Jump to content
Fish On First
  • Create Account

Recommended Posts

Posted

I ran an AI prediction. I asked it what it predicts the Marlins will do this offseason. The following were the results of the prediction:

📊 Total Simulated Spend & Roster Impact

 
Player Simulated Contract Role
Kyle Finnegan 1 yr / $6.25 M High-leverage reliever
Brad Keller 2 yrs / $15 M Multi-inning bullpen depth
Power Bat (O’Hearn) 1–2 yrs / $8–12 M Corner bat / DH
Complementary Arm 1 yr / $1–3 M Development / bullpen flier
  • Estimated Additional Spending: ~$15–18M on top of existing payroll, which may bring them close to—but likely not far over—their projected budget.

  • Roster Effect:

    • Bolsters bullpen significantly with veteran presence.

    • Provides offensive depth / power without overcommitting long-term.

    • Maintains financial flexibility for future seasons

 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Looking at the numbers tied to each player, it appears that adding those four would surpass the $15-$18M spending cap the AI suggested. The math ain't mathing.

 

Let's look at the numbers more closely based on the AI proposals:  Finnegan (2 yrs at  $6.5M) + Keller (2yrs at $15M) + O'Hearn (2yrs at +/- $20M) + a complementary arm (1 yr at +/- $2M) equates to about $26 million. I believe that this AI proposal is way over the dollar budget that Sherman will be willing to spend.  Albeit it looks like a solid suggestion to improve the team with relatively modest boosts to the payroll. 

 

It sounds like a sound plan on the surface. But I do not believe that they will add $26 million this offseason. This FO is not there, even though it makes total sense. 

Your thoughts?

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
The Fish On First SuperSub Fund
The Fish On First SuperSub Fund

We're grinding to bring you complete Miami Marlins coverage! Please support this site so it can remain the top destination for Fish fans.

×
×
  • Create New...