, receives his promotion after an abbreviated start to spring training. After undergoing Tommy John in his senior year of high school before being selected by Miami in the second round of 2020, the Marlins were cautions with Fulton but he was still able to convince the front office he deserved the promotion to full season ball to begin 2021. Truth be told, it wasn’t a great start to Fulton’s minor league career as he gave up 10 earned runs in his first 13.2 innings in the month of May. June was a bit kinder to Dax as he worked 15 innings on the same amount of damage. In July, Fulton finished five innings for the first time in his career, a great confidence booster, but he still embarked on the month of August with an overall 5.22 ERA by way of a 1.62 WHIP, a 48/40 K/BB and quite a bit to figure out. In August, Fulton has been a completely different animal. Each of his first two starts in the second-to-last month of the season have been nearly identical and just as spectacular. In each outing, he worked five innings, allowed just one hit. He struck out a combined 18 and, after allowing 20 walks in his 28.2 IP, did not walk a single hitter. So what has been the difference for Dax? It can be broken down to two things: consistency in control and in his stuff and, like Eury, better knowledge, control and incorporation of his body. At the start of the year, Dax’s fastball was sitting 90-93 with the ability to ramp up to 95. There was room for more heat if he could incorporate his lower half into his delivery more. That has happened lately. In his 10 K performance, Dax sat 93 and hit 96. On top of the velocity, the placement of the pitch has been much better of late and he’s been consistently hitting his spots. He’s also showing the confidence to elevate it for strikes. Fulton’s primary breaker has become a vicious power curve that has natural shape and bend due to a supremely high release point. He’s improved the vertical movement on that pitch as the year has gone on: at the start of the year, his average spin rate was in the 2500 range. Lately, he has been spinning up in the 2600s on average and, per Ian Smith of ProspectsLive who has seen him throw in person frequently, has been up over 3000. He can both place the pitch on the corners for strikes and bury it in the dirt out of the zone with intent and get guys (such as Jasson Dominguez) to look foolish with it. Fulton’s third pitch is a high 80s changeup that has the ability to touch 90. He has done a ton of work with that pitch season, building it up from a pure mix-in pitch at the start of the year to a pure weapon. Via a better feel and much easier release than seen previously, Fulton can paint with this pitch and its late two plane fade. While Fulton has always had the blueprint for really good stuff, it has improved because of his ability to begin to incorporate his legs into his delivery more lately, stepping downhill with a longer stride to shorten the distance to the plate more advantageously and turning his front leg into his delivery more. He’s also learning how to push off his plant leg better which has been the catalyst for the added velo. Overall, though Fulton is less polished than his younger teammate Perez, he has his arm built up and his legs are starting to follow suit. Though it was a bit more surprising to see this promotion, Dax, like Eury, has made stark improvements in a short period of time al following a comeback Tommy John surgery. If he can continue to learn how to put his entire frame behind his pitches, polish off his finish and maintain the consistency we have seen lately against A+ competition, there’s capacity for Fulton’s stuff to play even better and for him to become a top tier prospect both organizationally and league wide. Fulton, like Perez, is 58.2 IP into a likely 75-100 IP limit.
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For the past few days, beat writers have been breathing a sigh of relief. After a wacky and wild final 72 hours of what will go down as one of the most unique trade deadlines of all time, the clock has run out. And while the Miami Marlins weren’t as active as some may have anticipated, they still built off the acquisition of Jesus Luzardo earlier in the week by swinging a few deals late in the deadline on Thursday. To explain it all, here is our break down of what happened and what didn’t for Miami during the 2021 trade deadline. — WHAT HAPPENED Marlins trade OF Adam Duvall to Atlanta Braves for C Alex Jackson Looking at the Miami Marlins as a whole heading into the 2020-21 offseason, the team as a whole clearly locked one big tool: power. After hitting just 60 homers and slugging .384 (25th in the league in each metric), the Marlins looked to free agent Adam Duvall to rectify that issue. The soon-to-be 33-year-old definitely did his part this season, slamming 22 homers which ranks tied for 12th in all of MLB. Asked to handle all three outfield spots among all of the Marlins’ injury woes, Duvall fared surprisingly well, turning in a dWAR of 0.9. But with a mutual option looming, the Marlins, out of fear that he would not agree to stay for the $7 million value, decided to err on the side of caution and get what value they could on the market. The suitor: the in-division Atlanta Braves. THE RETURN The Marlins addressed the catcher position for the first but not the last time by bringing back Alex Jackson, a 25-year-old backstop having a great year in AAA. Jackson has seen time in parts of three big league seasons with Atlanta including this season but none of those stints lasted longer than ten games. With the Marlins, Jackson will get his chance he can make his .287/.366/.694 stat line with the Gwinnett Stripers this year and 28 homers from his last full season in 2019 translate to the big league level. The 22nd ranked prospect in the Braves system by BaseballAmerica just five days ago, the first round draftee by Seattle in 2014 is a 6’2”, 215 pound specimen with a 45 grade FV per Fangraphs. For comparison’s sake, that ranks his ceiling and potential value to the Marlins’ organization as high as Jose Salas, Peyton Burdick, Jesus Sanchez, Lewin Diaz and others. Jackson is lauded for an incredible raw power tool that translates pretty well into 50 grade game power with a little tool to grow into more. Those tools allowed Jackson to hit 28 homers in 2019, a mark which ranked tied for 20th in AAA baseball. However, the power has come at the expense of historically mediocre bat to ball skills and pitch recognition. In each of 2018 and 2019 at the upper minor league levels, Jackson struck 33% of the time while only walking at a 7% clip. To Jackson’s credit though, he has greatly improved upon those numbers early in 2021. Through his first 108 plate appearances, he is holding down a walk rate just under 9% and a K rate of 28.5%. Jackson adds to his power-first profile at the plate with solid defense behind it. His best defensive tool is a cannon arm which allowed him to catch 25/50 potential base stealers in 2019 and before that, 21/46 in 2018 striking fear the hearts of MiLB base coaches to send their runners this season. In 2021, Jackson has thrown out two of three base stealers that have had the courage to test him. Scouts also credit Jackson with good blocking and game calling skills. THE VERDICT The path with Adam Duvall this deadline was simple: either convince the soon-to-be 33 year old it was worth foregoing free agency to stay in Miami for 2022 or get what they could out of his expiry contract. Judging by the way it came right down to the wire with Duvall departing just before the 4 o’clock cutoff, this was likely something the Marlins battled with all the way up to the very last minute. In the end, Duvall, a potential Silver Slugger and Gold Glove winner this season, goes back to a division rival. For only a guaranteed two months worth of his services, the return here is about as good as can be expected and it is at a position of great need for Miami. Jackson should get his full shot for the rest of this season and possibly part of next season to prove he can