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  1. Photo by Pensacola Blue WahoosFor their 10th anniversary season, the Pensacola Blue Wahoos went big in a variety of ways. From being voted the best stadium for Minor League Baseball, to zany promotions, to fantastic rain delay entertainment, to fielding some of the top prospects in the Marlins’ organization, there were plenty of reasons to keep your eyes on the club and your backside in a seat at Blue Wahoos Stadium. It all culminated with an exciting successful playoff run that saw Pensacola solely hoist the Southern League championship trophy for the first time in franchise history. The Wahoos entered their second season as a Marlins affiliate after ending their first prematurely. They made up for that missed time by extending their 2022 season. Kevin Randel returned to Pensacola as manager and brought the Wahoos to a 33-34 first half record, allowing the team to qualify for the playoffs. While overall offensive stats weren’t the team’s strength (they were last in the Southern League in many offensive stats including batting average and OPS), the Wahoos relied on timely hitting and great pitching. Bolstered by top pitching prospects such as Eury Perez and Dax Fulton and backed up by an extremely strong bullpen consisting of Josh Simpson, Eli Villalobos, Sean Reynolds (all of whom are now on the Marlins’ 40 man Major League roster) and others, the Wahoos’ pitching staff held down a 4.49 collective ERA and were second in batting average against with a .246 marker and third in WHIP at 1.34. Their 2.83 K/BB ratio led the circuit. According to Reynolds, the group that rose to the top in Pensacola this year created a culture of winning they plan to permeate as they continue to build their careers together. “The group that we had in Beloit early in the season we talked about it. Yeah, we’re all here to develop and get better and get out playing time, but if we’re gonna be here, we might as well win a few games,” Reynolds said. “Once you start to get most of the room if not all 25-26 guys on that same page, that we are showing up to win, that takes the stress off everyone asking what am I doing or what is going on with my swing or my defense. If all your focus is to just win the game, we’re showing up every day like it’s a brand new day and we’re gonna win tonight.” Memorable MomentsDax Fulton strikes out career high 13 in season saving game With the Wahoos facing elimination in the Southern League playoffs, Dax Fulton took the ball for the fifth time in his AA career and for the first time in the postseason. He absolutely dazzled. In six innings, Fulton struck out 13, a new career high. He retired 12 straight to end his night. After a hard-luck start to the season with the Sky Carp in which he had an ERA nearly a run higher than his FIP (4.07 vs 3.08), Fulton’s stats matched his potential against older competition and in a more hitter friendly environment in Pensacola. Living off a tight hammer curveball and a fastball that sits in the 94-96 mph range with spin rates upward of 2,600 as well as a changeup that took the next step this season all coming at hitters from a downhill plane and high arm slot, this 6’7” lefty could contribute to a major league roster as early as 2023. While he is still a bit under the radar, Dax is proving why he is one of the pitching prospects in a Marlins’ system rich in quality arms. Wahoos score three in 9th, walk off despite not recording a hitThere are a lot of ways that baseball games can end. The Blue Wahoos and Biloxi Shuckers exhibited of the more unique ones on this date in early June. Down two runs going into the bottom of the 9th, Pensacola scored three runs without the benefit of a hit. After a throwing error from the Biloxi shortstop allowed Troy Johnston to reach, Griffin Conine walked. From there, Biloxi’s closer plunked four straight batters. Luis Aviles Jr’s plunking loaded the bases. Ray Patrick Didder and Cobie Fletcher-Vance were then hit on back to back pitches. In one of the more exciting series at Blue Wahoos Stadium all season, it marked the third straight time and fourth time in the six game set that Pensacola won via walk off. The main culprit for why Biloxi closer Harold Chirino hit four straight batters and walked another may have been due to the rock he was throwing. Early in the year, the Southern League had been experimenting with pre-tacked baseballs. This series was one of the first in which the league reverted back to its regular model after the experiment was halted “for reasons unclear”. That weekend, the Wahoos averaged more than five total hit batters per game. Reasons aside, fans who attended a Wahoos game that week were treated to quite the show. And players needed ice. Blue Wahoos win Southern League championshipAfter the aforementioned Fulton game, the Wahoos entered the the Southern League championship series against Tennessee with the big mo on their side. It didn’t let them down. In the final game of the series, the Wahoos ran out the Marlins’ top prospect Eury Perez, fresh back from rehab. He struck out nine in three innings of work. Cobie Fletcher-Vance starred on the offensive side of the ball. He went 2-5 and produced the biggest hit of the game, a grand slam. He matched a career high with 5 RBIs. The rule 5 pick produced for the bulk of the postseason for Pensacola, hitting .316 in six games. Following Perez, the Wahoos’ pen consisting of Robinson Martinez, Chandler Jozwiak, Jorge Mercedes and Sean Reynolds dealt six innings of scoreless ball while striking out 10. The 19 total strikeouts by the Wahoos’ staff were a season high and a postseason record. It was also one shy of an all-time team record. In 2017, Pensacola won its first title after they swept Marlins AA prospects with the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp in the division series. Afterwards, the championship series was canceled due to Hurricane Irma and the Wahoos along with the Chattanooga Lookouts were named co-champions. Thus this 2022 title win was the second in Wahoos’ franchise history but the first time in franchise history the team has stood alone atop the Southern League. Top PerformersOF/1B Troy Johnston 85 G, .292/.360/.450, 10 HR, 31 XBH, 49 RBI, 71/32 K/BB The Marlins’ 17th rounder from 2019 just keeps proving himself. After a breakout year in Jupiter and Beloit in 2021, Johnston’s prowess and ability to get on base at an above average level permeated in the upper minors this season. With Pensacola, Johnston slashed .292/.360/.450, marks that ranked first, second and second amongst those who played more than 30 games in Wahoos garb. Coming into 2021, the only thing missing from Johnston’s offensive profile was the ability to hit for consistent power. He responded by hitting 15 home runs in the lower minors. That same power potential permeated with Pensacola this year as he hit another 10. After a late season call to AAA Jacksonville, he hit another four homers. Johnston’s walk rate (8.5%) shrunk amidst his call to AA, but so did his K rate (18.9%). Long story short, Johnston saw better quality stuff but was still able to select advantageously. The scientific hitter at one point in the season had a 12 game hit streak. With that streak included, he reached via a hit in 24 of 26 games. Getting his first taste of AAA, Johnston’s hat to ball fizzled a bit as he fell into an 0-19 slump to start September with the Jumbo Shrimp. However, his patience and selectiveness persisted. With the Shrimp, Johnston had a 24/15 K/BB which proved he can still work counts to his favor at the highest level of MiLB. Johnston was rule 5 eligible at the winter meetings, but wound up going unselected. He will come back to Miami in 2023 likely with an invite to spring training and with an outside chance to make the big league roster. If not, Johnston should report back to AAA Jacksonville. With eligibility at a very thin position for Miami, first base, the avid and persistent worker who has a healthy mindset to steadily challenge himself and improve is a very real candidate to contribute to the Marlins this coming season. C Paul McIntosh 90 G, .258/.379/.465, 13 HR, 39 XBH, 51 RBI, 75/55 K/BB There’s just something about undrafted free agents breaking out that makes us smile. Since spring training, it was clear and evident that Paul McIntosh had the plate presence and raw strength to become a considerable name in the Marlins’ system. After catching most of the system’s top pitching prospects and some major league pitchers during camp, the West Virginia product was assigned to AA Pensacola to begin the year. McIntosh joined the Wahoos and made an instant impact. In his first 16 games, he hit .316/.435/.544 with five homers. While his batting average normalized over the course of the rest of the season as he went through some cold stretches, his patience and power potential permeated all year long. Overall, McIntosh’s 125 wRC+ ranked third in the Marlins organization amongst full season players, earning him organizational All-Star honors. McIntosh’s weakness lies on his ability to produce consistent quality bat-to-ball contact. That said, he is one of the stronger players in the Marlins’ system. McIntosh can suffice at catcher, but his durability behind the plate (he missed the playoffs due to injury and also spent time on the IL in 2021) makes him most likely a long term first baseman. He can also slot in in the outfield. We anticipate him starting 2023 with the AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp. Given the Marlins’ MLB ready depth at both catcher and first base, he could be in line for a big league call this coming season. RHP Eury Perez 75 IP, 4.08 ERA, 3.52 FIP, 1.16 WHIP, 106/25 K/BB Perez is the Marlins’ enigmatic consensus top prospect. He has risen to such a level after being signed as part of the 2019 international class ($200K). From the moment he was signed, Perez had fiery velo. He also had more than a blueprint of three pitches, including an advanced changeup and a curveball. In his first season pro, Perez flashed all three pitches but he also exhibited the need to repeat a bit better and learn his levers to avoid tipping. Fast forward to 2022. After a dominant season in A Jupiter, with his levers well under control, Perez was challenged to the AA level to begin the year. There, he struggled in his first few starts but quickly acclimated to the league and to much older competitors. From May 6th through July 7th, Perez held down a 2.20 ERA while striking out 59 and walking just 9. Once again on a stringent innings limit of 110 entering the season, Perez’s arm showed signs of fatigue during his first August start and he was pulled from it after just 1.1 IP. While tests were negative and only revealed simple arm fatigue, Perez underwent a minor surgery and missed the rest of August. He returned to Pensacola on September 16th after one rehab outing in Jupiter. During Pensacola’s playoff run, he tossed 6 IP and allowed seven runs while striking out 12 and walking three. While the end to his season isn’t exactly what he or the Marlins wanted, in Perez, the Marlins have something very special: a 6’8” righty with three plus plus pitches, good control, the ability to sit at 97, hit triple digits, shrink to the low 80s, hold his cell through his outings, command consistently, and mask his delivery well. As long as Perez can remain healthy with his innings limit removed, he has a very real future as part of the Marlins rotation and very soon. We foresee him being invited to spring training with the Marlins and starting 2023 in AAA. LHP Josh Simpson 55.2 IP, 3.88 ERA, 3.33 FIP, 1.08 WHIP, 89/29 K/BB Simpson is one of many quality arms that contributed to an extremely solid Pensacola bullpen in 2022 and one of a few that the Marlins have since selected to the 40 man roster. He made an immediate impression in his AA debut to begin 2022 as he tossed 18.2 scoreless innings and allowed just three total hits. Over that span, he had a 35/7 K/BB. One rough five run outing aside, Simpson recorded more than respectable numbers in a Wahoos’ uniform before his late season call to AAA. Simpson is an averaged size lefty (6’2” 190 lb), who lives off his ability to deceive hitters via his quick pace and motion and his four plus pitches and three plus pitches. Simpson reaches up to 97 mph with his fastball (sitting 94). His cut fastball sits in the 88-90 mph range and tunnels well of the heat. Simpson’s best pitch is a tight curveball with late downward action that lies in the 80 mph range. In addition, he can also throw a usable changeup. With good stuff, Simpson is a more than competitive southpaw whose control got better as 2022 went on. He will enter spring training with a very real chance of making the Marlins’ Opening Day roster.
