2023 Marlins NL Wild Card tiebreaker breakdown

[Guest Mitch]

Hi Ely,

 

What happens if there is a 3 way tie for the last wild card spot?

 

Thanks

[Guest OneRegend]

I think it will be more important than ever that the Marlins have a better record than the Giants. There's significantly less chance the Marlins will end up with a better intra-division record than the Giants.

 

The Marlins have 6 games against the Mets, the only "easy" divisional rival team left on their schedule. More than any other remaining games, however, the Phillies are the most important games of the season. If they don't win those, they greatly jeopardize their playoff hopes.

[Ely Sussman]

Try to follow along with this:

 

If Team X has a better record against Teams Y and Z, then Team X is the qualifier.

 

If Team X and Y have identical records against one another and each has a better record against Team Z, then Teams X and Y follow the two-club tiebreaker rules to determine the qualifier.

 

Otherwise, the three clubs are ranked by their overall winning percentage against one another, and the club with the highest overall winning percentage is the qualifier. If two of the clubs have identical winning percentages in this scenario, then they would follow the two-club tiebreaker procedure.

 

If the three clubs have identical records against one another, then the team with the best intradivision record is the qualifier.

[Ely Sussman]

I think the ship has already sailed on catching the Phillies. While it'd be uplifting to beat them in that series, can't see a scenario where the Marlins finish with the same or better record. So I have the significance of that on par with all the other divisional games.

[Guest Mitch]

Thanks for the details Ely. I wonder how the Marlins stand right now if there was a 3 way tie.

[Ely Sussman]

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