perform at the big league level. While it is disappointing to see the Marlins open up another hole in the outfield, they do get some promise and some solid tools in Alex Jackson. This will go down in the short term as the least popular move of the deadline but if the 25-year-old backstop builds off his solid start in AAA this year and pans out at the major league level, the move, in the longer term, could pay off. Marlins trade RHP Yimi Garcia to Houston Astros for OF Bryan De La Cruz and RHP Austin Pruitt It had been a very up-and-down season for the Marlins’ new look bullpen and Yimi Garcia was no exception. Like much of the relief core, Garcia had both his good moments in which he earned the closet’s role early in the season but also had his bad which have spelled a .260/.348/.494 slash line in high leverage situations. Ultimately, Miami decided to move on from Garcia to bring back a near-MLB-ready prospect at a position need (especially after the departure of Duvall), outfield. THE RETURN Coming back to the Marlins was Bryan De La Cruz, a long time minor leaguer despite being just 24 years of age. Signed as an international free agent at age 17 in 2013, De La Cruz grinded through seven minor league seasons at every level of the Astros’ system with very good results. Overall, his minor league line reads .276/.346/.391 with 88 doubles, 18 triples, 28 homers and 228 RBIs. Since battling injury in 2017, De La Cruz has performed well and ahead of schedule for the past three years. In 2018, he split time at both the low and high A level where he hit .289/.367/.375. 41 games into the 2019 season, De La Cruz was challenged to the AA level. There, 64 games for the Corpus Christi Hooks, he showed immediate translation, hitting .283/.340/.409. Bryan also stayed busy and competitive during the pandemic, taking part in eight games with the Toros del Este back home. He went 7 for 16. De La Cruz is an athletic 6’2”, 175 pounder who can play all three outfield spots. He has spent more time in center field this season with the Astros but he is probably better suited for a corner. He does have the arm to play right field regularly. This season, De La Cruz has answered some questions surrounding him regarding his raw power translating to game power. He already has 12 homers and a 112 wRC+. Scouts say he profiles best as a ceiling fourth outfielder but with Miami who will struggle to man their outfield in terms of in-house options in 2022, if he makes a good first impression this season, he could earn himself more playing time next year. He's certainly made a great first impression with Miami: he's recorded five hits in his first 22 ABs and played some impressive defense in right field. Pruitt is a 31-year-old journeyman who has spent time in the big leagues with three different clubs. He should provide some short term bullpen depth for the Marlins this season. THE VERDICT The Marlins get pretty good value for Garcia who had a very up and down season in high leverage roles. With a pretty high floor as a fourth outfielder and reachable ceiling as an every day starter if he can keep the K numbers in check, this is an attractive return for Miami who are in need of MLB ready outfield depth. With the potential for five tools, De La Cruz should get a pretty consistent and long look in the Marlins’ outfield. Marlins trade John Curtiss to Milwaukee Brewers for C Payton Henry The Marlins continued to answer the biggest glaring hole in the entire organization by trading the most consistent piece in their pen this season for a budding prospect who had a fantastic initial showing in the upper minors after a lost season. THE RETURN After starting the year in AA by hitting .315/.392/.405, Henry has definitely made a name for himself this season. However, the BABIP has to be taken into account. With the Biloxi Shuckers, Henry posted an astronomical and unsustainable .436 BABIP. That said, he does possess plus plus raw power. The challenge for Miami will be improving his swing which can get long. That tendency stems from a complicated approach and timing mechanisms within his mechanics which prevent him from making consistent barrel contact. That said, Henry has made strides when it comes to his K rate as it has shrunk every year since 2018. Behind the plate, Henry has a huge arm that has allowed him to throw out 40% of his base runners since 2017. According to Fangraphs, he has focused on becoming more flexible in order to improve his lateral movement and blocking abilities in recent years. THE VERDICT By trading Curtiss, the Marlins gave up a relief arm with quite a bit of control and give up the guy they traded first base prospect Evan Edwards for. So in hindsight, Edwards, who is hitting an odd .213/.340/.440 with 14 homers and an 87/37 K/BB in A+, turns into the Marlins’ most consistent reliever during the first half and Henry who has some loud tools and has had a great initial showing in the upper minors this season. A high school draftee in 2016, Henry is proof prep catchers can begin to pan out and in a fairly advantageous time frame. Henry provides the Marlins immediate relief when it comes to catching depth. The defensive skills are near big league ready. Should he continue to keep the strikeouts in check and improve his bat to ball skills, Henry has a solid big league starter’s ceiling. — WHAT DID NOT HAPPEN Acquire a cornerstone starting center fielder While Miami did address the backstop position in terms of their new big league starter as well as some near big league ready depth and did replace the departing Adam Duvall, the Marlins ultimately did not acquire their next center fielder. However, that’s not to say they did not try. During the entirety of the deadline, many names were abound and much conversation was had with multiple teams, the most notable being the offer to the Los Angeles Angels. Per a report by Craig Mish, the Marlins offered one of the top pitching prospects in the organization, 2020 first round pick Max Meyer in exchange for Angels top overall prospect Brandon Marsh. According to Mish’s report, the Angels were nearly ready to accept the deal but came back with another small ask on top of Meyer. The Marlins declined. Even though the deal did not get done, the fact that Meyer, who was thought to be nearly untouchable earlier in the deadline, proves that Ng and the Marlins are willing to move on from top prospects and in this case, top draftees. After the acquisition of Luzardo, the near acquisition of Marsh is further proof that Miami is focusing on competing at the big league level in 2022. According to Kim Ng, the conversations they had this deadline have a good chance of being revisited in the offseason. “I think what we did here over the last couple of weeks was not only prep for the offseason,” Marlins GM Kim Ng said. “We’ve talked to all the clubs multiple times and really, in my mind, set the groundwork for future deals whether it’s during the offseason, spring training or leading up to Opening Day.” Whether it is Marsh, Bryan Reynolds, Nick Senzel, Cedric Mullins or one of the other controllable names we heard mentioned, this will be a-priori for Miami this winter. Did not trade more of the bullpen There’s no getting around it: for the most part, the Marlins’ new look bullpen constructed by Ng and company this offseason has largely disappointed as a whole this season. That said, there have been some bright spots that carried some attractive trade value this deadline. The Marlins dealt the steady Curtiss and the up-and-down Garcia, however, they retained the likes of 34-year-old ground ball specialist Richard Bleier and 30-year-old World Series champion Dylan Floro who is carrying a 156 ERA+. While it would have been nice to see Miami make more moves for near-MLB ready prospects like the Garcia/Curtiss deals or to see them include these pieces to sweeten returns a bit more, they still need innings behind starters somewhere for the rest of this season. We would expect these veteran relief pieces to be shopped again this offseason, especially if they remain effective.