  2. Photo by MLB.com The inaugural season of the Beloit Sky Carp in the organization’s first full season at ABC Supply Stadium was as educational as it was entertaining. Canada geese or Sky Carp in slang, are geese who don’t migrate long distances but who will change locations during cold weather months to search for food. The 2022 Beloit Sky Carp were the baseball equivalent to their feathered friends and namesake. During the last days of winter, the club did not find much to feed on. In April, the team got off to an 0-7 start and hit .190. In May, they hit .248. On May 31, the Sky Carp were a frigid 12-17. With the change in the weather came a change in production: in June, the thawed out Sky Carp posted a .760 OPS and flipped the script from the start of their season, going 17-8. No matter the weather, we learned quite a bit about how the confines of ABC Supply play. Beloit hit just .224 at home compared to .250 on the road, leading to quite a flip in what long time fans of the Beloit franchise came to expect at the team's old stomping grounds. "It's definitely a pitcher's park; the ball does not fly here," Beloit starter M.D. Johnson told us earlier this summer. "It's so much different than playing at Pohlman where we played half our games last season where it's 350 to dead center and the wind blows straight out every day." Whether they are pitchers or hitters, Beloit's players, including Johnson, wouldn't trade the ambience of ABC Supply for many other places. "It's right on the river. It really has that Camden Yards feel with all the bricks to it. The opening in dead center field runs to the filter all the way through," Johnson said. "The locker room is top notch. We have a chef that cooks all of our meals that is top notch. It's up there on my list of favorite places to play, for sure." The Sky Carp finished the season 62-67. They were in the running for the second half title up until two weeks before closing day. Their team stats further corroborated the difficulty to hit in their home park. As a squad, they slashed .237/.318/.352. On the other side of the ball, they owned a 3.79 ERA, third lowest in the Midwest League and a 1.24 WHIP which led the league. Memorable MomentsCarp stage 8-run 9th to beat Quad Cities June 2nd: One of the few times on the year that Beloit pitching really struggled occurred in this early season matchup. After three Beloit pitchers combined to allow 11 runs on 19 hits, the Carp found themselves going into the 9th inning down six on the road against the River Bandits. But the Beloit offense wasn’t ready to go quietly. Bringing 12 men to the plate, the Carp scored eight runs to take a 13-11 lead. Victor Mesa Jr had two hits in the inning and Nasim Nunez reached base twice. Cody Morissette drove in the eventual winning run with an RBI double. Chandler Jozwiak closed the game out and earned his second A+ win. Hoss SLAM! July 29th: Sky Carp provided one of their larger crowds of the year with plenty to cheer about. Down 3-2 in the 9th, Bennett Hostetler crushed a grand slam to give Beloit the victory, their sixth in a seven game span. It spurred quite possibly the best home plate celebration in MiLB all season. For Hostetler who struggled in the first half of July, the career high 5 RBI effort came in the midst of a 13-game on base streak and a span in which he reached safely in 20 of 22 games. He went on to hit .289/.330/.386 in August. Dax Fulton strikes out first 9 batters July 1st: Facing off against the South Bend Cubs including Pete-Crow Armstrong and Owen Caissie, Dax Fulton ripped through the Cubs lineup on 46 pitches, striking out each member of it. Dax would wind up going 5.1 IP and allowing four runs on five hits, including an infield single that deflected off his first baseman. Three of his other hits were seeing eye singles. His final run came into score on a sac fly after he exited the game. Like the last two innings of this start, Fulton’s tenure with the Sky Carp was unlucky, unforgiving, and any other “un” you can think of. But early in this outing, he took everything else out of the equation, negated his extremely high BABIP, let his left arm do the talking, and proved his dominance on his way up to AA. There, in a more hitter friendly home environment, Fulton’s ERA shrank by way of a similar FIP. His tenure in Beloit was much better than peripheral stats state and he should be considered one of the top pitching prospects in the Marlins’ organization. Notable PerformersINF Nasim Nunez 85 G, .247/.390/.323, 16 XBH, 27 RBI, 49 SB, 103/71 K/BB In his age 21 season, Nasim Nunez took the field to start the season with Beloit and proved his skillset can translate against older competition. Playing in yet another pitcher friendly environment, Nunez’s splits told the story of his tenure in a Sky Carp uniform. Although he hit just .184 at home, Nunez slashed .304/.447/.418 away from ABC Supply Stadium. And that was in an even larger sample of ABs. No matter the park though, two things were consistent for Nasim: 70 grade speed and 70 grade defense. Nunez isn’t expected to ever be much of an over the fence threat. What he is is a disciplined top of the order threat that has the ability to beat out any ball put in play on the infield as well as the ability to turn anything that finds outfield grass into extra bases. After a late season call to AA where he competed against guys nearly three and a half years older than him on average, Nunez’s slash line spiked to .265/.371/.303. Because of his elite defense and speed, Nunez is a high floor infielder who will undoubtedly stick at shortstop. At least a bench piece, with more consistent bat to ball, Nunez will solidify himself as a starter. Perhaps the long term answer at short the Marlins are looking for at short is right under their nose and not too far away. He should begin 2023 back at AA with the Blue Wahoos. An MLB debut shouldn’t be ruled out. OF Davis Bradshaw 70 G, .310/.367/.380, 12 XBH, 24 RBI, 8 SB, 36/16 K/BB Davis Bradshaw is an 11th round pick out of JuCo from 2018 who had some traffic in front of him in the outfield which limited his playing time in Beloit. But when Bradshaw did get his chances, he didn’t waste them. Exhibiting a simple approach and great plate discipline, Bradshaw led the Sky Carp in several offensive categories including batting average. Despite the pitcher friendly nature of ABC Supply Stadium, he was a .280/.331/.332 hitter there and a .342/.403/.408 hitter on the road. After finally getting the call to AA in August, his results permeated against guys closer to his his own age. With the Pensacola Blue Wahoos, Bradshaw hit .286/.394/.357. He also had a big hit and scored a run during the fourth game of the Southern League championship series that kept Pensacola alive. Bradshaw is a 6’3”, 175 pound lefty hitting righty throwing outfielder who exhibits an extremely disciplined approach at the plate, much of the reason why JJ Cooper labeled him as the best pure hit tool in the Marlins’ 2018 draft class. Bradshaw also exhibits plus speed on the base paths. What limits his ceiling is a lack of power and his outfield arm which is average at best. That said, Bradshaw has the makeup of a prototypical fourth outfielder, as long as he is given the opportunity. We project that he will start 2022 at AAA Jacksonville. RHP M.D. Johnson 112 IP, 3.46 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 125/28 K/BB Johnson, who has had quite the unique road to the show thus far, was a Beloit lifer in 2022 and arguably their Most Valuable Player. A 25-year-old righty out of Dallas Baptist, Johnson tossed his way to a 3.46 ERA by way of a 3.58 FIP. His 21.5% K/BB and his 1.04 WHIP led the Midwest League amongst pitchers with at least 100 innings pitched. 6’5”, Johnson uses his size well. While he won’t get up above 95, he has four dancing pitches including a curveball, best pitch slider, and a changeup that took the next step this season. His wide arsenal and improving command somehow didn’t earn him the call to the AA level this year, but provided he is still with Miami after the offseason including the Rule 5 draft, he will report to the upper minors in 2023. Johnson has very real ceiling back-end rotational talent and the floor of a multiple innings reliever out of the pen. And, as long he can succeed in the upper minors, he probably isn’t too far off from making his MLB debut. With the condition of Miami’s staff in 2022, it’s perplexing why he was not challenged a bit more this season. In any event, he could contribute to a big league roster as early next season. LHP Patrick Monteverde 79 IP, 2.51 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 90/26 K/BB Patrick Monteverde is a 6’2” 190 pound lefty who, unlike Johnson, was challenged multiple times in 2022. The bulk of Monteverde’s second season pro was sent with the Sky Carp. During his tenure in the Midwest League, Monteverde led the Beloit squad in ERA among hurlers with at least 50 IP. He also had solid control numbers, including a 20% K/BB ratio. Monteverde’s best tool is his deception from the left side, his 12-6 curveball, and his ability to separate velo. His crux is limited fastball velocity and spotty command. This was on display during his tenure with Pensacola where his numbers inflated. That said, Monteverde will enter his third year pro in arguably the best pitching development system in baseball. After missing 2019 due to elbow surgery and 2020 due to COVID, Monteverde may be behind schedule, but he could become a late blooming rotational piece. He should start 2023 back at AA.
  3. Photo by Jupiter Hammerheads The 25th anniversary season at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium provided plenty of fireworks literally and figuratively. In addition to their weekly pyrotechnic shows as well as their annual 4th of July celebration, there were also plenty of illuminations on the diamond from the Jupiter Hammerheads. Highlighted by recent top draft picks and international signings, the next crop of long-term projection gave Marlins fans plenty to buy in to.-- Record: 63-66 Slash line: .241/.327/.352 Pitching line: 1097.1 IP, 4.08 ERA, 1.32 WHIP, 2.44 K/BB Beginning the season with five top 30 organizational prospects including the team’s first round draft pick Kahlil Watson and a rehabbing Edward Cabrera, it was an exciting time to be in Abacoa to begin 2022. As the season wore on, first year manager Angel Espada and his staff were challenged in a multitude of ways. From acclimating new draft picks to the pros to acclimating international prospects to their first taste of stateside action mixed in with major league rehabbers, the Hammerheads fielded 90 different players. At 21 years even, Jupiter was the fourth youngest offensive team in the Florida State League. On the pitching side, the team was 22.3 years of age on average, the third oldest staff in the FSL. The symbiosis of younger position players and older pitching spelled out a 62-66 record. Jupiter’s offense was the second best for-average team in the league but, playing at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium, struggled for power, hitting the least amount of homers in the league and recording the third lowest slugging percentage. Their power numbers were only higher than the Clearwater Threshers and their stadium roommates, the Palm Beach Cardinals. The pitching staff allowed the most earned runs in the FSL via it’s third lowest K/BB ratio (2.44). Still, Jupiter battled its way to a second-place finish in the South Division in the first half. They finished 8.5 games out of a playoff spot in the second half. Memorable MomentsKahlil Watson hits four homers in first six career games; rakes in April To say Kahlil Watson’s first pro season was a roller coaster would be something of an understatement, but the Marlins’ 2021 first round pick definitely started his career on a high note, showcasing the potential the Marlins saw in his ability when they were ecstatic to select him at 16th overall. After going 1-4 with a double in his first career game, Watson teed off for the first time in the 4th inning the next night. A day later, Watson did it again. In the Hammerheads’ first road series against Ft Myers, Watson went 6-20 with two more homers which also came in back-to-back games on April 13th and 14th. Overall, in his first month of work, the tooled-up lefty hitter slashed .294/.338/.603 with hits in 13 of 18 games. Watson also closed his rookie season out strong, slashing .333/.400/.639 in the month of September. The pure talent, skills, and athleticism in Watson are clear, present, and evident. He could see time with the big league team as a non-roster invitee in spring training next season before his assignment. Luis Palacios fans a career high 9 in 8 shutout innings He may not throw above 92, but this 22-year-old lefty has some of the best command in the Miami Marlins’ system. In this late May matchup against the Clearwater Threshers, he proved how much he can do when he has it all working. In a career high eight innings, Palacios, who dominated the Dominican Summer League with video game numbers before coming stateside, struck out a career high nine. Mixing all three of his pitches and working the entire strike zone while changing eye levels, he allowed just four hits. Backed by a three RBI night from Brady Allen and a two-hit game by Cameron Barstad, the Hammerheads cruised to a 6-0 win. In this outing, Palacios not only showed off his ability to locate three pitches with precision, he also showed the ability to bounce back from adversity in the form of a 6.1 IP, 6 ER start his previous time out. It was the start of a streak of four straight quality starts and a run of 48 IP with a 3.37 ERA and 48/3 K/BB which spurred his promotion to high A Beloit. Palacios finished the season by throwing 10 innings of three run ball over two starts, helping the Pensacola Blue Wahoos to a Southern League championship. Jupiter orchestrates late season route of playoff-bound Palm Beach On the second to last day of the season, the Hammerheads, donned in jerseys designed by a local teenager and that benefitted a local charity, got contributions from all over the lineup. Led by Carlos Santiago who hit a grand slam and drove in a total of five runs, Jupiter routed the eventual FSL playoff finalist Cardinals, 14-1. 