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For Jesus Luzardo, home has always been a special place. And on Monday night, not far from home in Miami, he gave a special first impression to the Marlins’ organization. Though he was born in Lima, Peru, South Florida is all the Marlins’ new fireballing lefty has ever known. The son of Venezuelan patents, Luzardo and his family relocated to the region when he was just a year old. After attending Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School as a teenager, Luzardo was drafted in in the third round in 2017 and set sail for our nation’s capital, Washington DC. After just half a season in the Nationals’ organization, Luzardo was traded and made his way west to an entirely new climate 3,000 miles from his front door: Oakland, California. Now, four years after his professional career began, Luzardo has returned to pitch in his own backyard. "It was a whirlwind of a day for me. I just got off a plane from Salt Lake City to Vegas. I found out on Twitter that I had gotten traded," Luzardo said regarding the trade process. "I think it's an exciting opportunity, joining a great group of guys and a great group of young guys. I know they have a lot of fun here. I'm excited to be a part of it." On Monday, Luzardo took the mound for the Marlins against the division rival New York Mets. On the same mound on he watched some of his childhood heroes throw, the 23-year-old southpaw, with “954” emblazoned on his glove, provided a great first impression, tossing five innings of four hit three run ball on five hits, three walks and five strikeouts. For Luzardo, to be able to compete at such a high level 45 minutes south of his front door with over 100 of his family and friends looking on made the night extra special. "I take a lot of pride in where I grew up in Parkland, Florida. "Broward County. People ask me where I'm from, I say Broward County." Luzardo said. "I think it means a lot." Asked what he though about Luzardo's outing overall, Marlins interim manager summed it up in one word. "Wow. That's what I thought," Rowson said. "The stuff is electric. You watch him throw and you can see why people consider him to be special." The outing didn’t come without it’s adversity. After a scoreless first inning, Luzardo labored in the 2nd and to begin the 3rd, giving up three runs on a walk, two hits, a wild pitch and a homer. However, after that, Luzardo was able to rebound, setting down nine of his last 11 hitters. Marlins interim manager James Rowson said Luzardo’s ability to stay competitive really stood out. "Sometimes you look for those things. You know how good the stuff is and you know how well a guy can pitch. You've heard those things, you've seen it. The biggest thing to me is when you get into some trouble to bounce back," Rowson said. "The guy who can show hey, I can bounce back and come back and finish strong. I thought he did a great job of showing that tonight. And then he finishes really strong. This guy has a chance to be special with what he does." As well as Luzardo's Marlins debut went, the lefty said he is happy the first one is out of the way and he can focus on improving as the season goes along. "I would say this is the most... jittery start of my career. More than my debut when I came in in relief, more than playoff games. Just coming back home and being in front of so much family and friends. It's great to get my feet wet here and now we can move forward. "It was really good to see him get out there and get to know his teammates a little bit," added Rowson. "I know its been kind of a whirlwind for him, getting in town and getting to know everybody and all of a sudden you're pitching right away. So hopefully now that he's gotten out there and gotten on the field, he can just kind of take a deep breath, get comfortable and keep doing what he's doing." Behind Jesus on the mound, Luzardo’s fellow South Floridian, Coral Springs High School grad, Lewis Brinson provided the offense with a first inning grand slam, the second of his career and an eighth inning RBI which came on an error. Brinson’s five RBIs marked a career high. Brinson said it was important for him to come through for his fellow Broward County native in his first start with the Marlins organization with much of his support system in attendance. This was just the second big league outing Luzardo has had on the east coast of the United States. "He went to my rival high school so I'll let that slide. I wanted to get this win for him, I wanted him to have a good outing," Brinson said. "I know it's big being back home. You want to feel comfortable, you have all of your family and friends here. I know everyone was here cheering for him." According to Luzardo, even though he’s just now getting to know Brinson as a teammate, they have had a relationship since Brinson was drafted back in 2018. Ironically, this was not the first time Luzardo has seen Brinson hit a bases loaded round tripper in person. "I grew up watching LB. I went to his high school baseball game the year he got drafted. He hit a grand slam," Luzardo said. "I remember watchin him, looking up to him. It's funny; we talk in the offseasons and now I'm on the same team as him." Although he’s only been in the organization for a few days, it would appear as though changeup whisperer Mel Stottlemyre Jr has already begun to get to work with Luzardo. During the broadcast, Bally Sports' Jessica Blaylock said that Stottlemyre Jr told her that Luzardo will benefit from being around Sandy Alcantara, Pablo Lopez and Trevor Rogers, three guys Mel and his development staff completely transformed by enhancing that secondary pitch. In this start, the changeup was Jesus’ second most used pitch. His 24 thrown accounted for 29% of his 84 pitches thrown. Before this start, Luzardo was only using the changeup 19% of the time. The pitch showed extremely well, inducing 13 swings including six whiffs. Only two of Luzardo’s changeups found their way past fielders. "It's always been my pitch. Growing up I never threw that hard so it's a pitch I had to learn early," Luzardo said. "I feel like I got away from it at times, last year maybe and this year through my struggles. I feel like I'm back on track now physically. I feel like my pitches are doing what they need to do." On top of utilizing his changeup for strikes often, Luzardo’s mechanical repeatability, a big crux for him lately, was also on point. Driving into his pitches from his back leg well, landing downhill and hitting the same release point with all of his pitches, Luzardo was in the head of Mets hitters all night rather than them being clued in to what’s coming or taking advantage of missed spots. With those issues beginning to correct themselves, Luzardo will be able to focus on improving consistency of command. If he and Mel can work that out together, his ceiling will be within reach. This was the version of Jesus Luzardo that scouts thought was possible when they wrote rave reviews about him heading into the 2017 draft. It’s the same South Floridians saw when he was dominating high school competition for all four years of his prep career. Four years later, Luzardo is back home and has begun to do the same at the big league level and it could not be a more welcome sight for the Marlins. The full circle completing itself. It can be a beautiful thing.
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Marlins Acquire Jesus Luzardo in Exchange for Starling Marte
Alex Carver posted an article in Marlins
After years of trading established major league assets assets for long term projects after both failure and success, the down-and-out 2021 Marlins traded away the best player on their team and one of the best players in baseball on Wednesday afternoon. This time though, under the new Jeter regime, the very talented name coming back to Miami should be music to Marlins’ fans ears and should signify a much more competitive strategy. For at least a few weeks, it was a foregone conclusion that Starling Marte, who declined a contract extension with the Marlins before the All-Star Game, was going to be dealt, making him one one of the deadline’s hottest commodities. However, while there were reports of several interested parties including the Yankees, Giants and Astros, as late as Wednesday morning, there was not much movement on a potential deal. Then, in the 1 o’clock hour, a brand new suitor for Marte emerged: the Oakland Athletics. Things moved very swiftly and a few minutes later, the deal was announced by Craig Mish and Jon Heyman: Marte to Oakland for left handed pitcher Jesus Luzardo. Though the deal seemed to come out of nowhere, according to Kim Ng, she had been in contact with Athletics GM David Forst for most of the week. To bring the Major League ready former third round draft pick with a high floor and a great high school pedigree back to where it all began for him in South Florida, the Marlins picked up the rest of Marte’s remaining contract. To sum this up from an organizational standpoint: Miami traded the expiry contract of a star player but also included cash in order to bring back a big league ready piece that will sure up a spot in their rotation for the rest of this season and potentially for seasons to come. Luzardo will be under the Marlins’ control until 2026. Even though the Marlins still maintained an annually low payroll this season, this is a new and much welcome practice for a historically thrifty club and a team that has only included cash in order for trade partners to accept deals for much farther away prospects. Today, Kim Ng and Derek Jeter spent money to ensure a return that will help the team be competitive as early as 2022, signifying a winning attitude and mindset. In theory, the Marlins both bought and sold in the same trade. The acquisition of the MLB ready lefty Luzardo opens up a many possibilities for Ng and the Marlins for the rest of the deadline and/or this offseason. Among them: deal from the multitude of top pitching prospects the team has in the minor leagues (Jake Eder, Zach McCambley, Kyle Nicolas, etc) in order to acquire a controllable MLB center fielder or catcher. With the departure of Marte and with very little depth in the minors behind the plate, both positions are glaring holes for the Marlins. Acquiring MLB ready talent one or both of those positions would further solidify Miami as a contender in 2022. — Luzardo is a native of Lima, Peru who moved stateside and to South Florida when he was a year old. As a teenager, he attended Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland. There, he played under head coach Tod Fitz-Gerald whose program is lauded producing professional talent. As early as his junior year, Luzardo was hitting as high and 95 mph with his four seamer and was showing three more pitches behind it, a curveball, slider and changeup. In 2016, Luzardo was drafted in the third round by the Washington Nationals as the seventh ranked left handed pitcher in the nation by PerfectGame. A year later, Luzardo was sent to the A’s in a trade that pitchers Sean Doolittle and Ryan Madson to DC. Jesus made his MLB debut as a 21 year old in 2019 and since has thrown 109 innings for Oakland including 10.2 in two postseason trips. The A’s have used Luzardo in a multitude of roles both out of the rotation and out of the bullpen. Just less than half of his appearances have been as a rotational starter. This season, Luzardo began the year in the A’s rotation before suffering an injury at the beginning of May. He came back to the A’s at the end of that month. Oakland gave him a single start before sending him to the bullpen and then ultimately back down to AAA. The numbers overall have not been pretty: in MLB, he has a 6.87 ERA by way of a 1.63 WHIP and 40/16 K/BB in 38 IP. In MiLB, he has a 6.52 ERA via a 1.66 WHIP and 26/15 K/BB in 29 IP. However, his last two starts in Las Vegas have been better: 11 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 11/3 K/BB. Since high school, Luzardo’s biggest crux has been the repeatability in his levers which has affected his command. This season in his MLB stint, Luzardo has thrown his sinker a career high 32% of the time and his four seamer a career high 32% of the time while he’s thrown each of his breaking pitches at career low rates, proving that Luzardo is still having trouble placing breaking stuff consistently and having to challenge hitters with heat more often. Here is a look at his pitch mapping in his MLB stint this year (with 21% of his mapped curveballs being sliders). According to Aram Leighton of JustBaseball who played against Luzardo in his prep years, switching roles so often has affected Luzardo, disabling him from getting into a routine and consistent regimen. Today, Jesus comes home to play for his third organization in his five year career. In Miami, he will be able to find comfort as an every fifth day starter out of the rotation expectedly right off the bat. Although Kim Ng would not commit to that on Wednesday night, Don Mattingly made that prediction earlier in the day on MLB Network Radio. With fiery heat and a wipeout slider but needing polish on the rest of his breaking pitches including his changeup and his repetition, Luzardo is reminiscent of Trevor Rogers, circa 2019. Per Statcast, in 2021, Luzardo's velo and spin rates are very closely compared to Rogers. Coming back home to the Marlins’ pitching development system, the same system that turned Trevor into a Rookie of the Year favorite despite a missed season due to COVID and a missed season due to injury at the beginning of his career, this 23-year-old lefty enters a great situation for his career growth. In the hands of Mel Stottlemyre and the rest of the Marlins' pitching development staff, it is tough to bet against him sticking as a starter long term. At the very least, his floor is that of a late reliever. Luzardo could get his first start in a Marlins uniform as early as this coming weekend at loanDepot park. -
Eddy Alvarez (Photo by TeamUSA.org)It is often said that the goal of any athlete is to represent his or her country on the national stage in the Olympic Games. Eddy Alvarez reached that plateau once as a speed skater in 2014 and he’s about to do it again as a baseball player in 2021. However, that future wasn’t always promised to him. Eddy is the second son of Walter and Mabel Alvarez whom he says have been catalytic and paramount in his success as an athlete. Walter and Mabel’s first contribution to Eddy’s way of life came years before he was born when the couple escaped political turmoil in Cuba and made their way to America. "This is something that's a little bit of an emotional time in my life just because of the fact that my family left for a reason. My family was under a certain control and they didn't like where the country was going so they got out for a chance at opportunity and freedom. Because of them I'm able to put on this uniform and represent this country. Because of them I'm able to have a freedom of speech of saying what I feel and what these people are being oppressed about." Similar political unrest still shakes the island just 90 miles south of Floridas’s southern peninsula. As baseball returns to the Olympics for the first time in seven years, Alvarez hopes and prays for an end to the ongoing crisis that has shaken Cuba for decades so that others from his background and cultural origins have the same opportunities he has had. "For things that are coming into light now, they've been going on for decades. This is not anything new. This regime that's in power, the government that's in power, its not okay. I see a lot of athletes disrespect the flag and say things abut their country that's not prideful, it really hurts me because of the situation I've had to see my family go through," Alvarez said. "We feel for the people of Cuba right now. We are so proud of them because they are going out to protest with stones, forks and broomsticks because they have no form of protection. I just want them to know that they have our support through and through." The city that welcomed Walter and Mabel was none other than Miami. There, the couple settled down and began building a family starting with Eddy’s older brother Nick and eventually in 1990, Eddy himself. Alvarez grew up with the game in his blood and all around him. His father played the game at a younger age and his brother was drafted by the Dodgers where made it as high as the AAA ranks when Eddy was a teenager. Eddy himself began playing baseball when he was four years old. At the same time he was handed his first baseball glove, he was handed a pair of ice skates. Much of Alvarez’s childhood was spent shuttling back and forth between his home, schools and baseball fields in Brickell to a the nearest ice rink in Kendall. Along with his parents who were steadfast in their support and encouragement for his athletic dreams, Alvarez would not be the man he is today had it not been for the Magic City. "This is the city that sculpted me and this is the city that gave my family an opportunity at a great life in this country. To be able to say that I'm from Miami, Florida in the Winter Olympics was an honor and now to be able to say that I'm playing on the US national team from Miami as a Cuban-American, it feels like a full circle. I owe the city a lot." For his collegiate years, Alvarez shipped up to Utah to pursue his dream of winning an Olympic medal in speed skating but he also kept baseball close, competing at the JuCo ranks when he was off the track. Trials and tribulations including chronic knee pain which eventually turned into patellar surgery, Alvarez’s grind paid off. In 2014, he took the podium as a silver medalist in the 5000 meter relay and he also garnered attention as an All-Conference shortstop. According to Alvarez, his most memorable moment in Sochi in 2014 wasn't taking the podium but rather the feelings he got when he was introduced as part of Team USA. "We work so hard for so many years sacrificing, absolutely demolishing our bodies for hours on end, for 11 months of the year every year," Alvarez said. "It wasn't so much the actual medal; it was more of stepping out on the ramp during opening ceremonies, and realizing I made it." After Sochi, Alvarez stepped away from speed skating to pursue a career in his passion for baseball, the sport he began along with speed skating and which he didn't let go of despite all of the work he put into his career on the ice. Seven years later, after the event was excluded from the Olympics for his entire playing career which has included stops with three different organizations including his current and home town team, the Marlins, baseball is back on the national stage. With it, so is Eddy Alvarez. According to Eddy, the topic of him possibly competing in the Summer Olympics as a baseball player, has been a light-hearted jest between he and his friends. Now that it has become reality, Alvarez is humbled. "Its been a running joke in our family: what if I make it to the Olympics in baseball? Ha ha!," Alvarez quipped to Bally Sports Florida. "Well, its happening. I'm just excited to put the colors back on again and wear the USA across my chest. It's an honor." On Friday, Alvarez will step back into an Olympic stadium again to be introduced as part of the US National Team. While many of the same feelings he felt when he first walked the ramp back in 2014 will once again be present, there will likely be some added emotion: Alvarez will be front and center leading the US into Olympic Stadium in Tokyo as one of two team flag bearers. "I didn't think this was ever going to be an opportunity to me so the fact that I'm sitting here alone this is a huge honor. But this is super big for me and my culture to be able to represent my background and my people," Alvarez said prior to Tuesday's official announcement. "To be able to be the flag bearer, to potentially hold Old Glory, a symbol of freedom and liberty to many around the world, not just the United States, this one means a lot. This is very special." If the United States medals in the event, the 31-year-old will become just the sixth athlete ever to win a medal in both the Winter and Summer Olympics. Coincidentally, it was last accomplished by Alvarez's fellow Miami native, Lauryn Williams at Sochi in 2014, the same Games Alvarez first medaled in. "I consider this group, this elite group of athletes, some of the best athletes to ever walk this planet. I didn't know that I was ever gonna make it this far. I was always willing to put in the work and the sacrifice to do so but to be potentially part of that exclusive club would be a dream come true of mine. I would love to go down in the history books as as great as some of these other athletes." Eddy Alvarez is a special athlete whose drive, determination and tenacity have spurred a unique and equally special career in sports, a career that, after much hardship, is producing very well earned rewards. On Friday, the Cuban-American will lead Team USA in to Olympic Stadium for the second time, Stars and Stripes in hand, as the perfect model of the American dream and proof that anything is possible in the Land of the Free.