2022 draftee Jake Thompson contributed a double and his third career homer. Comeback player of the year candidate Jorge Caballero posted three hits including a double. Eury Perez made his final rehab start on the mound, tossing two scoreless innings. He was followed by a second rehabbed, Bryan Mitchell who threw 0.2 scoreless. Yeuris Jimenez then took over, keeping the Cardinals off the board for another 1.1 innings. The Marlins’ 2022 4th round pick Marcus Johnson ended his first pro stint on a high note, finishing a career high five full innings. He allowed just two hits, one earned run and struck out 10, another career mark for the 6’6” righty. Standout PerformersIF Jose Salas - .267/.356/.421, 5 HR, 21 XBH, 24 RBI, 15 SB, 54/23 K/BB Salas ended his 2021 campaign in Jupiter and expectedly reported back to the Hammerheads to begin the 2022 campaign. A 19 year old playing against competition over two years his elder on average in the pitcher friendly Florida State League, Salas posted more than respectable offensive numbers. The fourth youngest player in the FSL that recorded at least 200 ABs, Salas exhibited his plus power even within his still developing frame by slamming five homers and 21 total extra base hits for Jupiter while beginning to use more of the field and cover the plate more advantageously. Salas also showed an advanced approach from both sides of the plate by holding his K rate to a manageable 21% while walking at a 9% clip. Salas’ numbers came by way of an almost neutral .327 BABIP. A catalytic threat, he hit .280/.419/.460 when leading off an inning and worked his way into a regular role at the top of the Hammerheads’ lineup. A midseason call up to Beloit and to another pitcher friendly park, Salas hit .230/.319/.340 via a hard luck .274 BABIP. Despite the jump, Salas still continued to exhibit great plate discipline and even saw his K rate shrink to 18.9% while his walk rate rose to 9.2% against even older competition. His speed on the bases also improved: in 48 games with the Sky Carp, Salas stole another 18 bags giving him 33 on the season. Not turning 20 until next April, Salas is currently competing in the Arizona Fall League. And, guess what, he’s once again playing against guys who are much older than him. Salas is the second youngest player out west this fall. He will enter spring training next season eyeing the possibility of being sent back to Beloit, but the Marlins have not shied away from continuing to challenge him. If he does not begin the season in the upper minors, it will definitely be in the cards during the 2023 season. Well ahead of schedule with many plus tools and the ability to handle multiple infield positions, Salas is one of the most exciting offensive prospects in the pipeline. IF Ian Lewis - .265/.347/.368, 2 HR, 12 XBH, 21 RBI, 16 SB, 45/22 K/BB Ian Lewis is another young middle infield prospect who showed out for the Hammerheads in 2022. After joining Jupiter a little over a month into the season, Lewis had probably the best month of May system wide. A .349/.386/.476 hitter in his first 51 games in the Florida State League, Lewis posted a 106 wRC+ and stole 16 bases, tied with Kahlil Watson for the most on the 2022 Hammerheads squad. Lewis was only caught stealing once, giving him a 94% success rate stealing bases. Riding an 11-game on base streak, Lewis’ first season came to a premature end due to a right hand injury. Lewis suffered the injury on July 16th. It kept him out for the rest of 2022. While his freshman campaign came to a premature end, the second youngest player on the Hammerheads after Salas showed a consistent ability to work his way on base via an extremely advanced approach. From there, Lewis made stolen bases look simple via 70 grade speed, arguably the best in the Marlins’ organization (he and Nasim Nunez would have entertaining foot races). Despite very limited size (5’11”, 177), via fiery bat speed, Lewis also shows the ability to come by some plus pop which should get even better as he physically fills out. One facet of his offensive game that will need to fill out is his ability to cover the entire field. So far, Lewis has been extremely pull heavy and has struggled to get good wood on back door pitches, a weakness that pitchers at the upper levels of the minors will begin to exploit. If that gap is closed, a fully healthy Ian Lewis is a multi-faceted offensive threat with above average defense at second base and the ability to fill in at shortstop and third base. 2023 should include a promotion up to the Beloit Sky Carp. LHP Luis Palacios - 82.2 IP, 4.03 ERA, 5.88 FIP, 1.10 WHIP, 16.4 K/BB Palacios is a finesse lefty who impressed overseas before coming stateside last year where his positive results permeated. This season, beginning with the Hammerheads, Palacios stepped into the full season ball ranks and kept it going. Showing pinpoint command of all four quadrants of the zone and the ability to mix three pitches, Palacios posted a ridiculous 16.40 K/BB ratio for Jupiter, by far the top mark in the FSL among pitchers who tossed at least 60 innings. He also maintained a respectable 4.03 ERA and had an even lower 3.45 FIP. But will a guy of Palacios’ makeup, an average-sized lefty who throws sub-93 with little room for error, be able to succeed as a starter above of the low A ranks? In July, Palacios got the call to A+ Beloit to begin a seven game tenure. Palacios’ ability to work into the back third of games consisted as he threw into the 6th inning in all but two outings. One of his outings that came to a premature end was a three inning, 9 ER event that caused his ERA with the Sky Carp to balloon from to 3.10 to 5.18. After his last outing with in which he tossed 6 innings of shutout ball, Palacios got another challenge up to the AA level to assist the Pensacola Blue Wahoos in their playoff run. He allowed three earned runs in 10 IP. Palacios is a very polarizing prospect. While he doesn’t have room for very much error at all when he is on the mound, he has been able to remain mostly affective through each step he has taken through the system. His command and control may just be that good to allow the soft-tossing lefty to remain as a back-end starter. At the least, Palacios has the floor of a high-IQ change of pace multiple innings reliever and/or spot starter. Already with plus breaking stuff and superb command within an organization known for pitching development, reaching his full ceiling shouldn’t be discounted. Palacios could begin 2022 at the AA level where we should learn quite a bit more about how close to that potential ceiling he is.
  4. And so there were two… just Jacksonville and Pensacola remain in this Marlins minor league season. While Pensacola has faded a bit in the second half, they have a playoff spot locked up for this week. Jacksonville still has work to do but has played well all year long. Featured this week are the players helping their team most during this playoff push. - LHP Patrick Monteverde, AA This Week’s Stats: 5.2 IP, 0 R, 6 H, 7/1 K/BB Pat Monteverde has been on the receiving end of some poor luck since his promotion to Pensacola. He’s surrendered an unseemly .368 BABIP, despite a low line drive rate. This comes in a small sample of just over thirty innings pitched, but has led to Monteverde posting an ERA just a tick below five. He has pitched far better than that number indicates. An eighth-round pick in last year’s amateur draft, Monteverde possesses exceptional control. He posted a 5.8% walk rate in his senior season at Texas Tech after transferring over from Seton Hall. Pitching in a more difficult conference proved to be a challenge that Monteverde was up to, as he also put up a 28% strikeout rate and a 3.75 ERA. Monteverde’s stats in the minors bear a striking resemblance to his college performance. He does not boast an upper nineties fastball, but his changeup neutralizes righties very well and serves as an out pitch when needed. His reverse splits are notable, as Monteverde has allowed a .276 average against left-handed batters compared to a .188 against righties in far more at bats. The result has been a K%-BB% hovering around 20%, which is excellent at any level. Monteverde did not have much better luck with the BABIP gods last week. Pitching against Biloxi, he allowed a .375 BABIP. However, the difference was in Monteverde’s ability to leave runners on base and get strikeouts when needed. The Wahoos gave no run support to the lefty in a tough 1-0 loss, but it was one of his best starts since the promotion. While the Wahoos have other options for their playoff rotation, they should not be hesitant to use Monteverde, especially against right-handed batters. OF Jesus Sanchez, AAA This Week’s Stats: 13-23, 1 HR, 2 2B, 3/4 K/BB The Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp have plenty to play for over the next two weeks. As of now, Jacksonville is 2.5 games behind first place Durham, with Scranton also two games up on them. The Jumbo Shrimp finish the season with Charlotte and Norfolk, two teams towards the bottom of the standings. They must win their division to complete for the International League championship. Winning a few gams this week against Nashville was vital, as the Milwaukee affiliate has the best record in the International League. Playing no small part in those victories was Jesus Sanchez, who has had a whirlwind 2022 season. After starting the season as Miami’s center fielder, Sanchez looked mostly overmatched in the big leagues. While the metrics seem to agree that he was O.K. defensively, the bat is supposed to be Sanchez’s calling card. Since the demotion to Jacksonville, Sanchez has made some adjustments that seem to be paying off. He’s a bit more crouched down at the plate, while his swing has been shortened a bit. Ultimately, there seems to be less effort coming from the upper body, and more power being derived through the legs. Considering Sanchez’s raw power and strength, this should be a beneficial change. He does not need to do as much with the upper body to still achieve hard hit balls. Indeed, the results are beginning to come back for the twenty-four-year-old. Sanchez’s strikeout rate is down a bit, while he has an OPS over 1.000 in the month of September. These may be small signs, but Sanchez has also displayed a more patient approach. Chasing bad pitches has been Sanchez’s kryptonite at the plate in the big leagues, so continuing that trend will be beneficial. His shorter stroke has led to an all fields approach and a plethora of base hits (especially last week). As Jacksonville looks to finish this season with a playoff berth, Jesus Sanchez should be right in the middle of it to set himself up well for next spring. RHP Elieser Hernandez, AAA This Week’s Stats: 5.1 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 8/2 K/BB Another former big leaguer has played a substantial role in keeping Jacksonville in the playoff hunt. Elieser Hernandez, much maligned in Miami for his early season struggles, has pitched better in Triple-A. While his trajectory has not always seemed to be moving upwards, Hernandez’s stats speak for themselves in Jacksonville: 10 starts, 4-2 record, 3.63 ERA. The most important thing the veteran righty has been able to do is limit the home run balls. They were his biggest weakness in the majors, with an unheard of thirty-two homers given up since the start of last season. That has come in only 110 innings pitched. Hernandez is a fly-ball pitcher. He consistently works up in the zone with his fastball, while trying to bury the changeup and slider below the zone. Unfortunately, command was his biggest problem this year. Too often, the fastball was not high enough and the off-speed pitches were not low enough. The result was a lot of baseballs in the middle of the zone for hitters to tee off on. In fourty six and two-thirds minor league innings, Hernandez has given up just seven home runs. That is not an exceptional rate, but a huge improvement on how he has pitched in the big leagues. Most Marlins fans will not trust that number to maintain itself if Elieser is brought back up, but there should be some faith in the fact that he has displayed much better command over the past few months. While he surrendered two walks in his last start against Nashville, Hernandez’s breaking pitches were highly effective in getting hitters to chase below the zone. The quality of Elieser’s stuff cannot be denied when he is right, but finding consistent command remains vital. Pensacola Blue Wahoos Offense This Week’s Stats: 1-5 Record, 11 runs in six games For the year, the Pensacola Blue Wahoos, as a team, rank last in OPS, batting average, runs scored, walks, and hits among teams in the Double-A Southern League. Conversely, they are on the top half of the league in just about every pitching stat. The Wahoos already won the first half in their division, guaranteeing a spot in this week’s playoffs, but they will need to hit to keep this season going. Last week, we gave a shoutout to two players who have carried the Wahoos lineup all season long. Since then, Paul McIntosh has landed on the IL and Griffin Conine went hitless in fifteen at bats with nine strikeouts. The Wahoos were completely dominated all week long by a Biloxi pitching staff that has not been exceptional at any point this season. With McIntosh’s status unknown for the start of Tuesday’s series against Montgomery, there are serious reasons for concern. The Montgomery Biscuits, the Double-A affiliate of the Tampa Bay Rays, have run away with the South Division in the second half of the season. They boast a pitching staff with the best ERA in the Southern League. On paper, this is a tough matchup for Pensacola. However, this team has gotten to this point, and they have the talent to win this best of three matchup. Nasim Nunez, Will Banfield, and Norel Gonzalez have all swung the bat well in recent weeks. If Eury Perez pitches in the series, along with Dax Fulton, then Pensacola absolutely has a chance to pull this off. Yet, the most important factor may be the status of those two players who have carried Pensacola all year long. Can McIntosh come back from injury sooner rather than later, to give this team the jolt it needs? More importantly, can Conine connect with a few long balls to provide the offense with a few quick runs? Since they won the first half of the season, the Blue Wahoos have known this opportunity would be awaiting them. It is now time for them to pull it off. Next Up (9/20-9/25) AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs CharlotteAA Pensacola Blue Wahoos at Montgomery (Game 1 on Tuesday), Home vs Montgomery (Games 2/3 on Thursday/Friday)
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  6. The season is over for Beloit and Jupiter, but there is still plenty to play for at Jacksonville and Pensacola. This week’s Roundup features a few of the highest potential players in the system at the lower levels, and a few others who have performed well all season long. - SS Kahlil Watson, A This Week’s Stats: 7-23, 1 HR, 2 3B, 6/1 K/BB With the Hammerheads season ending, it was vital that Kahlil Watson left a positive impression on the minds of Marlins fans. This has been a rough season for Watson’s stock. He got off to a hot start, but quickly faded and had off the field issues, reported here first, that compounded his problems at the plate. He entered the season as one of the top prospects in the Marlins system, and a near consensus Top 100 prospect throughout the entire league. Since then, he has taken a rapid tumble, and is all the way down at #17 on the Fangraphs Marlins Prospect Rankings. Even when Watson was performing well at the beginning of the season, there were swing and miss issues that were of concern in the peripherals. For the year, he has struck out in 35.5% of his plate appearances, while also posting an unimpressive walk rate. Watson’s approach has been his biggest problem, although there have been signs of life recently. Since returning to the field following the discipline issues, Watson has cut his strikeout rate down by about 10%. Over this past week, he continued striking out about 25% of the time. While that rate is still a bit high, especially for the lower levels, it is not completely detrimental. Most importantly, Watson is doing other things well on the field. He earned Florida State League Player of the Week honors for his performance this past week, because he was doing everything well. Watson has the speed to leg out extra bases, while also possessing the raw power of a future 20-25 home run hitter at the big leagues. He can be an electric player if the Marlins can help him figure the other stuff out. Since he is still only nineteen years old, there will be a lot riding on the mindset Watson comes into camp with next spring. RHP Eli Villalobos, AAA This Week’s Stats: 3.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 7/1 K/BB Eli Villalobos could complete for the “Best Marlins Relief Pitcher” award for 2022. Throughout all levels of the system, he has been amongst the most consistently dominant pitchers. Anthony Maldonado and Josh Simpson would certainly have cases of their own, but Villalobos has been right there with them in both Pensacola and Jacksonville. Most impressively, since his promotion he has thrown his best ball of the year. Villalobos has yet to give up a hit at Jacksonville in ten and two thirds innings. In that span, he has struck out sixteen batters while allowing just ten to reach base (5 H, 5 BB). His fastball can peak around 96-97 in many games, but the killer curveball continues to be hitter’s worst nightmare. The pitch is a sharp breaker, that seems to have a ton of late drop. Much like Simpson and Maldonado, Villalobos should be in the mix to join the Miami bullpen immediately next year. Miami’s bullpen ranks 20th in the big leagues in ERA and 27th in WHIP. Villalobos could help in both of those categories, as he has kept his walk rate in check for most of the year while limiting hard contact. Considering the strikeout percentage he put up this past week, Villalobos will be amongst the top guys to watch in Spring Training next year. RHP Marcus Johnson, A This Week’s Stats: 5.0 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 10/2 K/BB With the way that he has pitched in Jupiter, Marcus Johnson may be the 2022 Marlins draft pick most worthy of hype heading into next season. Alright… maybe just on the pitching side, since Jacob Berry has acclimated himself well at the same level. However, much like Barry, Johnson is showing that his college success was no fluke. Johnson pitched out of the bullpen this past week. Against Lakeland, he pitched five innings in relief of the rehabbing starter Eury Perez. Over seven combined innings between the two righties, there were fourteen strikeouts. Amazingly, Johnson is two years Perez’s elder, but both are tall pitchers with intimidating mound presences. Johnson’s advanced repertoire is certainly benefitting him at the lower levels. He has two plus breaking balls, on top of a fastball that tops in the mid-nineties. Johnson is still just twenty-one and considering his size there could still be more in the fastball. His changeup is a workable fourth pitch as well, and Johnson is using them all well to fool younger hitters. He has faced fifty-one hitters in Jupiter and struck out twenty-four of them. That ridiculous strikeout rate is accompanied by far too many walks, so Johnson will have plenty to work on over the winter. C Paul McIntosh and OF Griffin Conine, AA This Week’s Stats: McIntosh- 7/20, 1 HR, 1 2B, 7 R, 3/3 K/BB Conine- 4-18, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 9/8 K/BB With only one week left in the regular season for the Blue Wahoos, this seemed like a great opportunity to highlight two players that have had a big part in the success of Pensacola this year. After winning the Southern League South Division in the first half of the season, the Blue Wahoos are guaranteed a postseason spot. The Double-A playoffs will begin next Tuesday, with McIntosh and Conine in the middle of a lineup that they have helped carry this season. There was not a hotter hitter in the Marlins system to begin the year as Paul McIntosh. He hit .316/.435/.544 in April, furthering the disbelief that McIntosh went undrafted out of West Virginia a year prior. He crushed Jupiter pitching in his professional debut in 2021 and was clearly in need of a bigger challenge. Skipping High-A ended up being the right choice for the big catcher, as he is wrapping up a great full season in Pensacola. With his home run this past week, McIntosh passed the Pensacola record for RBI by a catcher in a single season. His quick bat has served him well all season, whether it be launching homers or smacking balls into the opposite field gap. McIntosh has made contact at an above average rate, while displaying a batting eye nearly as good as Conine’s. The result is a 126 wRC+ for the season. While there remains doubts about McIntosh’s long-term future behind the plate, his bat continues to speak for itself. Similarly, Griffin Conine’s power speaks for itself. Like McIntosh, Conine broke a Pensacola record this season. With two homers this past week, he passed the Pensacola single season home run mark. Over 154 games in Pensacola over the past two seasons, Conine has smashed thirty-seven home runs. The ease in which he drives balls to the opposite field makes be bullish on Conine’s potential to eventually contribute in the big leagues, despite the continued strikeout issues. On a brighter note, after a miserable August, Conine has had a much better month of September. His strikeouts are down, and his overall batting line is much improved. It will take baby steps, but if Conine can get the strikeout rate around 30%, he has the power and plate discipline to be a quality hitter at any level. Next Up (9/13-9/18): AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp at NashvilleAA Pensacola Blue Wahoos vs Biloxi
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  8. M.D. Johnson (Photo by MiLB.com)As minor league players develop and grow with the game both personally and professionally, they don’t all always follow the same traditional beaten path. In fact, some players find themselves nowhere near it. The perfect example: Beloit Sky Carp righty M.D. Johnson. Traversing the regular route began early for the Texas native. For all four years of high school, Johnson was among the 3.4% of American children who are homeschooled. While it is not wildly uncommon for homeschooled students to be allowed to join their local public school teams in most states, M.D.’s case was even more distinctive. “The local high school where I’m from in Red Oak is like a 2A school, and the homeschool team is would’ve been like a high 2A maybe 3A school," Johnson said. "My dad was able to convince the coach of the homeschool team to play in 6A tournaments." After lettering in three of his prep seasons and helping his team to a National Championship at the Homeschool World Series in 2015, Johnson was recruited by Dallas Baptist. A durable starter in all four seasons, Johnson really broke out in his senior year in 2019, going 10-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 110/29 K/BB to earn his draft capital. Johnson attributes his impressive senior season to a positive change in leadership and team culture. “My senior year we got a brand new pitching coach, Josh Hopper. He’s now one of the pitching coordinators for the Pittsburgh Pirates,” Johnson said. “He came in and really changed what the program was doing my first three years and really held us accountable for everything we were doing as seniors all the way down to the freshman and really just challenged us day in, day out to get better at one thing.” “It’s this thing that we have at Dallas Baptist: we’re getting better 1% every day,” Johnson said. “Having that mentality going in to practices, to games, getting 1% better is what we strived to achieve every day.” Late in the second day of the 2019 MLB Draft, Johnson received his phone call from DJ Svihlik. After throwing 19 relief innings for Batavia that the missed 2020 season struck. Then, Johnson moved up to A in 2021. With the Jupiter Hammerheads, he posted a 3.19 ERA via a 1.39 WHIP in 42.1 IP. While his control and command was very spotty start to start and at times even inning to inning, Johnson was still able to induce ground ball outs to effectively get out of jams; jams that were most often set up by his 20% walk rate. A midseason call up to Beloit was met with an improvement in Johnson’s control numbers. In 59.1 IP with the Snappers, his walk rate fell to 11%, which was at the time, a career low at the highest level he’d ever pitched at and in his most extensive slate of innings at any single level. “My first full season was interesting. It had its up, had its downs. Everyone knows I had my control issues last year which is not something I’d ever really experienced that drastic before, but I missed a year and something was different when I came back,” Johnson said. “Spending time in Jupiter I met a lot of really great people down there. Our manager Jorge Hernandez is the manager up here so I spent half the season with him and then the staff up here I spent half the season with them as well.” This season, Johnson returned to familiar digs and surroundings in A+. There, he has been one of the most productive pitchers in the Marlins organization and a leader in the Beloit clubhouse. With one start remaining, The Doctor’s ERA sits at 3.17 and his FIP sits at 3.45. His walk rate has fallen from 14.9%, second highest in the Marlins organization a year ago, to 6.1%, the eighth lowest mark posted in a Miami affiliated uniform among pitchers with at least 50 IP. According to Johnson, his positive development was largely made possible due to his support system. “I had worked the COVID year going into spring training, so I didn’t do as much baseball stuff. This past year, I was just like, you know what, I gotta figure something out. So I really didn’t pick up a job or anything in the offseason,” Johnson said. “My wife really picked up the slack and I gotta give all the credit to her for letting me go out there and just do baseball and that’s the only thing I had to focus on.” Not only has M.D.’s partner, Ruth and their puppy Maggie Jo been alongside him during his offseason work, they have been together every step of the way since last season. The trio spends their time together in a camper, currently in nearby Illinois, a living situation they came by out of necessity but one they would not trade for any other alternative. “Due to the COVID situation, they told us, “Hey we know you’re married but she’s not in the bubble, so you can’t stay with your wife unless you have a house,”” Johnson said. “So, three days before I left for spring training 2021, I bought a truck. Two days before I left for spring training, I bought a camper, drove to Jupiter and the rest is history. We’ve been in it full time ever since.” On the field, Johnson has the benefit of a wide arsenal of pitches, anchored by his slider which sits in low-mid 80s and shows good depth from plane to plane. The slider, which Johnson, describes as more of souped-up cutter, has always been his bread and butter. “In college, 66% of the time I was throwing a slider. It’s my best pitch; I knew I could throw it in any count and land it,” Johnson said. “Same thing going into pro ball; my first couple years it was 50-60% sliders. Especially last year whenever I knew I couldn’t throw anything else, I always fell back to the slider.“ This year though, Johnson has been able to throw less sliders, giving him the ability to defy his scouting reports. “This year, with all of the extra command that I’ve gotten back, it’s fallen to about 40-45% or less at times. My last outing, I think I threw 13 of them and it was the season low by about 13,” Johnson said. “It’s the pitch I do lean on the most, I tunnel it really well off my fastball and it’s meant a lot to have that in my back pocket to go along with the other three pitches I have.” On top of his regained command and control, another reason Johnson has become the best version of himself has been his newest pitch, a changeup. “I never threw one in high school, didn’t need it. Didn’t throw one in college, didn’t really need it. I got to pro ball and I needed it,” Johnson said. “I really didn’t have one in spring training of 2020 and then with the shutdown, I went home and pretty much created a changeup.” Johnson’s changeup grip aptly matches his background and personality profile. “I would be comfortable saying there’s not a lot of people who hold it the way that I do. I throw a straight Vulcan so I literally wedge it between (my middle and ring fingers),” Johnson said. “In 2019 in Batavia, I was throwing it like 88-91 and I couldn’t control where it was going because it was straight in the ground. It was the only way I could take enough spin off of it to kill velocity and create movement while maintaining it in the strike zone.” Polishing off an impressive pitch mix, Johnson, 25, sits on the verge of his promotion to the upper minors next season. When the call comes, M.D. plans to continue to stay true to himself and his abilities to garner even more consistency on his way to the big leagues. “I’m gonna try to do what I’ve been doing now which is pound the strike zone, mix my pitches and get weak contact and as many fly balls as I possibly can,” Johnson said. “I’m not going in there trying to punch guys out. I’m going in there trying to get the guy out on 3-4 pitches max and just move on.” In having the mindset and ability to throw less pitches, this year, Johnson has set another main objective for himself every time he toes the rubber. “I’m trying to throw seven innings every single outing. That’s something that I’ve never really tried to do but it’s something this year that I’ve implemented that, hey, we’re not trying to strike guys out on 0-0 counts,” Johnson said. “I don’t need to throw this pitch to strike a guy out with one strike. It’s let’s make a quality pitch here, I’m gonna beat a guy to a spot, make them get themselves out and pitch deeper into ballgames.” At 6’5”, Johnson has the size, repeatability, stuff, command, and levelheaded mindset to become a very solid mid-back end rotation piece. His one-of-kind and literal road to the show will continue next season when he and his wife drive first to Jupiter then presumably to Pensacola.