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The MLB Draft is always full of twists, turns and excitement unpredicted by any mock draft or pregame analysis. For two straight years, the Miami Marlins have been a part of such happenings frequently. After selecting Max Meyer over Asa Lacy in the first round of the 2020 Draft and used the savings to select Daxton Fulton. That pair accounted for 1/3 of the six pitchers Marlins selected in the abbreviated five round event. On Sunday night, Miami made a huge splash with both of their first round picks, selecting standout prep athletes before drafting established collegiate players with 16 of their last 17 picks. According to Marlins scouting director DJ Svihlik, this was exactly how he and his team saw the event going. “We anticipated this; we knew how this was going to happen or we felt like we knew how this was going to go down,” Svihlik said. “The whole front of the board from Rounds 5 and above is heavy, heavy high school this year.” Although the draft went the way Svihlik expected overall, there were a few surprising moments for the Marlins draft team, namely surrounding their first acquisition of the event. Here is a look at that pick and the rest of the Marlins’ 20 picks in the 2021 MLB Draft. Kahlil Watson (Photo by HighSchoolOT.com)Round 1, Pick 16 - SS Kahlil Watson, Wake Forest (N.C.) HS Running better than ever as a senior, Watson consistently displays well-above-average speed and is a basestealing threat. The North Carolina State recruit has the actions and instincts to play a solid shortstop.” Coming into the Draft, the newly turned 18-year-old Kahlil Watson was ranked the fourth best shortstop in the country by Perfect Game and was tabbed to go no later than seventh by most major mock drafts, including MLB Pipeline’s final version posted by Jim Callis (link) just moments before the event began. The Draft began and rolled on: the top five picks were made, 10 names were posted to the board, and finally the top 15 names were spoken into the microphone by Rob Manfred. Watson was somehow not one of them. After spending the last hour “sweating” in his conference room, Marlins scouting director DJ Svihlik perspiration ceased and he was filled with elation as he delivered the pick to the draft war room down the hall. “To have him fall down to us, that’s extremely exciting,” Svihlik said. “We were very surprised that he was available. He was one of the most dynamic players on the board.” How unlikely did Svihlik think it was heading into Sunday night that the Marlins would have the opportunity to select Watson? "I would say, 'You're crazy, no way, not going to happen,” he said. Scouting the 5’”, 178 pound lefty hitting shortstop, Svihlik stated that Watson is well beyond his years in terms of overall polish on all five of his tools. “You’re talking about a guy that has a plus arm, plus run, electric bat speed combined with a great swing and athleticism,” Svihlik said. “He plays right up the middle of the field which is everything which is everything we stress in the organization. So he checked all the boxes.” [youtube With 55+ grade tools throughout his profile and a 60 grade overall future value, Watson has an explosive swing, supreme bat speed (which Svihlik pointed out as arguably his best tool), and lightning quick wrists and hands which give him above average raw power with plenty of time to grow into more. The hands follow Watson into the field where scouts and evaluators agree he can make easy transfers. There seems to be some disconnect between reports when it comes to his readability and consistency going to both sides of the ball at short. Some say he may move to second base as he fills out in order to take some pressure off his bat but that he should maintain 55-60 grade speed, giving him the potential to be an annual 20/20 threat at a premium offensive position. With the bat, seemingly the only barrier that will stand in Watson’s way is the ability to get his raw power to match his game power at the next level but with an infinitesimal amount of time to clear that hurdle and with already so much shine on his hit, run and field tools, Watson’s future looks very bright. He should enter the Marlins’ stacked system as a top five prospect immediately. When scouts compare his big league ceiling, several names are coming up including Francisco Lindor but the name that will stand out to Marlins fans is Jazz Chisholm Jr. Asked about the prospect of sharing an infield with Jazz long term, Watson, who also shares an interest with Chisholm in the same video game, could not stop smiling. “I’ll be playing (MLB) The Show 24/7. I’ll be using Miami. Him on The Show is unbelievable,” Watson said. “I’d love to play right across from each other.” Looking at the future of the Marlins infield with names like Chisholm, Lewin Diaz, Jose Salas and now with the massive addition of Watson who is being called the steal of the draft, it is easy to see why Svihlik and company are so please with this pick. Joe Mack (Photo by PerfectGame.com)Round CB-A, Pick 31 - C Joe Mack, Williamsville East High (NY) On the financial side of things, Watson said he received the call from his agent describing the offer from the Marlins as “a great deal”. He is projected to make up to $1 million over his slot value of $3.7 million. So with this pick, the Marlins, who have a total bonus pool around $10 million, had a decision to make: spend now on another over slot player or go under slot value and save for later on in the draft. But when Joe Mack, the third best prep prospect at the thinnest position in the Marlins’ organization, fell to Svihlik at 31, the path was clear. [youtube Before we even get to the baseball tools, what stands out about this 6’1” 210 pound backstop who will be 18 for the rest of the 2021 season is his infinite athleticism and compete level. When not in class, Mack’s time was spent either on the baseball field or on one of two courts: basketball or volleyball. During his visit to see Mack leading up to the draft, Svihlik saw this up close and personally and was very impressed. “To watch him play basketball all winter, and for me to fly up there, watch him play volleyball and the next morning, be on the field, hitting (batting practice) at 8:00 in the morning, that’s very impressive when young players do that," Svihlik said. "You can’t understate how important it is that they are playing multiple sports.” Ultimately, Mack settled on playing baseball at the next level and he has all the tools to do. Each of his four plus tools are well ahead of his current level of development. We will start with a 55 grade hit tool made possible by great bat speed, good posture and an approach which he modified midway through his senior year and after getting a late start to the season due to his volleyball team’s season going long. From a more closed stance and with a much less pronounced front leg kick during game action, Mack is a much more simplistic hitter and looks very smooth. The vertical power transfer is present: he starts with his elbows high and drops the barrel to the ball with his aforementioned fantastic bat speed. With an advanced knowledge of the strike zone and good vision, he prolongs at bats and can hit in all counts, including two strike counts. The swing is short without much uppercut. All in all, Mack shows the blueprint to hit for a plus average. Mack’s power is rated at a 50 grade by multiple evaluators. Scouts say that he hits to all fields and, while at present he is more of a gap to gap guy, he should be able to unlock more power as his body matures and he is developed at the pro level. The bat speed and explosive finish is definitely there; he just needs to create more loft on the baseball and get his mostly stationary legs a bit more involved in his swing. The tools don’t stop on the offensive side. His highest graded tool overall is a 60+ throwing arm coupled with pop times in the 1.9 range and hand to hand transfers that are instantaneous. He even shows the absurd ability to start to get out of his crouch on pitches down even before the ball reaches the glove. The athleticism and fluid motions are a thing of beauty and his awareness and attention to runners will keep guys close to the pillows. Coupled with great receiving and lateral movements to block pitches out of the zone, the high schooler looks close to being big league ready defensively. Though the Marlins spent most of their bonus pool on the first two of their 20 picks, they did so for very good reason. Mack will enter the system as