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  10. The theme to this part of the season is the challenge that comes with promotions. Four of the five players in this week’s Roundup were recently promoted, and embraced the challenge with a great performance, while the fifth put together a start that should earn him a callup back to the Majors in short order. _ SS Nasim Nunez, AA This Week’s Stats: 10-22, 3 2B, 4 R, 4 SB, 3/1 K/BB Few players in the Marlins system have had their stock rise as much as Nasim Nunez’s has this season. The Marlins have several of their top position player prospects at shortstop, so Nunez was getting a bit lost in the mix. Moreover, he was playing at the lower levels, with Jose Salas and Khalil Watson hot on his tail. Nunez has responded to that pressure with a promising season that has cemented some of his tools as truly elite. It is impossible to open a discussion about Nunez without noting his speed. Over three seasons of minor league action, Nunez has 121 stolen bases over 210 games. He has only been caught stealing twenty five times; that success rate of 83% is certainly worth the risk of taking an extra base. Since being promoted to Pensacola, Nunez is still above 80% (11 SB/ 2 CS). Continuing that rate, with that level of frequency, as Nunez advances levels is boosting his stock considerably. For fans of 1980’s baseball, Nunez has some of the most exciting tools of any minor leaguer. He can steal bases, and Nunez also plays exceptional defense. He will be a shortstop long-term. But, can he hit? That is the question that will decide Nasim Nunez’s future. It will be the difference between a utility infielder and an everyday player with surprising value. Nunez started slow after being promoted to Pensacola, but has really come on in the past few weeks. Nunez finished this week with ten hits, while stealing four bases as well. His plate discipline remains impressive, and his contact rate has gone up while with the Blue Wahoos. Getting the ball in play is vital; Nunez has the speed to post BABIP’s well over .300, as he is right now. LHP Josh Simpson, AAA This Week’s Stats: 3.0 IP, 1 R, 0 H, 7/3 K/BB In a season that has seen some incredibly promising relief work out of Marlins minor leaguers, Josh Simpson has arguably been the most electric of them all. After earning a callup to Jacksonville a few weeks ago, Simpson has continued to show a unique ability to generate swings and misses. He has faced nineteen batters in that time; eight of them (42.1%) have struck out. Of more concern, however, is that Simpson has also walked four batters out of those nineteen. Two others have been hit by pitches. Control has been an issue for the lefty all season, as he has posted a career worst walk rate. A double digit walk rate is not untenable for a relief pitcher, but Simpson needs to reign it in to keep his ERA low. Walks aside, Simpson remains filthy on the mound. Along with that career work walk rate comes a career best strikeout rate. Against Bowie this week, he showed just how effective his curveball is. In the encounter against Gunnar Henderson, shown in the video above, Simpson threw three consecutive breaking balls in the zone, and Henderson still did not stand a chance. He is one of the best prospects in baseball, and slugging over .500 this season, yet Simpson is that filthy and deceptive. Lefties in particular cannot touch Simpson. In 22.1 innings against left handers this season, he has struck out thirty eight and limited them to a .143 batting average. LHP Trevor Rogers, AAA This Week’s Stats: 6.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 12/1 K/BB When Trevor Rogers is having success on the mound, his profile is not overly complicated. Rogers relies on a heavy fastball-changeup combo, with the occasional slider thrown in to keep hitters honest. He rode those three pitches to a superb rookie season that nearly culminated in National League Rookie of the Year honors. Rogers came into the season with high expectations after that impressive first act as a big leaguer. Unfortunately, just about everything that could go wrong this season has gone wrong for the big lefty. His command has not been nearly as sharp, while the release points on his fastball and changeup have not been consistent. These mechanical issues are fixable, however, and there should be trust in the Marlins pitching development system to improve upon that. Neither the fastball or changeup have been commanded as well as last season, but the fastball has been hit the hardest. After being the most effective pitch Rogers threw last season (based on Fangraphs pitch values), it has been his worst pitch in 2022. However, when it comes to Rogers, the fastball and changeup go hand in hand. While the velocity on the two pitches has been close to what we saw last year, both pitches must be commanded well to work off of each other. Against Bowie this past week, Rogers showed much more promise when it comes to that two-pitch combo. His fastball was consistently at the top of the zone. Rogers struck out twelve batters in six innings, with nine of those being finished with a strikeout. Those pitches consistently came at the top of the zone, allowing Rogers to throw that changeup at the bottom of the zone to throw off hitters. Most swings and misses in the big leagues come as a result of location, not timing. By showing hitters different looks, Rogers looks far more prepared to get his next start in the big leagues. 1B Zach Zubia, A+ This Week’s Stats: 4-21, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 4/4 K/BB As most teams do in the weeks following the amateur draft, as the second half drifts onward, the Marlins have been promoting players rapidly over the past few weeks. One of the players to earn a trip to another level was Zach Zubia. He truly did earn the call-up; Zubia slashed .232/.404/.380 at Jupiter, good enough for a 135 wRC+. His 21.5% walk rate at that level was eleventh best of all Single-A hitters with at least one hundred plate appearances. Zubia came out of Texas as a hitter with an impressive college track record. While lacking a clear defensive home, Zubia put up impressive strikeout-to-walk rates while hitting for power. This season, his power has slowly creeped back to the levels that draft experts expected him to show. Since the promotion to Beloit, Zubia has hit four homers; Zubia now has eleven for the season between the two levels. His first home run for Beloit came a few weeks ago. The 460 foot bomb showed the prolific ability that Zubia has to slug if he can make consistent contact and stays aggressive. He added two more homers to the ledger this week, including a walk off bomb on Thursday to break a 1-1 tie. Zubia certainly possesses a bit of an upper cut swing that is too long, but his patient approach and raw power make for a solid offensive floor. So far, the move to Beloit has not proved to be too challenging for the tall first baseman. RHP Marcus Johnson, A This Week’s Stats: 4.0 IP, 2 R, 2 H, 8/2 K/BB After taking two pitchers out of high school with plus-fastballs, the Marlins selected a much different profile in Marcus Johnson. The tall righthander stands 6'6 and comes with a plus slider that has a ton of movement. The pitch helped Johnson become one of the best relief pitchers in college baseball in 2021, as he helped Duke win the ACC Championship. Hoping to get more out of the righty, Duke moved Johnson into the rotation last season. The results were mixed, but Johnson possesses a three-pitch repertoire that could work in the future as a starter. Johnson's control was adequate last season as a starter, with a walk rate just below 8%. However, scouts noted the lack of command he shows. His large frame does not make locating the fastball easy, and it is a pitch with a ton of downward movement. This makes it hittable, especially since Johnson sits more in the low-nineties. So, while Johnson is able to get his pitches near the zone, he is not executing them well within that area. Johnson has already walked six in eight minor league innings, so he will definitely have to clean that area of his game up. Johnson is a quality athlete, which should help him develop better control moving forward. Cleaning up his delivery will also be easier as Johnson matures. Johnson posted a 5.61 ERA last season for Duke, but the Marlins can help him make some adjustments that will help him reach his full potential. Most importantly, Johnson already possesses a decent changeup, which the Marlins are sure to utilize more frequently. His slider was his most effective pitch in his debut for Jupiter. The pitch has a quick drop, and is especially effective against left handed hitters as it bears in on them. With eight strikeouts in his Jupiter debut, Johnson showed just how promising his entire repertoire is. Next Up (8/30-9/4) Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp at GwinnettPensacola Blue Wahoos at ChattanoogaBeloit Sky Carp vs Quad CitiesJupiter Hammerheads at St Lucie
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  12. The Roundup returns this week, with an interesting balance of prospects. Two journey men, organizational arms put up great starts and pitched deep into games. On the other hand, two of the highest ceiling prospects in the system had big weeks and are deserving of a feature. Finally, MD Johnson puts up yet another start worthy of recognition. - LHP Josh Rogers, AAA This Week's Stats: 7.0 IP, 1 R, 6 H, 7/0 K/BB In a fairly under the radar move, the Marlins signed Josh Rogers to a minor league contract a few weeks ago. Miami has seen Rogers a bit recently, as he has thrown sixty-one innings over the past two seasons with the Washington Nationals. Rogers has struggled in the big leagues, but the Marlins pitching development system must have seen something in the left hander to make it worth taking a flier on him. The twenty-eight year old was drafted in 2015 by the New York Yankees, and had immediate success at the lower levels of the minor leagues. Rogers came out of Louisville, a program that the Marlins have drafted several players from. While pitching in High-A for the Yankees in 2016, he registered a 2.53 ERA over 113 innings pitched. Rogers continued to pitch well in the Yankees system, although he did not gain much traction as a prospect. Rogers has long posted low walk rates, but without the high strikeout rates to match it. Instead, New York used him as trade bait; Rogers was included in the deal that brought Zach Britton from Baltimore to New York. Rogers did not pitch well in the Orioles system though, with an elbow injury complicating the matter. He eventually caught on with the Nationals, and has now thrown his fair share of big league innings. Rogers has mainly pitched in a relief/swing role in the big leagues, but his background is as a starting pitcher. Rogers throws a bit of a kitchen sink at hitters, with a fastball, two-seamer, slider, and changeup. None of them get many swings and misses, but Rogers mixes it up well. He commands his fastball well, which makes it his most consistently effective pitch. In his dominant start against Nashville last week, he was locating it particularly well. However, Rogers also got his share of strikeouts, with his slider being particularly effective. Added pitching depth is never a bad thing, and Josh Rogers is showing that he could be a worthwhile addition. RHP MD Johnson, A+ This Week's Stats: 6.0 IP, 1 R, 2 H, 8/1 K/BB MD Johnson has definitively put up one of the best pitching performances