the highest rated catcher within the organization’s top 15 overall. Cody Morissette (Photo by BCEagles.com)Round 2, Pick 52 - SS Cody Morissette, Boston College After going over slot and spending an approximated $7 million of their $10 million pool on their first two picks, the Marlins go collegiate for the first of seven times in their first ten picks. Morissette is a 21-year-old lefty hitter from Exeter, New Hampshire. After the 218th nationally ranked shortstop went undrafted out of high school in 2018, the 59th ranked prospect in the 2021 draft went 52nd overall to Miami. So what happened? As Prospects Live notes, Morissette first garnered attention by making an immediate impact in his NCAA career. In his freshman year in 2019, he started every game at second base over upperclassmen and hit .320/.371/.476. That paved the way for a .336/.400/.507 NCAA career with three solid summer league showings mixed in. Included was a .340/.480/.511 28 game tenure in the Futures League in 2020 after the COVID shortened NCAA season. His future power production is dependent on his ability to see pitching (particularly good breaking stuff) at the next level as well as showing added impact with the wood bat. At the very least, he is a picky hitter who will also settle for singles, average, walks and OBP. He can also disrupt the game on the bases with good acceleration and above average top foot speed. Defensively, Morissette has spent most of his time at shortstop but evaluators believe his long term home may be at second base if not in center field. A floor utility man at the next level with room to be more if he comes by more power, Morissette and his plus plus hit tool was a strategically great selection in this spot. The Marlins should be able to sign him under slot value. Jordan McCants (Photo by 247 Sports)Round 3, Pick 88 - SS Jordan McCants - Pensacola Catholic High School The Marlins went back to the high school ranks in a slot worth just under $700K. The pick was McCants, a Mississippi State commit, the 33rd ranked prep shortstop in the nation and the 133rd ranked draftee overall. In his senior year consisting of 27 games, the McCants slashed .450/.451/.670. This was a bit of a surprising selection by the Marlins but they clearly saw something in McCants to once again commit what will very likely be over slot money to take this 6’1”, 165 pound lefty away from his college commitment. [youtube There are some good tools, namely a quick, slashy and mature for-average approach, 60-grade speed, great hands in the field and impressive athleticism. What McCants lacks is power and the physical projection to come by it. He comps closely to (a lefty only hitting) Nasim Nunez as a guy who approaches from the back of the box, recognizes pitches well, swings at strikes with a hack and slash cut, settles for singles or walks then lets his speed do damage on the base paths. Due to an average arm, scouts project his long term future to be at either second base or perhaps in center field where he can further utilize his best tool, the speed. Tanner Allen (Photo by Mississippi State Athletics)Round 4, Pick 118: OF Tanner Allen, Mississippi State Svihlik’s plan to take from the deep prep crop early then sign established collegiate hitters late fully came to fruition starting with this pick. It began a run on six straight three and four year NCAA picks. The pick at 118 was Tanner Allen who the Marlins had their eye on last year but due to the abbreviated Draft and a hamate joke injury limiting him to just eight games, he went unselected. Allen comes to Miami after a .336/.411/.522 collegiate career in the SEC at Mississippi State. [youtube Allen who just turned 23, was a force in the SEC for three years and a handful of games, hitting .336/.411/.522. His exports in a .383/.456/.621 senior season earned him the SEC Player of the Year Award and helped lead the Bulldogs to a national title. Svihlik said before the draft that this draft is full of Peyton Burdick type selections. This pick screams Peyton Burdick. Per MLB.com’s Jim Callis, Allen is a “top discount hitter”. Looking at Allen at the plate, he looks a bit like Peyton, who signed for well under slot in 2018, from the opposite side. They even wear similar war paint. 5’11, 190 to Burdick’s 6’, 205, Allen exhibits a quick, short swing with good bat speed and a feel for the gaps. Where Allen differs from Burdick is in the raw strength department (not a lot of guys can match Peyton here), making Allen a hit over power guy at present but if he puts on some muscle at pro facilities and begins to create loft more consistently, he will garner the ability to find more fences. Per MLBPipeline, Allen did a lot of work with his run tool this past season and is showing a better ability to cover more advantageous ground. Due to the fact his arm has just average strength but good accuracy, he could move to left field long term if he sticks as an outfielder. He’s also done work at both third base and first base. Allen, with good college pedigree, a plus hit tool from the left side with the ability to polish into a bit more, this is a value pick that has the ability to become a bit more and arrive pretty quickly. Brady Allen (Photo by South Carolina Athletics)Round 5, Pick 179: OF Brady Allen, South Carolina Back-to-back outfielders, back-to-back Allens. This time it’s Brady Allen, the 193rd ranked drafted per MLB Pipeline that comes to the Marlins at pick 149. Per MLBPipeline, Brady is a player who does “a little bit of everything”. After a power surge in his senior year, that tool rose a bit higher over his hit tool. To improve the hit tool, the 6’1”, 218 pounder will need to create more consistent contact against quality offspeed pitches. At just 21, there’s time for Allen to become a quality all-around lefty bat. Scouts have his big league future stamped as either a platoon player or fourth outfielder. Sam Praytor (Photo by University Of Alabama Athletics)Round 6, Pick 179 - C Sam Praytor, Alabama Praytor is a fourth year guy out of the SEC where he hit .285/.392/.500 over 126 games. He suffered an arm injury in 2019 which required Tommy John surgery which then parlayed into the missed 2020 season. Per reports, he is still considered one of the best receivers in the nation and he was able to build his arm strength back well enough to catch 24% of his runners in 2021. [youtube At the plate, Praytor, 5’10”, 205, hits for good power but has also stayed away from the strikeout, posting a 38/29 K/BB in 59 games this past season. A guy who missed a lot of tile in 2019 and of course 2020, the Marlins hope they caught Praytor at an advantageous time. Still just 22, there’s some more room to grow as he transitions to the professional ranks. A good find for the Marlins in this spot. Gabe Bierman (Photo by Indiana Athletics)Round 7, Pick 209: RHP Gabe Bierman, RHP Indiana A pitcher and the start of a run on pitchers for Miami. A 6’2”, 200 pounder, Bierman began his career at Indiana as a reliever in 2018 before transitioning to a starting role this season. The numbers pop: 74 IP, 2.68 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 80/30 K/BB against Big 10 competition. That K total ranked 11th in the league. Bierman won’t overpower with velocity, sitting in the low 90s but he has four pitches and a good feel for the strike zone and ability to attack it with confidence. It’s a professional approach to hitters and a guy with a simple delivery. Ranked 24th in the nation in hits per nine innings at 5.72, Bierman recently spoke to the ability to get outs in multiple ways. "I don't mind pitching to contact, to soft contact, and trusting in my defense to make plays. My change-up will always be a weapon for me, but I need my fastball to set that up," Bierman said. "When they're both going well, and I can beat guys with my fastball when they're sitting on my change, too. It's all about keeping them guessing. keeping them off-balance.'' With a multitude of weapons including a sinker which induces ground balls and his best pitch, a plus changeup, a mature pitcher’s IQ and a good feel for his delivery and repetition, Bierman is a seventh rounder who is satisfied with getting outs however possible. He could play above his selection slot in the future as a back end rotational piece or at the very least, a multiple inning reliever out of the pen. Pat Monteverde (Photo by Texas Tech Atlethics)Round 8, Pick 239: RHP Pat Monteverde, Texas Tech From D-III Marlins to MLB Marlins. Monteverde is a 6’2”, 190 pound lefty who attended three different colleges