in the entirety of the Marlins organization this season. He averages nearly six innings per start, a decent figure at any level of baseball nowadays. His 112 strikeouts far outpace the 71 hits and 23 walks surrendered over 97 innings. Since last season, when Johnson showed how effective he could be at Beloit, Johnson has only managed to increase his strikeout rate by over four percent and decrease his walk rate by five percent. His ERA even slipped below 3.00 this past week with a dominant performance at South Bend. Johnson has led a Beloit team that has crept up the standings after a slow start to the season. When looking at the entirety of the season, they are now a game below .500 (due to a five game losing streak this past week). Still, Johnson and a promising starting rotation have led Beloit back to respectability. They currently place second in the Midwest League’s Southern Division. When watching Johnson pitch, I continue to expect him to produce more groundballs. He has a high release point, and most right handers his size are naturally moving at a very downward angle. However, Johnson has a bit of a twitch in his delivery that results in a lower release than expected. The result is a high spin fastball that works well in the zone, and leads to a plethora of strikeouts. Johnson’s breaking pitches also get swings and misses, but the fastball seems to be the pitch he has the most comfort with. It remains a bit surprising that Johnson has not yet been promoted to Pensacola, but the Marlins seem to be content leaving him pitching dominantly at Beloit. A new challenge is probably needed soon. 3B Jacob Berry, A This Week's Stats: 6-21, 1 HR, 2 2B, 6/4 K/BB Marlins fans have seemed to be justifiably anxious about the progress of Jacob Berry. Taken in the first round of last month’s amateur draft, Berry faces high expectations immediately as a college bat playing in the lower levels of the minor leagues. The nature of this season, with the major league team struggling to live up to expectations, has only compounded the pressure on the young third baseman to perform immediately. Moreover, the relatively quiet trade deadline put additional pressure on Kim Ng’s front office to deliver immediately. All of this has put an unfair strain on Jacob Berry to be a positive in the ledger of Ng. Berry does not grade well as a defender, which furthers the need for his bat to play in a big way. There is a general belief that the Marlins could try the LSU product at multiple positions, including first base and the corner outfield, but so far Berry has just played at the hot corner for the Hammerheads. Clubs have their own internal information about minor league defensive performances and there is a lack of data available to the public right now. With the limited information that is available, it is known that Berry has three errors in eleven games, which seems to be less than promising. Berry got off to a particularly slow start at Jupiter; he was 7-39 (.179) until a 3-4 performance last Sunday. Since then, however, there have been some far more positive signs. Berry has shown a bit more patience at the plate, after displaying an overly aggressive approach in his first few professional weeks. This could probably be explained away by Berry simply pressing, although he did not post insanely high walk rates in college. Berry has continued his trend from last season at LSU of posting elite contact rates, striking out only 13% of the time at Jupiter. Scouts did express concerns about Berry’s lack of elite exit velocities in college, which did concern me when evaluating him as a draft prospect. Considering Berry’s advanced age, he needs to start displaying better contact quality consistently. This past week, Berry hit his first amateur home run and added a few extra base hits as well. That is a good sign and should be monitored going forward; Berry’s status as a potentially top-tier prospect depends on him showing an elite ability to hit at the lower levels quickly. SS Jordan Groshans, AAA This Week's Stats: 9-19, 1 HR, 1 2B, 2/4 K/BB We will use this week as an exciting opportunity to showcase the newest top prospect in the Marlins system. Most prospect rankings seem to have Groshans ranked around tenth in his new team’s organization. Drafted 12th overall in the 2018 draft, Groshans was regarded as one of the players with the highest potential in that draft. He came out of high school, in Texas, but scouts thought he had a potentially plus hit tool and glove. The results in the minor leagues have been a bit rocky, but keep in mind that Groshans is still just twenty-two years old. I was more fond of the trade made at the deadline that brought Groshans to Miami than most seemed to be. Anthony Bass was having an excellent season, while Zach Pop had pitched surprisingly well. However, relief pitching is notably volatile. Pop is under control for a long time, but does not get many swings and misses. Bass has a club option for next season, but also is nearly thirty-five years old. Ultimately, to get a prospect with the ceiling of Groshans is well worth that price. Since joining the Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp, Groshans has walked more than he has struck out. His minor league strikeout rates have stayed fairly low, showing that he still should be projected for a plus hit tool. The question remains whether Groshans can hit for enough power to carry an average big league bat. Hitting his first home run in the Marlins organization last week, Groshans showed a quick bat that can get to balls up in the zone. He will need to try and lift the ball off the ground more, but a line drive approach should result in some homers. Groshans is slugging .500 in sixty two appearances since the trade; continuing that extra base power into the future will determine if Groshans is a future utility player or a high level starter. RHP AJ Ladwig, AA This Week's Stats: 7.0 IP, 1 R, 7 H, 4/0 K/BB AJ Ladwig has had the sort of chaotic year that everyone should sympathize with. He started the season in the Detroit Tigers organization. He had been with the team since being drafted in 2014 out of Wichita State. The twenty-nine year old was released shortly after the start of the season. The right hander served as useful organizational depth, but had struggled when pitching above the Double-A level. The Marlins signed Ladwig in May, and he has been brilliant at Pensacola since then. Ladwig has always had elite control, but he has been at another level with the Blue Wahoos this year. Over 72 innings pitched, Ladwig has walked just four batters; that has translated to a miniscule 1.3% walk rate. The Marlins saw that, and called him up to pitch as relief depth last week. Against Atlanta, he showed that nerves would not impact him in his big league debut. While Ladwig gave up four runs over 3.1 innings, he was consistently around the strike zone and did not walk anyone. Unfortunately, Ladwig was rewarded for eating innings by being designed for assignment. Back with Pensacola this week, Ladwig showed that he has not missed a beat. Over seven innings against Mississippi, Ladwig did not walk any hitters, struck out four, and allowed just one run. The right hander has a fastball that sits in the low-nineties, and has the classic groundball pitcher approach. He rotates between fastball-slider-changeup well, which is a repertoire straight out of the 90s. Ladwig has done a great job this season of limiting walks and getting ground balls. While that profile probably translates to just organizational depth, Ladwig can at least be depended on to eat innings because he does not beat himself. Next Up (8/23-8/28) AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs NorfolkAA Pensacola Blue Wahoos vs MontgomeryA+ Beloit Sky Carp vs PeoriaA Jupiter Hammerheads vs Daytona
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  14. Eury Perez (Photo by Pensacola Blue Wahoos)The injury bug that has been sweeping through the Marlins big league clubhouse since early late in the first half, costing players such as Jazz Chisholm Jr, Brian Anderson, Jon Berti, Max Meyer, Trevor Rogers and others playing time has made its way to the minor leagues. The latest squad to get bitten badly: the Pensacola Blue Wahoos. Over the course of the last week, the Wahoos have placed several of their players on the IL. Among them is the enigmatic Eury Perez. Perez, 19, joined the Marlins in 2019, signing out of the DR for $200,000. In under two seasons, he has risen to the rank of Marlins top prospect and according to many outlets including BaseballAmerica, the top pitching prospect in all of baseball. Playing against guys nearly six years older than him on average, Perez was holding down a 3.52 ERA, a 2.94 FIP, via a 29.1 K/BB%, 1.05 WHIP and semi-hard-luck .321 BABIP before he uncharacteristically struggled this past Monday night. Missing both his command and his velocity, Perez allowed six earned runs on two homers and four walks. It marked the first time in his young career that Perez had allowed more than five earned runs. Last season, Perez was placed on a strict 80 innings limit. He would wind up throwing 78. This season, that limit was boosted slightly up to 110. Usually, that would equate with around 75 pitches per start, but Perez isn’t the usual pitcher. Perez’s dominance has allowed the Marlins to push his pitch limit up near the 90 mark. He’s been as high as 87 this season. The latest on Perez is about as encouraging as it can be: he is experiencing simple arm fatigue and nothing further has been discovered in testing. So far, Eury has thrown 73 innings this year. While no specific timetable has been set, there is room for him to return and pitch again this season for the playoff-bound Wahoos, potentially after a few rehab outings with Jupiter. Perez remains on track to attend spring training with the Marlins in 2023 before assignment, likely to AAA, in the days surrounding his 20th birthday. IF Troy Johnston, who was placed on the IL on August 7th, is in concussion protocol as a precaution. Johnston is expected to return to Pensacola’s active roster when initially eligible early next week. Johnston has been one of Pensacola’s most consistent bats, hitting .292/.360/.450 over 85 games. C Paul McIntosh is dealing with a minor injury after his latest of many rough battles behind the plate this year. He is getting a week to breathe and recoup but is expected to rejoin the Wahoos when eligible this weekend. McIntosh, who signed as a UDFA, has been a diamond in the rough find for the Marlins. He’s hitting .252/.375/.453 this season in his first AA showing. IF Cody Morissette who broke bone in his foot suffered on July 3rd, the result of a foul ball, has shedded his crutches and walking boot. He has been at the Marlins’ facility in Jupiter since July 10th and will begin a rehab assignment with the FCL team today. IF Jorge Caballero is dealing with a groin issue. Caballero, who has had a very disjointed career due to his health, was hitting well with Jupiter before this most recent injury. He was a .297/.361/.397 hitter in July for the Hammerheads. OF Osiris Johnson is on the IL with a wrist injury he suffered on a hit by pitch. Per reports, Johnson was dealing with some general soreness before the HBP on July 23rd. Johnson, who learned how to play OF in the GCL in 2021, had played just five games with the Sky Carp before going down. His best tool, explosive bat speed, has been inhibited by recent events. He is at the Marlins’ facility in Jupiter.