over a five year collegiate career. After starting his career at Virginia Wesleyan (a team whose mascot is ironically the Marlins), Monteverde went back to his home state to attend Seton Hill in 2018. After a solid year in which he limited damage as a sophomore that year (71 IP, 3.04 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, 78/27 K/BB), Monteverde suffered an elbow injury early in 2019. He underwent Tommy John surgery that wiped out the rest of 2019 then COVID-19 wiped out all of 2020. But Monteverde and his rep Ben Simon didn’t let the pandemic hold them back. After graduating from D-II Seton Hill, he joined the transfer portal. Per reports, he did so with enhanced velo and another weapon in his arsenal, earning him a ton of attention and a multitude of D-I offers. According to the same report, Monteverde nearly became a Florida resident before today. “Monteverde’s stock was heating up, as his velocity was up to 95 mph and a slider was added to a repertoire that already included his fastball, curveball and changeup. Simon would have Monteverde pitch simulated games and then send the video to college coaches. Monteverde was bombarded with 43 total offers, including 24 from Power Five programs. He ultimately picked Texas Tech over Miami.” In a single season for the Red Raiders, Monteverde, with his ticked up velo and arsenal widened posted good starter numbers in his first D-I showing and in the most single season innings he had thrown (again, after a very long lay off): 86.1 IP, 3.75 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and a fantastic 101/21 K/BB. Showing a wide variety of pitches, good command, and plus velo, Monteverde is a great find for the Marlins and a feel-good story of constant progression no matter what obstacles have been placed in his path. Born one month and one day before the Marlins won their first World Series in 1997, this soon-to-be 24-year-old is a great find whose newly enhanced stuff plays up to a back end rotation spot. Jake Schrand (Photo by Wright State University Athetlics)Round 9, Pick 269: RHP Jake Schrand, Wright State University The Wright State Factor rolls on. Hailing from the same alma mater as Peyton Burdick and JD Orr, Schrand is a 6’, 180 pound righty who pitched out of the pen most of his collegiate career before starting in 2021. The standout tool here: fiery velo. Schrand is up to 97 with movement. He needs to polish off the secondaries whether it be his curveball or newly added changeup but per what we hear from his coaches, he certainly has the work ethic and drive to do so. “He’s the hardest worker I’ve ever seen. He’s an animal. I personally think he’s a back end guy. He would run it up 95-97 when closing games and in the first inning of starts and then settle in 92-95. He has some jump to his fastball and his curveball is 12/6. He learned a split change this year that was effective as the year went on. He’s got the closer/bulldog mindset so I think he’ll have success as a reliever as some guys don’t have that.” — WSU head coach Alex Sogard “He is definition of a bulldog. He competes and really works; one of hardest workers I've ever coached. He is quiet and just goes about his business. Obsessed with success. Likely a back-end bullpen guy as stuff will play up in shorter stints.” — WSU assistant coach Nate Metzger Schrand could go a long way as an MLB pen piece because of his velo, mentality and compete level. The soon-to-be 22-year-old has the ceiling of a future high leverage arm. Hunter Perdue (Photo by 247 Sports)Round 10, Pick 229: Hunter Perdue, Florida State Perdue is a 6’3”, 208 pound righty who began his collegiate career as a starter in JuCo where he threw to a 3.97 ERA via a 74/32 K/BB in 90.2 IP to become a top recruit. In 2019, Perdue was recruited to FSU only to undergo Tommy John surgery, wiping out his entire season. Perdue redshirted as a freshman in 2021 and transitioned to bullpen work. In 22 IP, he posted a 3.27 ERA by way of a 1.32 ERA and 28/10 K/BB. [youtube Perdue’s arsenal consists of three pitches. The anchor is a 93-95 mph fastball with good sinking action that he can throw all over the zone for swings and misses and weak contact. His best secondary is a snappy breaking pitch with 11/5 action and some solid vertical drop. Fifteen MPH slower than the heat, Perdue has good velo separation that keeps hitters off balance. He will also throw an affective changeup with fade away from opposite side hitters that shows room for growth. Despite missing a ton of time, Perdue was good in limited showings out of the FSU pen. The 22-year-old holds a solid mid-relief ceiling. Round 11, Pick 329 - RHP Jesse Bergin, UCLA An attendee of Harvard-Westlake High School, the same program that produced the likes of Pete Crow-Armstrong, Jack Flaherty, Lucas Giolito and Max Fried, Bergin held down a 3.91 ERA via a 1.25 WHIP and 168/55 K/BB in 168 IP in his career with the Bruins. Bergin stands 6’4”, 205 and has three pitches: a 90-93 mph sinking fastball, a best pitch sweeping slider with good vertical drop at 80-82 and an average changeup that shows flashes. Per reports, Bergin’s crux is the ability to repeat his delivery and throw everything from a consistent arm slot. The amount of effort and tendency to get hit later in starts might make him a bullpen candidate but if he can iron out his mechanics and build up his changeup, he has a chance to stick as a back end starter. He’s in no better place to develop those two facets of his game. Round 12, Pick 359: RHP Brandon White, Washington State The arm train rolled on with White, a junior from Washington State. White, a co-area MVP in his senior year of high school (0.34 ERA and 92 Ks in 55 IP), posted a 4.98 ERA via a 61/39 K/BB and 1.6 WHIP in 13 starts and 68.2 IP in his junior season. He made it into the sixth inning in all but two of them. What stands out immediately: size. White is 6’8”, 220. The next thing is his wide array of pitches. With natural downward plane on the fastball which he can pump up to 97, good movement on a tunneling cutter, both horizontal and vertical action on his slider which he can place on both sides of the plate, and a changeup (which is probably his best weapon) that has great two plane fade to his arm side and is virtually unhittable when he’s dotting it against opposite side hitters as seen above, this is four usable pitches. He doesn’t have too much in the way of velo separation and he will get In trouble when he misses his spots but he has shown the ability to work all over the zone. The mechanics look pretty smooth and free and the short arm actions are consistent from a very high slot. Despite the gaudy ERA and WHIP, there’s plenty of potential here for White gain more consistent command within the Marlins organization. At the very least, he’s a multiple innings reliever. Round 13, Pick 389: LHP Chandler Jozwiak, Texas A&M Jozwiak is a 6’, 180 pound lefty who comes off of a great senior year in the SEC after he was transitioned full time to the bullpen. In 2021, he was as reliable as they come for the Aggies, appearing in 28 games and staking himself to a 3.48 ERA in 62 IP by way of a 1.16 WHIP and 79/18 K/BB. Up to 95 with the fastball coupled with a high 80s slider all from a low 3/4 slot and a quick and explosive stretch delivery with which he hides the ball well, Jozwiak lines up as a potential high leverage arm. If he is to reach that ceiling, work will need to be done with his finish and hitting release points to enhance his control which wavers at times. The Marlins pitching development team will get to work on that shortly. Round 14, Pick 419: RHP Holt Jones Jr., Kentucky He’s not to be confused with Indiana Jones (aka Henry Jones Jr.) but Holt can definitely whip it and whip it good. During his collegiate career, he pitched for two highly heralded programs including the ACC’s Clemson Tigers and the SEC’s Kentucky Wildcats. According to the Wildcats' Twitter account, Jones Jr. certainly brings the compete level up on the mound. Holt is another massive 6’8” specimen with good fastball velo in the upper 90s. His size allows him to shorten distance to the plate giving the fastball the ability to jump all over hitters but what he lacks is the ability to keep his long limbs under control. These issues compound when he throws his breaking ball, a high 70s curveball. The pitch shows good shape but the feel for the pitch is just okay, leading to the tendency to get wild. Holt Jr comes to the Marlins with a projectable mid-late relief future due to the size, velo and velo mix but he will need