  15. In the first full week since the All-Star break, several Marlins pitching prospects showed continued development. For a few of these young players, that means progressing from injuries and working their way back to the big leagues. OF Victor Mesa Jr, A+ This Week's Stats: 8-23, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1 3B, 3 SB Victor Mesa Jr. has quietly had a solid season this year at Beloit. Perhaps due to his brother's status as a likely prospect bust, Mesa Jr. has never gotten much praise in his own right. Undeniably, he does not have the talent to place too high on prospect lists. However, Mesa also does not have many holes in his game despite lacking any exceptional individual traits. For instance, Mesa has struck out in a reasonable 18% of his plate appearances this season, while walking in 10% of them. That is a solid, low strikeout rate, but not low enough for his hit tool to be considered elite. Go up and down Mesa's skillset and much of the same will be true. He has shown some raw power, but struggles to get to it in games and does not have a large frame. He is a decent athlete, but not likely to be a major base stealer or anything more than an average center fielder. Still, to have more of a glass half full approach, it is important to remember that average is valuable in the big leagues. If Mesa continues to do all of these things fairly well, he could develop into a useful player. Mesa Jr. is still just twenty years old, so there is time for the young outfielder. He has improved as the year has gone on, which is a good sign for his future. July was Mesa's highest month by slugging percentage this season. In-game power remains Mesa's most obvious crux, so continuing to grow on that will be vital. The lefty has a long, but smooth, swing that should result in line drives. The next month or so will be fascinating, and should determine whether Mesa starts next year in Pensacola. RHP Edward Cabrera, AAA This Week's Stats: 5.0 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 7/0 K/BB Edward Cabrera has made starts at four different levels this season, in what has been a frustrating, up-and-down campaign. Battling through an injury to start the season was the initial delay, and that was followed up by a June trip to the IL with right elbow tendinitis. Cabrera has been unlucky on the injury front, but when on the mound he has continued to show why he has been so highly regarded as a prospect. In 38.2 minor league innings this year, Cabrera has struck out 36% of opposing hitters while allowing only two homeruns. After seeing Cabrera struggle with control issues in his major league cup of coffee last season, it felt like the tall righty was starting to turn the corner in his second stint with the Marlins. While his walk rate was still far too high for a starter, Cabrera had decent command of his changeup and fastball in his three starts in June. Against Colorado, specifically, Cabrera's repertoire was so filthy that it did not matter where he threw the ball as Rockies hitters would still be flailing after it. Nothing shows the potential of Cabrera more than that; when on, his changeup and slider are major swing and miss pitches, because hitters also have to keep the upper-nineties velocity in the back of their minds. Pitching against Gwinnett last Thursday, Cabrera showcased how he can look when everything is going right. He walked nobody over five shutout innings, while striking out seven batters. Seeing Cabrera develop that level of comfort with his arsenal is immensely important. Over eleven innings in the minors since returning from the injury, Cabrera has walked just one batter. Perhaps the elbow issues were preventing him from commanding the ball with ease, which would make sense considering it was an injury to his throwing arm. Either way, Edward Cabrera is showing how filthy he can be, and will be doing it soon again in Miami. RHP Gabe Bierman, A This Week's Stats: 7.0 IP, 1 R, 3 H, 8/1 K/BB Along with Luis Palacios, Gabe Bierman has been one of the most consistent and durable starting pitchers in the Jupiter rotation this season. The tall right hander has consistently put the Hammerheads in a good position to win, while also pitching fairly deep into ballgames (especially considering the level). For the first time this season, Bierman managed to throw seven complete innings when he pitched a gem against Daytona on Saturday. That superb outing capped off a more-than stellar month of July for Bierman. Opposing batters hit just .191/.273/.281 against him, while Bierman registered a 3:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio for the month. As Bierman has developed, he continues to show a plus fastball that can be used up in the zone. The pitch has clocked in the mid-nineties this season, and he seems to be comfortable sitting with it in the low-nineties. Bierman also features a slider and a curveball, both of which can flash plus at times but need to be fine tuned going forward. His other plus offering is the changeup, which combines with the fastball to get a lot of groundballs. For now, Bierman has earned a spot in the Jupiter rotation, and should be well on the way to an appearance in Beloit. Selected last year in the 7th Round out of Indiana University, Bierman has shown enough signs that the Marlins should keep seeing him as a starter. While many expect him to eventually be moved into a relief role, Bierman has displayed the ability to get outs as a starter and pitch deeper into games. The key going forward will be harnessing his control a bit, as he has a walk rate above 10% at the moment. On the bright side, Bierman has showed excellent command in certain starts this season and does seem to have a good feel for his fastball/changeup combo. SS Jose Devers, AA This Week's Stats: 8-21, 4 2B, 4 RBI, 4/1 K/BB One of my favorite player archetypes is the slick fielding, light hitting middle infielder. Straight out of that 1980's, National League style game that featured so many of those sorts of players is Jose Devers. Following a lengthy struggle with injuries to start this season, Devers has struggled too much at the plate in Pensacola. While he made his major league debut last season, Devers will have to hit more if he wants to reach that level again anytime soon. Over the past few weeks, the middle infielder seems to be finding a bit more rhythm at the plate. Acquired via the Giancarlo Stanton trade with the Yankees prior to the 2018 season, Devers came with the reputation of a speedy, glove first player. His power has yet to develop in any substantial way; Devers has not hit a home run as a member of the Miami Marlins organization. It is with good reason that Fangraphs has a 20 FV on his in in-game power. While he has shown the ability to at least hit the ball hard, Devers is certainly limited to being more of a singles hitter. If he can play shortstop well, than that profile can be doable. Devers will need to cut his strikeout rate down a bit from it's current rate of 19%, and probably put the ball on the ground more. His .264 BABIP this season is likely somewhat due to bad luck, but he has also not hit enough grounders and line drives. Considering Devers' plus speed, beating out balls on the ground may be his best bet. Using all parts of the field more will also help. While this is atypical device for most young hitters nowadays, Devers' future will depend on him continuing to show a plus glove and hitting just enough. Over the past week, he did exactly that, while also showing some doubles power that could raise his ceiling eventually. RHP Eli Villalobos, AA This Week's Stats: 4.0 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 5/0 K/BB Another week, and another Pensacola Blue Wahoos relief pitcher worth highlighting. After a bit of a rough start to July, Eli Villalobos put together his best week of the month and thoroughly dominated opposing hitters. The former 14th round pick in 2018 out of Long Beach State has really settled into a relief role over the past few seasons after Miami initially tried to use him as a starter in 2019. Like most other relief pitchers in the system, the Marlins have been aggressive in their using Villalobos for more than one inning this season. Villalobos averages about four-five outs per appearance, while still maintaining a high strikeout rate. Villalobos has a fastball that sits in the mid-nineties, while featuring a wipeout curveball for swings and misses. This combination locks him into a relief role going forward, although Villalobos also features a changeup that can be useful against lefties. His relative lack of control would also seem to indicate that he is set as a reliever. However, Villalobos has improved upon his walk rate as the season has gone on. While it stands above 10% at the moment, since June 1st he has walked just 7% of batters after struggling at the start of the year. The most intriguing part of Villalobos' profile remains his revere splits. Lefties have hit just .153/.229/.245 against the lengthy right hander, which is considerably worse than same-sided batters have fared against him. The off speed pitches have clearly proven vital in these situations, as well as a little bit of deception in his delivery. Either way, this sort of unique trait could carry Villalobos far, as hitter will not be used to this sort of profile. Next Up (8/2-8/7) AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs MemphisAA Pensacola Blue Wahoos at MontgomeryA+ Beloit Sky Carp at Cedar RapidsA Jupiter Hammerheads at Palm Beach
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  17. Royce Lewis (Photo by Jeff Chiu, AP)Six days away from the MLB trade deadline, the Miami Marlins find themselves in a damning position. The current scope of things: Their franchise player is on the 60-day IL.Their two top and closest to MLB ready pitching prospects are injured.Their third starter and breakout star last year is struggling and is possibly on the verge of a trip to AAA.What has become a power-first offense is hitting .238/.293/.364 since June 1st.The team has glaring holes at shortstop and in center field. Kim Ng and the Marlins need to be honest with themselves: are they ready to compete in 2022 or should they begin planning for 2023 and beyond? It is clear and evident: minus the acquisition of Joey Wendle, Miami’s offseason has produced very negative results, so much so that the Fish faithful are begging for a way out of some of those contracts and to part ways with some of the team’s veteran players. These deals and retentions at many points have delayed the arrival of younger intriguing in-house options. If Jon Heyman’s latest report is any indication, the club has realized their blueprint for 2022 hasn’t worked and will work to rectify it for both the short and long term future. Highlighted by Pablo Lopez but not ending with him, the Marlins have multiple assets on their big league roster and a ton of near-MLB ready pieces in the minors that will be intriguing to competitive teams. But who and what should Miami be targeting? Here are our five top options. — SS/CF Royce Lewis, MIN The Marlins desperately need a shortstop and a center fielder. With Lewis, the Marlins would be able to take their pick regarding which position to place him at. A first overall high school pick in 2017, Lewis just turned 23. Unfortunately, he spent it off the field with a repeat injury to his left knee. Lewis, injured the same ligament he just partially tore again in February of 2021 and opted for a second surgery. While his health is a concern, his skill set and athleticism stand out even more. A .270/.339/.422 career MiLB bat over four seasons, Lewis was hitting .300 with four doubles and two homers in his first 40 MLB ABs, Lewis went down on May 29th while making an all-out hustle play and a fantastic catch against the wall in center field. Still far and away the Twins’ top prospect and a top 10 shortstop prospect in baseball, Lewis will be ready to return in 2023. He owned a very complicated set up and approach before his first ACL injury, but worked to simplify it to take stress off his knee. It worked wonders and allowed Lewis to begin to tap into more of his plus plus raw power. When drafted, Lewis owned ridiculous speed, over 70 grade. While it remains to be seen how he comes back in that regard, he still has the athleticism, instincts and arm to handle either of his defensive positions. Lewis isn’t a right now guy but he is very soon guy that can fill both of Miami’s positions of need and launch them much further into contention next season. When healthy, he is a freak athlete with the potential for all five tools. The epitome of a blue chip prospect, Lewis should be the name *the* Marlins bring up if the Twins, who are in need of pitching and which the Marlins have a surplus of, come calling. SS Oswald Peraza, NYY Anthony Volpe may be the more spoken name, but the Yankees and the farm system they’ve worked hard to revamp over the course of the past handful of years have another intriguing middle infielder. That name is Oswald Peraza, an international signing from 2017. Peraza, who just turned 23, has performed at every level of MiLB he’s spent time at despite being vaulted through New York’s system. A .275/.348/.411 career hitter, Peraza has made it up to AAA in his fifth year pro. After spending two years in rookie ball and 2019 in A ball, Peraza visited three levels in 2021, including a cup of coffee in AAA. This year with Scranton-Wilkes Barre, he is slashing .258/.329/.446 with 13 homers and 24 steals. At the plate, Peraza exhibits good vision and has shown an increased ability to create launch, shrink his ground ball rate and come by more power. On the bases, he shows 60+ grade speed. On top of an already plus offensive skill set that he is still working to polish off by way of laying off pitcher’s pitches and waiting for better quality stuff he can do his most with, Peraza shows perhaps even better tools in the field. There is no question Peraza, who exhibits superb vision, readability and first-step instincts, will stick as a potentially double plus defender at short at the next level. Also in need of pitching, New York probably has Miami on speed dial. Peraza should be inquired about in any deal. CF/RF Andy Pages, LAD If the Marlins are going to turn the page, why not do it with Pages? A 22 year old signed by Los Angeles in 2017 out of Cuba, Pages has put up impressive on base and power numbers as he’s climbed through the Dodgers’ system including last season when he skipped past the A level and hit .265/.394/.539 with 31 home runs which led the high A central. He also led the high A central in wRC+ at 152 ahead of second place finisher Troy Johnston (139). A $300,000 signing, Pages has always exhibited a power-first offensive game but also has recently garnered the ability to read and wait for his pitch. Pages came by the improved discipline last season when his K rate dropped nearly four full points to 24% and his walk rate jumped up five percentage points to 14%. So far this season, his K% is down even further to 22% and his walk rate is a similar 11% while he has made the difficult jump up to AA. Pages has historically favored his pull side but this season, he has begun going to his opposite field a lot more often. So far in 2022, he is hitting balls out to right field at a career high rate of 32%. An aggressive hitter in any count when he gets pitches he likes, Pages crowds the plate and easily gets extended on pitches on the outer half. His positioning in the box has also boosted his OBP by way of 61 career hit by pitches including 11 already this season. Though his speed is just average, Pages gets good jumps from good reads in the outfield and owns a powerful throwing arm. He’s played more right field than center in the last two seasons, but he has the ability to make it stick up the middle as he polishes off his minor league career. A guy who is described as a natural born hitter and who has had his offensive skill set compared to Miguel Cabrera’s, Pages — a La Habana native — would be the perfect guy to bring to Little Havana for his big league debut as early as next season. The Dodgers have shown interest in Garrett Cooper and could make for a solid trade partner. SS Brayan Rocchio, CLE Y’all like guys with three 60+ grade tools? Rocchio is a Guardians international signing from 2017. He began his career at age 17. Yet to turn 22, he is one of the better all around hitters in the AA Eastern League this season. Repeating the level after injury in 2021 and still playing against guys three years older than him on average, Rocchio .270/.353/.443 with a 118 wRC+ and neutralized .299 BABIP. A switch hitter, Rocchio exhibits a repeatable, the first of his 60 grade assets, a hit tool that is equally effective from both sides of the plate. With simple smooth actions and quick hands, Rocchio looks for contact first and lets the rest of his tools go to work from there. When he catches a barrel, he usually catches a gap and can go to all fields. This season, as his body has filled out, he’s caught more fences finding them 11 times, already four away from tying his career high from last year. Last year, in his first full season, Rocchio was getting out in front of stuff particularly in his first showing at AA. However, this season, he’s shown an added propensity for staying back against his elders. It’s led to a 4% decrease in his K rate (which was already good). He strikes out at a minuscule 17.6%. On the bases, Rocchio shows off his second 60+ grade tool, his speed capable of making him a 25+ base stealer and giving him the ability to turn anything into a double. Rocchio has an offensive skill set built for the top of an MLB order. Rocchio is also a smooth defender with soft hands and the same quick wrists he uses at the plate. In addition to shortstop, he has also played second base and third base, giving him the positional flexibility the Marlins love. His arm is capable of handling any of those positions but he should have no issue sticking at his natural shortstop long term. Doing so much at such a young age despite the missed COVID year and injury, Rocchio is the name of another pure athlete that could have a regular home up the middle for Miami for a long time. Scouts have likened his ability to that of Francisco Lindor. The Guardians, another team in need of pitching as the second place team in the AL Central, match up well with the Marlins in a potential deal. CF Colson Montgomery, CWS Montgomery may be the furthest away prospect on this list, but his MLB arrival may be closer than you think. Another first overall pick, Montgomery is a high school shortstop who has gotten off to a flying start in his pro career. After a great first impression in which he hit .287/.396/.362 in the ACL, Montgomery made quick work of the A level this season, posting a 154 wRC+ in his first 45 games. Since then, he has gotten the call up to the A+ level where it has been much of the same song. So for the Winston-Salem Dash, Montgomery is slashing a robust .300/.424/.475. A unique lefty hitter righty thrower, Montgomery won’t turn 21 until next February. A lot like Rocchio, he is playing against guys 2.5 years older than him on average. But that hasn’t stopped him from posting a a wRC+ of near 150 in his first 21 showings against them. Montgomery is doing all of this despite spending a lot less time on the Diamond than your average prospect. Another guy who is has been endowed with the gift of pure athleticism, he also played basketball (as a walk on) and starting quarterback for his high school alma mater before committing to baseball full time in his senior year. He won state honors as Indiana’s 2020-21 Athlete of the Year. At the plate, Montgomery stays high in his 6’4” frame but has so far shown the plate discipline and selectiveness necessary to negate a larger strike zone. A pull heavy hitter coming out of high school, Montgomery begun to go to his opposite side in his initial pro showing in Arizona and that has permeated this season. At A he went oppo 32% of the time and so far in A+, he’s at a 41% clip. With 70 grade raw power and ceiling 50+ grade game power that he’s already begun to tap more into, Montgomery makes great swing decisions and consistent loud contact. Defensively, scouts differ on if a player of Montgomery’s size and stature will stick at shortstop for his entire career. However, Montgomery, who exhibits great lateral movement and a plus arm, appears to be well ahead of his projected arrival date. With continued success in A+ and a positive jump to AA next season, Montgomery could make himself eligible to contribute to a big league squad as early as late 2023 and could bridge the gap to prospects such as Jose Salas, Nasim Nunez and others.