to work a few things out as he progresses through the system. Round 15, Pick 449: LHP Caleb Wurster, UConn Wurster is a 6’, 180 pound lefty out of UConn who has enjoyed a lot of success out of the back end of the Huskies’ bullpen. In three years, he compiled a 2.64 ERA via a 100/32 K/BB and 1.05 WHIP in 95.1 IP. Wurster’s best tool is his deception. Tossing from the first base side, he comes home with a quick delivery from a low sidearm slot, giving him the ability to throw his low 90s fastball with movement and both rise and sink. He has two breaking pitches, the best being a low 80s slider that sweeps away from same side hitters. It has a natural downward arc because of his release point. When commanding, he can place it at will. His changeup is a mid-80s offering with some tumble. All three of Wurster’s pitches are thrown with similar velo and the stuff though good isn’t overwhelmingX However, his ability to hit release points and mask pitches with the same arm speed frustrates hitters and gives him an edge. At the collegiate level, Wurster was affective as a closer. At the next level, the softer tossing lefty is more likely a floor middle reliever or ceiling 7th/8th inning guy. Round 16, Pick 479: 3B Ivan Melendez, Texas Melendez is a 6’3”, 220 pound third baseman who was recruited to Texas after the 2019 season. He had a fantastic first season in D-I ball at one point hitting seven homers in six games and finished strong, helping Texas through the College World Series with some clutch performances. He provided one of the most exciting moments of the CWS with a go-ahead three run homer against Mississippi State. Overall, Melendez hit .319/.438/.603 with 13 homers and a 65/34 K/BB. [youtube Known as the Hispanic Titanic, Melendez is an athletically built specimen with a plus hit tool and power. His quick hands and feel for the barrel allow him to get to any pitch, impact the baseball consistently and go to all fields. Melendez recently described his approach at the plate, saying it changes depending on the situation and that he doesn’t force power but just lets it come naturally. Melendez’s hit and power tools each project to grade highly on the 20-80 scale. On the other side of the ball, there’s not much to say because there hasn’t been much to be seen. A pitcher in high school, Melendez underwent labrum surgery on his non-throwing arm before making the move to the field. After the College World Series this year, he suffered an injury to his left wrist which also required surgery. Because of the health concerns and inexperience in the field, he could be a regular DH at the next level. The Marlins took the lottery ticket on Melendez late in the draft but the likelihood of the Marlins, who wouldn’t be able to offer much over slot value, signing him isn’t great. After a special sophomore year, safe money is on Melendez to return to Texas and improve his draft stock for next season. With similar success, he could make himself a mid-late first round pick, earning himself a much bigger signing bonus. Round 17, Pick 509: LHP Justin Fall, Arizona State Another massive human being, Fall is a 6’6”, 240 pound southpaw who redshirted in his senior year at ASU. After starting the season in the bullpen, multiple injuries to starters moved Fall into the rotation. He ended the year with a 4.08 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 77 IP. While those numbers weren’t bad for a guy who expected to transition to the pen only to be asked to rejoin the rotation early on, Fall didn’t create much in the way of whiffs. He struck out just 47 on the season, a concerning sign for MLBPipeline’s Will Boor. This is another value pick for the Marlins and their top-tier pitching development team. Fall is said to have improved his command greatly in 2021 with a sinking fastball that hits 95 with natural downward plane and a slider in the mid-high 80s with good tilt. After missing a lot of time in his collegiate career due to injury and the canceled 2020 season, the recently turned 22 year old will need to be developed swiftly and advantageously but if there’s one system that can bring out his full potential, it’s Miami. Round 18, Pick 539: SS Bennett Hostetler, North Dakota State Hostetler is a 23-year-old righty hitting shortstop and left fielder who played five years at NDSU. In an extra year of eligibility due to COVID-19 wiping out most of his senior year in 2020, Hostetler had a big year in 2021, hitting .394/.513/.606. He won the Summit League’s Player of the Year award and helped the Bison win their first ever NCAA tournament game. He caught the eye of the Marlins who held a private workout with him at the Missoula Paddleheads’ facility this offseason. [youtube 6’, 195, Hostetler, a two-sport collegiate athlete, drew little to no interest the first three years of his baseball career before lighting the world on fire in a lesser-heralded conference, a conference you need to do that in if you’re going to play pro ball out of the draft. It is a testament to Hostetler’s drive and ability to make the most of the opportunity to do so in an extra year of eligibility. As an out-of-nowhere guy, not much is printed or published on Hostetler’s tools. What is clear from his stat lines is that he’s always been a patient hitter that limits strikeouts. He’s fourth all time in NDSU history in OBP via a 170/108 K/BB across five collegiate seasons. What he greatly improved upon this season was his bat to ball skills and ability to make loud contact, moving his batting average from .250 in 2019 to .394. He also clubbed 10 homers, up from six. In a recent interview, Hostetler attributed the rise in average and power to being even more selective not only swinging at strikes but swinging at pitches he knows he can do something with. “Just because I have the ability to hit certain pitches pretty much anywhere in the strike zone doesn’t mean I should swing at them,” Hostetler said. At 24, Hostetler should be challenged and pushed pretty quickly. Round 19, Pick 569: OF Noah Williamson, Everett Community College The Marlins go to the JuCo ranks with their second-to-last selection and grab Williamson, a sophomore who only competed in four games with his community college in 2021 but really turned heads this summer in the wood bat West Coast League. In 24 games with Yakima Valley, Williamson hit .280/.348/.620 with six homers. He posted those numbers after he agreed to a 10-day contract with the summer ball club. After he went 2-5 in his first game, he received a full season offer. Along with the offer from the Marlins, Williamson also reportedly has an offer from D-I Oregon. He’s expected to decide whether to sign or not within the next two weeks. Scouting reports are few and far between on this player but what we do know from what has been said by Svihlik and from his coach this summer Kyle Krustangel, Williamson is a dynamic outfielder with plus power, plus speed and a good arm, checking the boxes for three of five potential tools. If Williamson signs, he will be an interesting story to follow as a purely out of nowhere discovery who has barely played much affiliated baseball. Round 20, Pick 599: 1B Zach Zubia, Texas Miami rounded out the draft by selecting Zubia who played all four years with Texas and helped them to the College World Series on the same team as a previous pick, Ivan Melendez last season. In 201 NCAA games, Zubia hit .274/.399/.476 with 30 homers and a 190/140 K/BB including .286/.412/.502, 11 HR, 67/49 K/BB this past spring. A quarterback and pitcher as well as first baseman in high school, there’s some real athleticism here especially for a larger built guy. Zubia is a thick framed 6’4”, 230 pounder who packs on muscle. The best tool is the raw power which Zubia comes by naturally. The swing looks pretty smooth; Zubia doesn’t overdo it or try to force power at the plate and he will settle for base hits and take walks. In his sophomore year, he walked more than he struck out, uncanny for a power-first bat. What you’d like to see more of from Zubia is more consistent bat to ball contact because they go far when he barrels up. If he can be taught to get extended more consistently and keep his bat in the zone longer which he definitely has the size to do, Zubia is a guy who could hit for both a good average and 20+ homer power while playing a solid first base and/or DHing at the next level. He will need to do so quickly and while getting facing a tall challenge though. At nearly 26, he will be pushed aggressively.
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