  18. The big league Marlins limp into the break several games out of a playoff spot. However, there is exciting new talent about to enter the system following Sunday's amateur draft. Moreover, there are a few prospects worth highlighting this week, led by a few dominant relief pitchers and some talented hitters at the upper levels of the minors. LHP Luis Palacios, A This Week's Stats: 6.0 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 7/0 K/BB Luis Palacios has been one of the pitchers featured most on the weekly roundups this season, and for good reason. Every week, he seems to deliver a quality start that gives the Hammerheads a great chance to win the game. His success stems from one particularly noteworthy trait: exceptional command. In 88.2 innings pitched this season, Palacios has worked just five batters. That ridiculous statistic is augmented by the fact that he has thrown just two wild pitches, and has yet to hit a batter. Palacios knows where the ball is going, and is not afraid to challenge hitters. His 1.5 BB% is amongst the best figures for any pitcher at any level, which gives me hope that Palacios could eventually slot at the back end of a big league rotation. What gives me doubt that he ever reaches that level is the lack of big league velocity. Palacios is only twenty-two years old, but his fastball speed has gone up very little since signing with the Marlins back in 2016. If this is the highest velocity that his fastball will reach, than it is unlikely that Palacios will ever make it all the way to the Bigs. Sitting in the mid-to-high eighties, he is crafty enough to get hitters out at A-ball. Challenging hitters at the upper level will be another story, and it will be telling for the future of this lefty. Palacios still does get a relatively high amount of strikeouts due to a decent slider and a plus changeup. He has been a bit unlucky with a BABIP of .321, considering Palacios limits hard contact well as hitters struggle to barrel him up. Right handers have struggled against him even more than left handers, showing just how valuable that changeup can be. Palacios has pitched almost two full seasons at Jupiter, so I would be surprised if he is not promoted to Beloit shortly. It is time to see whether his exceptional command and deceptive delivery can lead to success at a higher level. LHP Jefry Yan, AA This Week's Stats: 3.2 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 9/1 K/BB The Pensacola Blue Wahoos have had some truly dominant relief pitchers come through their bullpen this season, yet Jefry Yan may have the nastiest stuff of all of them. His deceptive delivery makes a mid-nineties fastball look even faster, while his curveball has a sharp bite to it that often leaves hitters guessing. Yan's biggest problem remains that he often has just as little of a clue as to where the ball is going as the hitters do. In several minor league stops, Yan has yet to register a single digit walk rate at any point. That lack of control does not usually translate to a big league future, but Yan has the sort of stuff where it is hard not to dream. Initially signed by the Angels in 2013 out of the Dominican Republic, Yan was released after a few seasons in which he showed little ability to throw strikes. Yan also had issues with tipping pitches, resulting in few swings and misses. After getting hurt several times, Yan finally resurfaced with the Marlins last season a minor league deal. Since then, he has shown major improvements in harnessing his stuff to get swings and misses. Yet, the control problems remain. In brief stretches, such as this past week, Yan has shown an ability to put it all together. He walked just one hitter in thirteen plate appearances, while striking out nine. That ridiculous K-rate is a glimpse of what Yan could be if he can just throw strikes a little more often. Hitters have to fear that he can get the ball over the plate, otherwise they will not even try swinging against his nasty offerings. The first pitcher that comes to mind when watching Yan pitch out of the windup is Aroldis Chapman. The lengthy lefty has the same kind of presence on the mound, and it is almost impossible for left handed batters to see the pitch out of his hand. It is a worthwhile storyline for the rest of the season to see if Dave Eiland and the coaches at Pensacola can get Yan to limit the based on balls so we can see how dominant he truly can be. OF Jerar Encarnacion, AAA This Week's Stats: 9-24, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 5/3 K/BB Before the season, I noted that 2022 would be a pivotal season for Jerar Encarnacion. While he has all of the physical tools to be a plus hitter with bigtime power and a cannon in the outfield, Encarnacion had yet to put it all together in real games. He had shown some power, but his in-game power was still a distance apart from his raw power output. Moreover, a concerning amount of swings and misses emerged in his stint at Pensacola last season, making it essential that more power begin to show. Encarnacion also entered this season at twenty-four years old. While that is an age where there is still plenty of room for improvement and maturity, Encarnacion was getting to the point where he needed to start showing that he could truly hit. Within the first month or so of the season playing for the Blue Wahoos, it was clear that the switch had been flipped for Encarnacion. The big outfielder already has hit a career high seventeen homers between three levels, including the one in the majors in a huge victory over the first place Mets. While his performance in Jacksonville has not equaled the elite statistics in Pensacola, Encarnacion is starting to get comfortable at the Triple-A level as well. He smashed two homers this week, while also getting on base at a high rate. He has shown plus power at Jacksonville, which is the most important thing considering his ceiling as a big leaguer is as a corner outfielder with 30-40 home run pop. Through three months this season, I am far more confident that Encarnacion can reach that potential than I was a year ago. He has made more contact this season, gotten on base more, and maximized the quality of his contact far more often. RHP Tyler Mitzel, A+ This Week's Stats: 3.2 IP, 0 R, 1 H, 5/1 K/BB The Marlins have truly had a bevy of elite relief pitchers in the minor leagues this season, and Mitzel is a guy who has been deserving of a shoutout at many points this season. Mitzel went undrafted out of Augustana University in South Dakota in 2018, despite a fairly dominant season working as a starter and out of the bullpen occasionally. The Marlins took a chance on Mitzel as a bullpen arm at the lower levels, and he has consistently improved since then. Now twenty six years old, Mitzel is having his best professional season while pitching in Beloit. He has maintained a WHIP below 1.00, which can be fluky but is usually a good sign of very effective relief work. Most importantly, Mitzel has made hitters earn their way on base. He has walked only six batters over 42.1 innings pitched, while striking out fifty eight. His 3.5% walk rate would easily be a career best, as would his 34.1% strikeout rate. As is the case with many Marlins relievers this year, Mitzel has also consistently thrown multiple innings. As a former starter, this has proven to be an effective way to get a high amount of innings while maintaining his best stuff out of the bullpen. Having a bunch of guys who can perform in that swing-man role should prove beneficial for the big league team within the next year or so. Mitzel's repertoire, which is fastball-changeup heavy, also makes him more unique because he serves as a reverse-platoon pitcher. Lefties have batted just .139/.162/.215 against him this season, while striking out in about a third of their plate appearances. With a fastball that sits in the mid-nineties, Mitzel is an exciting prospect with the potential to throw some effective bulk relief innings. 3B Charles Leblanc, AAA This Week's Stats: 10-25, 2 HR, 2 2B, 11/1 K/BB As the major league season heads into the All-Star break, the Marlins will be stuck on an eight game span without hitting a home run. That drought, the third longest in team history, played a large part in the Marlins wasted homestand against Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. While many fans were optimistic about an improved offense this season, the additions that the Marlins made have not moved the needle far enough. Miami currently ranks 24th in the majors in runs scored, after finishing 29th in 2021. While their team wRC+ is up over ten points, they still possess a below average offense by just about any standard. Considering how solid the Marlins pitching has been this year, it is a shame that they have not scored enough runs to give support to their starters. While improvements from outside of the organization will be needed to seriously turn the offense around, it remains a bit of a mystery as to why the team has been so hesitant to promote and play some of their best Triple-A hitters. Charles Leblanc is the first hitter who comes to mind who would be deserving of a chance at the next level. He has consistently hit the ball well all season long, and has been featured many times in these weekly roundups as a result. This past week was nothing new from Leblanc. He hit several extra base knocks while getting on base consistently. Leblanc is slugging over .500 for the season, and has arguably been Jacksonville's best hitter. One potential area of concern for Leblanc is the swing and miss in his game, and if I had to guess it is probably what's preventing his promotion (along with not being on the 40-man roster). Leblanc has struck out 28.7% of the time this season, which is high but not to an unplayable extent. His power has more than made up for it, and the strikeouts may just be a manifestation of Leblanc maximizing his contact. More importantly, Leblanc can play all over the infield and provides a much higher ceiling than Willians Astudillo or Erik Gonzalez. Next Up (7/22-7/24) AAA Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp vs CharlotteAA Pensacola Blue Wahoos at BiloxiA+ Beloit Sky Carp at WisconsinA Jupiter Hammerheads vs St. Lucie
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